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EastKnox

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About EastKnox

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KTYS
  • Location:
    Knoxville, TN

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  1. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Are we in no mans land at the moment? The snowfall I'm looking at is happening at 48-72 hours and many agree that the mesoscale models at that range are unreliable.
  2. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Not looking good. It looks like the LP slides OTS without making much of a pivot northward. And sorry for holding out on the 6z/18z Euro. I just realized I have access this morning. They go out to 90h for most products and 144h for others.
  3. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    6z Euro
  4. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    I wonder how much of that is ZR?
  5. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Wider look through 162. Sent from my Moto G (5) Plus using Tapatalk
  6. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    It was pretty much done at 114. I'll check again though. Sent from my Moto G (5) Plus using Tapatalk
  7. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Hth Sent from my Moto G (5) Plus using Tapatalk
  8. EastKnox

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    looking good for NE TN at 126
  9. Here are a couple of GEFS images.
  10. Watching the Euro like I'm watching a sports event. Haha. Looks like the 500mb is coming in a little deeper this run and closing off @144. But it also looks like the HP is sliding east.
  11. I have started this thread in order to have a place to ask questions about weather phenomena and features we see in models. In particular, I'll see some discussion happening about an upcoming weather event, but may not understand all of what I'm reading. I don't want to muck up the main discussion with general questions so I thought that a separate thread could be helpful for us with less knowledge. Of course, this isn't an atmospheric sciences course condensed into a forum thread, but maybe a few tidbits of info will be shared that we can benefit from. I'll start with one that relates to our current situation. I hear a lot of about split flow of the polar and subtropical jets. What is the best way to identify the split flow? Have I identified it correctly in the 250 mb winds chart below, or would you look elsewhere? (500 mb) and do you look for certain heights (like 540 dm in the 500mb chart) to identify the polar jet?
  12. EastKnox

    Fall Banter 2018

    A question to the regular posters and those with more weather knowledge than me...which is practically everyone. Would it be in poor taste to start a sort of "education" thread where one could ask for explanations of certain weather phenomena? Not expecting to replace study and research, but sometimes some things are posted that are obviously over my head and I do my best to scour the internet for explanations. This could be a topic to allow some questions and maybe even a place to post good articles/webpages as we run across them. Thoughts?
  13. I'll agree there. We need better data at longer and longer lead times (for the more populous areas) to make the best decisions.
  14. No, not saying this was a miss, I'm referring to the situation that causes people to question evacuating in the future. I'm just asking folks to acknowledge that needless evacuations end up hurting too. They cause distrust in those making the evacuation decision and may ultimately save lives in this storm and cost them in another.
  15. This is true, but we can't stick our heads in the sand and ignore the flip side - why do people let there guard down? Is it because they evacuated the last storm or two or three and the forecasts were wrong? Do they get desensitized to the hype and then swing too far the other direction? When there is a mandatory evacuation, people lose time at work and then incur the burden of the cost of the evacuation. Most families can't afford it, but make it happen because the government says so. When the storm is over and it wasn't a near miss, but a huge miss, people second guess the next time.
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