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Jan 16-17th Boom or Bust


Wurbus
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Really coming down again here. Somewhere between 0.5-0.75in right now. I struggled mightily this evening to try to get under any bands, but there was a steady light snow of fine flakes. Finally a decent band is moving over. Maybe I’ll make it to an inch.

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4 minutes ago, brewman22001 said:

We now have 4 inches in Lenoir City and it’s still coming down!!  This system is a win!!  It’s definitely preformed much better than I thought it would and hopefully this is a start of a very exciting couple of weeks!!

I thought you were probably getting pounded with that band. 2 on grass here, but shave some off to be accurate. Slushy roads, travel not great apparently. Strong winds and some fine powder blowing around. It might be a skating rink tomorrow on the places they don't salt

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Good news for tomorrow. According to MRX:

Outside of the mountains on Monday, low temperatures
should be below normal levels given snow pack, even went below
guidance for the fcst.   Otherwise, expecting a cloudy typical
northwest flow day with light snow showers over the northern plateau
and central/northern valley with afternoon highs struggling to top
the freezing mark north of I40 (and any higher terrain across the
mountains/plateau), with low/mid 30s southward in the valley.  Given
these expecting temperatures, would expect lingering roadways
hazards due to remnant snowpack for much of the area that receives
ample snowfall tonight.
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I finally got under that second band and it's not living up to radar expectations relative to the previous one.  Tiny flake flizzard stuff but can't complain.  With minimal cold air to deal with this has been a win.  I expect roads to not be that bad in Knoxville proper tomorrow.  Side roads, all bets are off.  It's pretty out!

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3 minutes ago, Silas Lang said:

Good news for tomorrow. According to MRX:

Outside of the mountains on Monday, low temperatures
should be below normal levels given snow pack, even went below
guidance for the fcst.   Otherwise, expecting a cloudy typical
northwest flow day with light snow showers over the northern plateau
and central/northern valley with afternoon highs struggling to top
the freezing mark north of I40 (and any higher terrain across the
mountains/plateau), with low/mid 30s southward in the valley.  Given
these expecting temperatures, would expect lingering roadways
hazards due to remnant snowpack for much of the area that receives
ample snowfall tonight.

Interesting change of dialog from them.

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1 minute ago, Stovepipe said:

I finally got under that second band and it's not living up to radar expectations relative to the previous one.  Tiny flake flizzard stuff but can't complain.  With minimal cold air to deal with this has been a win.  I expect roads to not be that bad in Knoxville proper tomorrow.  Side roads, all bets are off.  It's pretty out!

Yeah, true. CAD and 534 in Detroit, lucky we got the grass covered all things considered

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33 minutes ago, Silas Lang said:

Good news for tomorrow. According to MRX:

Outside of the mountains on Monday, low temperatures
should be below normal levels given snow pack, even went below
guidance for the fcst.   Otherwise, expecting a cloudy typical
northwest flow day with light snow showers over the northern plateau
and central/northern valley with afternoon highs struggling to top
the freezing mark north of I40 (and any higher terrain across the
mountains/plateau), with low/mid 30s southward in the valley.  Given
these expecting temperatures, would expect lingering roadways
hazards due to remnant snowpack for much of the area that receives
ample snowfall tonight.

I’m fairly optimistic for some additional snow in the morning in parts of the area. The soundings are encouraging on the 00z 3km NAM.  There’s not a lot of moisture to work with, but the northwest flow, combined with 850mb temps dropping to around or below -10C (steepening low level lapse rates), is usually pretty good at squeezing out precipitation in these situations. It obviously varies across the region, but the foothills areas in NE TN can do okay in these setups. 

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Down to a few flurries now. Gonna clear off a spot and see if I add any snow overnight but don't expect much more. Hate it for everyone who ended up on bust for this one. I was in that boat too but got bailed out by the back side. On to snow showers tomorrow and the next system Wednesday that may work out for some of us. 

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This thread will probably start winding down, but it happens to be the most "replied to" thread for a single storm in the 9 pages that I can browse back to 2013.  Nice to see the activity.  I hope we get a storm big enough to top 2k on a single storm thread.

 

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  • Mr Bob unpinned this topic

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