Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

[CoolMikeWx]

18 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Me and @vortmaxare the lowest totals on the forum. I'm at 23.6" so far. About 50% of my normal to date. Only good event was that sneaky LES event back in December. If this one misses East I never want to hear @TugHillMattcomplain again. 

To be fair I am guaranteed lowest totals on the forum. But I am also not up there with you guys and in the HV so

[CNY_WX]

9 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Yeah, I have several more inches than you do, as my area of Baldwinsville has had some of the better bands this season. My snowfall totals for Sunday night and Monday night are very comparable to the "Liverpool 4.5 N" reports the past two nights. That's pretty close to my latitude and what I have observed. (I am on top of the hill near Budweiser. Total of about 7 inches since Sunday, give or take a bit. (The Baldwinsville 3.5 N I'm assuming is north Radisson, comparable to your latitude.)

Sunday night:
...Onondaga County...
Liverpool 4.5 N              2.4 in    0800 AM 01/10   43.17N/76.22W
1 NNE Bayberry               2.3 in    1019 PM 01/09   43.16N/76.21W
Liverpool 6.1 NNW            1.9 in    0600 AM 01/10   43.19N/76.25W
Brewerton 1.5 ESE            1.5 in    0800 AM 01/10   43.23N/76.11W
Clay 4.6 NW                  0.9 in    0550 AM 01/10   43.20N/76.26W
Baldwinsville 3.5 NE         0.9 in    0800 AM 01/10   43.20N/76.29W
Brewerton Lock 23            0.8 in    0700 AM 01/10   43.24N/76.20W

Monday night:

...Onondaga County...
Liverpool 4.5 N              6.1 in    0800 AM 01/11   COCORAHS
Brewerton Lock 23            5.3 in    0700 AM 01/11   COOP
Clay 4.6 NW                  5.2 in    0830 AM 01/11   COCORAHS
Baldwinsville 3.5 NE         5.1 in    0800 AM 01/11   COCORAHS
Camillus 1.0 W               4.6 in    0620 AM 01/11   COCORAHS
Syracuse 2.7 S               1.5 in    0730 AM 01/11   COCORAHS
Skaneateles 9.1 SE           0.9 in    0700 AM 01/11   COCORAHS

Last night’s snow put me at 30.4 inches for the season so I’m right in line with the rest of you.  Brewerton Lock 23 is probably 5 miles west and north of me so it makes sense that they got a little more than me last night. 

[TugHillMatt]

5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Lies.

 

3 minutes ago, CoolMikeWx said:

To be fair I am guaranteed lowest totals on the forum. But I am also not up there with you guys and in the HV so

That's right. Let the lies be exposed from the depths of the snowless hills of the far away lands. Tis a beautiful sound....

[Syrmax]

Lost in the chatter today is its pretty effin cold. I have 7 degrees at 3pm...

[Revracer800]

A whopping 9 for me at 3:15 I hate it lol. 

[BGM Blizzard]

Albany 

[yankees102110]

35 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Me and @vortmaxare the lowest totals on the forum. I'm at 23.6" so far. About 50% of my normal to date. Only good event was that sneaky LES event back in December. If this one misses East I never want to hear @TugHillMattcomplain again. 

I’m at around 10 inches here in the southern Dack/ great sacandaga lake region.

[BuffaloWeather]

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/2021-us-climate-recap-fourth-warmest-year-record-20-billion

 

[tim123]

Let's get a storm like I remember. 2 to localy 3 feet in monroe wayne county from back in 90s. Lol

[LakeEffectKing]

3 globals in close agreement 5 days out....

...my ears are perked....cautiously!

[tim123]

Gotta say this is the type of pattern I have not seen in a long time. High to north some ne wind lake fluff. Then a big east coast storm. Hope it works out.

[wolfie09]

Nice lol I could probably do without the bitter cold..

[tim123]

6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Nice lol I could probably do without the bitter cold..

One of the things I remember is the bitter cold before the storms.

[TugHillMatt]

True...with getting down into the single digits brings us to 35 to 40 degrees 1 or 2 days later...maybe getting down to 0 and below will bring us to 25 to 30 degree "ridge" with our next warm-up...and set the stage just right for our first real snowstorm of the season.

[tim123]

Rgem showing 3 to 6 south of lake for weekend. North ne flow.

[tim123]

Will be pure fluff bombs. Seen this set up before. 30 40 to 1 type stuff.

[tim123]

This is at 10 to 1. Atleast double it.

[TugHillMatt]

The dewpoint doesn't look to get much above 32 degrees during this mini-warmup, so hopefully that will reduce some of the melting that occurs for those of us who have a snowpack.

[BGM Blizzard]

Bing

 

Buf

 

Btv

[LakeEffectKing]

It's funny Buffalo referenced that the Canadian didn't finish, yet on the precipitation maps on tropical tidbits, we were able to see where the lp was going.  Someone give 'em a call!

[BGM Blizzard]

Thinking the 18z GFS might come in even more amped than 12z. The vort is stronger and a little west of 12z in Ozarks.

[wolfie09]

Jamestown?

[LakeEffectKing]

2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Jamestown?

Na....gonna be a bomb.

[LakeEffectKing]

[wolfie09]

[BGM Blizzard]

Yep def going to be west of 12z by atleast a little bit.

[lakeeffectkid383]

TugHillMatt…. All I can say is stay in PA. 
 

 

[Syrmax]

Ok, so I'm lifting a Twitter graphic from #HeWhoShallNotBeNamed (the infamous DT/wxrisk) but his discussions are usually interesting.  He even seems to have cleaned up his non-mastery of basic spelling.  

[Buffalo Bumble]

Seriously 18Z GFS??

[wolfie09]

Any father west and we could be dealing with DS issues..Big run for WNY..