Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

I'll toss the CMC as not happening.

Too early to toss anything.  Wednesday we can start bashing individual runs.

[dryslot]

0z Ukie is 955mb in the GOM.

[WxWatcher007]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I want to see the melts if this decides to take last weekends storm track.

[George001]

The Canadian is a legitimate possibility, I’m not going to ignore it. I do think it’s possible the low comes inland a bit, but even if it does, with the rapid deepening and strength of the low, I don’t think the rain snow line would get that far inland due to the dynamical cooling offsetting the more tucked low.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

well within the realm of possibilities.  gonna' snow where it wants to snow.

It's not going through BGM.

[MJO812]

Gefs is west

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's not going through BGM.

Probably not but I can see it going over Boston.

[PhineasC]

8 minutes ago, George001 said:

The Canadian is an inland runner, looks like it’s over western mass but the low is very strong. Hopefully it can snow east of the low, is that even possible?

Sure, it did here last week. Isn't your elevation like 10' above sea level there, though?

[PhineasC]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

All day, I never even like to mention it.

And I wrote a whole post up about how it is abused too much on these boards. 

[George001]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Sure, it did here last week. Isn't your elevation like 10' above sea level there, though?

Yeah, not much elevation here.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Probably not but I can see it going over Boston.

Yea...about western end of envelop.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

0z Ukie is 955mb in the GOM.

Breezy on the coast. 

I like that we have model consensus on something big, regardless of where we see it tracking atm.

[mreaves]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's not going through BGM.

No HOF track this time?

[PhineasC]

10 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Ukie is a bomb just east of the BM

 

10 minutes ago, George001 said:

The Canadian is an inland runner, looks like it’s over western mass but the low is very strong. Hopefully it can snow east of the low, is that even possible?

NNE crew loins are tingling.

[MJO812]

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Too early to toss anything.  Wednesday we can start bashing individual runs.

By Wednesday, this CMC run will be a distant memory.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Near the BM

[dryslot]

Going to be some up close and personal ones in here, 992mb on a mean is pretty stout.

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Near the BM

[PhineasC]

This is what we needed to see, big west moves on the ops to align with the ensembles.

Now we see if it settles here for a bit or keeps ramping up.

[PhineasC]

CMC is a 2 foot crusher here. Destroys PF. 40 spot on the weenie map.

[WxWatcher007]

Trend gif

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Near the BM

1.5 - 2 inch qpf 850 perfect position.  Nice run. 

[ariof]

14 minutes ago, George001 said:

The Canadian is an inland runner, looks like it’s over western mass but the low is very strong. Hopefully it can snow east of the low, is that even possible?

GON-PSM is only Western Mass if you're in Boston. That would be a track which would make anyone west of Worcester pretty happy.

[George001]

Just now, ariof said:

GON-PSM is only Western Mass if you're in Boston. That would be a track which would make anyone west of Worcester pretty happy.

Yeah the low didn’t go quite as far west as I initially thought, it goes over sema not western mass like it appeared on the black and white maps. That would still probably be fine for my area.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

1.5 - 2 inch qpf 850 perfect position.  Nice run. 

12-18" on the mean is nothing to sneeze at

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

1.5 - 2 inch qpf 850 perfect position.  Nice run. 

QPF queens will fret but deformation bands back into Albany on the table.

[WxWatcher007]

Updated GEFS. Nice track. 

[Henry's Weather]

Lots of coastal scrapers on the GEFS, should be wary of that

[78Blizzard]

39 mb drop in 12 hrs on Ukie.