DDweatherman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Personally, I'm more focused in the evolution at 500/850 and the ensemble mean versus operational. Beyond HR96, you'll just drive yourself crazy focusing on run to run variations of the operational side of things. 1000% agree with this post. Especially at these leads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Now that my PI planning is over I can get back to what’s important…wouldn’t surprise me to see a wobble south on the gfs simply bc it’s so far nw. I’ve seen that happen before at this range, but still nice to have a storm to track in a Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Personally, I'm more focused in the evolution at 500/850 and the ensemble mean versus operational. Beyond HR96, you'll just drive yourself crazy focusing on run to run variations of the operational side of things. Your boy Eric Webb saying ENS are lagging behind the Op so that might cause some sweating for more inland solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Looks pretty similar to 12z thru 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 WB GFS Hr 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Your boy Eric Webb saying ENS are lagging behind the Op so that might cause some sweating for more inland solutionsEric Webb is a dummy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 How far west can she come? Lol, gonna be wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 WB GFS Hr 96 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 How far west can she come? Lol, gonna be wild I need you to close your eyes and think East!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Can’t say i like where the gfs is at hr 90. Stranger things have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: How far west can she come? Lol, gonna be wild something tells me congrats Pittsburg this run but lets see . Don't like what I see so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Definitely impressive with the closed h5 thru 96. Energy moved out in similar fashion in the NE but the overall s/w is held back slightly more again from 12z. Interesting to see if it could come further west than 12z. It won't unless it pulls and phases that energy in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 WB GFS Hr 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Every run takes the ne feature farther away. Shocker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Nw feature not as prominent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Low position is significantly further north at 105. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Nw feature not as prominent Which is a way I could see the storm not coming as far NW with the sfc low despite a held back s/w evolution/differences in digging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 WB GFS Hr 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, Weather Will said: WB GFS Hr 108 You’d think that would be good look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I know certain models are more reliable than others but you gotta laugh when someone says just ignore it, mostly because it shows something they don't want to see lol. -RSC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Regardless, looks like one helluva storm incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 At 114 SLP in N. Miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Fun to watch. Might be better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 WB GFS Hr 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 120 big hit incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Fun to watch. Might be better Nope. Even u get rain now. ETA. We’ll close. Ugh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: I know certain models are more reliable than others but you gotta laugh when someone says just ignore it, mostly because it shows something they don't want to see lol. -RSC Honestly I'd also ignore the ICON if it was the only one that showed a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 We'd much rather have this bowling ball and close off/tilt properly without counting on N stream wave influence/any sort of phasing. So I like that for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Snow into DC at 126 but quickly turns over. Remarkably similar to 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 DC rainstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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