Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[ORH_wxman]

EPS has two clusters. One near the BM and another to the west probably kind of like the Op

 

[weathafella]

Hopefully BM wins.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

OP looked to be on nw flank of the ens mean so that’s probably close to the max tucking this can get. 

[Torch Tiger]

Hopefully LI to SE MA track of mid level lows.  Let's bring this one well inland

[40/70 Benchmark]

19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

How did you fair in boxing day?

12" of sand.

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, weathafella said:

i was happy with both boxing day and January 2015.  Boxing Day 18+ and 2015 2 feet+.   But my good fortune was probably the reason folks to my west were screwed.

January 2015 was fine....the best of the band was like 12 mi west of me, but no complaints.

Boxing Day was a disappointment. 

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

12" of sand.

A foot of sand is not easy to do, I'd Def take that over 12" of 20:1 fluff better for pack obviously 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

12" of sand.

That’s not terrible though. I’d rather be in between cf and deform but still snizzle my way to a foot, and feel like there is a coastal overhead, then wake up to sunny skies after 6” of wind wipped pixie dust and birds chirping while 15miles to my east pounded. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Great run for the area as a whole

[40/70 Benchmark]

Best case scenario for me is probably a slightly later capture that tucks into the cape, as opposed to LI....less LBSW and closer CF.

Anyway, fun week ahead.

[JC-CT]

Nemo IS the compromise

[George001]

The eps improved. A mean over a foot at 10:1 ratios (would likely be higher).

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

That’s all we want. Spread the love to as many as possible.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Nemo IS the compromise

I have no issues with that....don't need a JP, but I just don't want to get Boxing Dayed

Considering most other guidance closes off in GOM, even a 75/25 comp in favor of euro places capture near upper cape.

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

The eps improved. A mean over a foot at 10:1 ratios (would likely be higher).

yeah, that's just big-time. Really no need to get higher resolution than big time at this juncture.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

The eps improved. A mean over a foot at 10:1 ratios (would likely be higher).

Sneaky epic winter for the Delmarva if that comes to pass.

[40/70 Benchmark]

That EPS mean clown map tells me most members close off later than OP.

[40/70 Benchmark]

30 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

A foot of sand is not easy to do, I'd Def take that over 12" of 20:1 fluff better for pack obviously 

When everyone around you has 20", it blows.  Drifting was decent, though. 

[Snowcrazed71]

34 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Hopefully LI to SE MA track of mid level lows.  Let's bring this one well inland

Wouldn't that be something. Well... The good news is, that's not happening. What a beautiful storm Torch. I'm glad you are as stoked as the rest of us!! 

[Organizing Low]

After seeing the GFS and GEM swing right, it was inevitable that the euro was going to go west.   Even the weather models are becoming predictable 

[Ginx snewx]

Euro 16  GEM 18  GFS 12 nice 0z suite

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Euro 16  GEM 18  GFS 12 nice 0z suite

Subtract today

[Ginx snewx]

39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Great run for the area as a whole

The Cuckoos nest overnight crew talking dry slots and sand... lol. Big boy 

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Subtract today

No that's a digital text printout by 3 hour on a model site a very nice professional person let me into.

[Ginx snewx]

Damn that overnight snow is sparkling tonight. Out on the deck. Will look better with 12 to 18 and massive drifts.  I call Jan 11 as analog. You get 2 feet and you get 2 feet and you get 2 feet. We all got the Jack Jack Jack

[George001]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

The Cuckoos nest overnight crew talking dry slots and sand... lol. Big boy 

This storm is so big getting 18 inches is considered getting screwed. 18 inches of snow would be the biggest storm I’ve had since March 2018, I’ll take that and run. 

[Ginx snewx]

925 winds are 100 knots near shore. Geezuz  Gust potential 

 From Sammy Llllo

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

EPS has two clusters. One near the BM and another to the west probably kind of like the Op

 

I like that the furthest west members are touching the Jersey shore, that establishes a nice firewall to the west.  I expect this to track between Block Island and Nantucket.

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

Hopefully BM wins.

Just west of BM is fine too.

 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

OP looked to be on nw flank of the ens mean so that’s probably close to the max tucking this can get. 

it's perfect as is, hold it here.

20 inches for most.