TugHillMatt Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 On 11/1/2021 at 12:06 PM, TugHillMatt said: So my question is: At what point do we change the title of this topic to "Upstate/Eastern New York - Into Endless November" November 1st, Page 1. Called it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Melt away. I'll be creating a new and improved thread later this week after this warmup. It snowed lightly all morning here, pretty wintry. We had all of about 45 minutes of “winter “ this morning and now has flipped to freezing rain/sleet…where else would you rather be than right here right now!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 18 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: November 1st, Page 1. Called it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2021 Author Share Posted December 27, 2021 The GFS is struggling worse than I've ever seen it. Would probably only stick with Euro and EPS which goes out 10 days, ignore the rest. The run to run changes are insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 39 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Thread Title: Upstate/Eastern New York-It's Still November... I think he should call it “Into Spring”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The GFS is struggling worse than I've ever seen it. Would probably only stick with Euro and EPS which goes out 10 days, ignore the rest. The run to run changes are insane. Like joe Namath with Suzy Kolber on Monday night football a number of years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: I think he should call it “Into Spring”. You mean "Into May" then? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Euro looks to be coming in way farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2021 Author Share Posted December 27, 2021 Sneaky event on Euro for Weds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 @150...euro looks improved from 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Out to sea i think. Garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2021 Author Share Posted December 27, 2021 Would be funny if we go from cutters to suppression without a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Most likely. If it has the opportunity it will. Upstate ny snow force field in full effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Well if you don't wanna be in the bullseye a week out, you got your wish..lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: @150...euro looks improved from 00z 12Z EC run would be an absolutely Shambolic result for this forum beyond maybe tomorrow and esp the weekend system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 40 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The GFS is struggling worse than I've ever seen it. Would probably only stick with Euro and EPS which goes out 10 days, ignore the rest. The run to run changes are insane. Well in fairness, even the Euro is struggling mightily. The 0z run sent the first storm south of NYS while all the rest of the models continued to show a cutter, and now 12z Euro is back to the general idea of the first storm cutting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 On the bright side (?) we are getting our quasi-daily burst of Trace amounts of snowfall attm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2021 Author Share Posted December 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Well in fairness, even the Euro is struggling mightily. The 0z run sent the first storm south of NYS while all the rest of the models continued to show a cutter, and now 12z Euro is back to the general idea of the first storm cutting. The GEFS are struggling, all OP models will have insane run to run variance beyond 3-4 days. The EPS has been much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Syrmax said: On the bright side (?) we are getting our quasi-daily burst of Trace amounts of snowfall attm. It was a flizzard fest for 30 minutes here and briefly coated the ground and was just starting to stick to the pavement before it shut off. What stuck to the grass is mostly melted now. I think ROC 1" lead is safe for another day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The GEFS are struggling, all OP models will have insane run to run variance beyond 3-4 days. The EPS has been much better. Right, stick with the Ens and the mean. The Op runs including the Euro are all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Can you post euro mean when it comes out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 23 minutes ago, Syrmax said: On the bright side (?) we are getting our quasi-daily burst of Trace amounts of snowfall attm. Falling at a rate of an inch every 48 hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Falling at a rate of an inch every 48 hours. Oh, so you're getting into the heavy stuff then! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Game on for South Shore. *facepalm* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 22 minutes ago, tim123 said: Can you post euro mean when it comes out? A slight uptick in the mean snowfall from 0z, but still lots of duds in the spread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 23 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Oh, so you're getting into the heavy stuff then! It was 1 inch/72 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Not to be a jerk, but can we stop believing the happy talk about the LR? It’s like a broken record. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 The LR GEFS is awful. Just about as bad a look as anyone could think up for the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 We better pray something works out because it’s the only game in town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 GEPS is more zonal. And when you’re hoping on zonal……. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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