sferic Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 New Acurite Weather station mounted today in Cicero. Later on I'll connect to Weather Underground 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2021 Author Share Posted December 10, 2021 There have been many seiches over the past few years that would top the current forecast of 10.1 ft. at Buffalo. The one I remember best was back on December 2, 1985 when the water level rose to 12.1 ft. However, by far, the most destructive seiche that occurred in Buffalo's history was back on October 18, 1844 when it was estimated that a wall of water 22 ft. high inundated the city, including many. many boats anchored on the harbor as well as canal boats. Without a good breakwall to stop some of the force of that wall of water, it was estimated that over 70 people were drowned from that event. I can't even imagine a seiche of 22 ft. today!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 Hrrr really slamming buffalo rochester. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 Already received the national grid text lol I lost power on Monday night from 40 mph gusts so the potential for 60-70mph makes me a wee bit nervous on the power front lol I did get a generator this year but it's not currently wired to the house, I could run extensions to it if needed..(Refrigerator, artificial heat etc...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 1 hour ago, tim123 said: Hrrr really slamming buffalo rochester. Anyone buying this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 3 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: Honestly just stay under 200 hours on these models and you won't have to worry about this fantasy bullshit. I’d say under 72. We’ve seen a lot disappear in 72-144. The GFS and Euro consistently over amp these waves. I’m just shocked there’s no learning curve. No AI? Seriously, AI is used in a lot computer logarithms, these are the big international models. Your phone uses these. They learn the routes you take, your usual hours. How can they not learn that there won’t be a sub 990 storm on the EC every 180 hours? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 A cold front will enter western NY between 18-21z with significant cold air advection and pressure rises immediately behind the frontal passage. A 60-70kt low level jet about 2-3k feet off the surface is forecast to be in place as the cold front moves through western NY late afternoon. Channeling up Lake Erie will promote the highest gusts, from the Lake Erie shoreline into the Niagara Frontier and Lower Genesee Valley. Gusts up to 70 mph are expected. The low-level jet is slightly weaker further south which leads to lesser winds across interior portions of the western Southern Tier. The front will rush eastward into Saturday evening reaching north central NY between 23-02z. Locations northeast of Lake Ontario including Jefferson county and the Saint Lawrence River Valley can see gusts up to 70 mph. The low -level jet will be just as strong behind the front across the western Finger Lakes. Gusts 65 to 70 mph are expected. Another thing to note, a convective line of thunderstorms is possible along the cold front which may increase the threat for stronger winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, vortmax said: Anyone buying this? Wind usually verifies. Maybe not to this extent. Like the guys were saying, lucky it’s outside mid day warming. We shall see. I hope for Tim and Delta it does verify. I know one thing, it’s coming for a certain fence. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 40 minutes ago, vortmax said: Anyone buying this? Not a chance but even knocking 10-15mph off those is still serious business; so we’ve got that going for us…which is nice. edit - I shouldn’t say not a chance. They aren’t as high as I thought. If we had that noon frontal passage id believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 Look at this tornado in Arkansas! ! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 44 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Look at this tornado in Arkansas! ! Major destruction being reported from that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 45 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Major destruction being reported from that storm. They are talking about this on the Weather Channel now. It’s being described as a mass casualty incident. N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 Another possible MCI in Southern Illinois from Amazon warehouse being destroyed. What an awful night in the mid Mississippi valley. This long track wedge heading thru western KY just leveled Mayfield... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 That’s an ef5 that just hit mayfield and Benton 35k feet debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Been tracking this in amx discord and gl section. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 Think we are going to smacked tomorrow. Some much wind energy coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Literal insanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That has to be an Ef5. Just wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: That has to be an Ef5. Just wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Witnessing history tonight this has chance to beat tristate tornado record of 218 miles we’re at 160 miles across 4 states 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Princeton a town of 6k is about to get hit by an ef5 tornado at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, tim123 said: Think we are going to smacked tomorrow. Some much wind energy coming I think so. Looks like a strong storm line will develop ahead of the main front and may actually bring the strongest winds some time between 3pm-4pm. Might be a nice shelfie rolling up the lake tomorrow! Core high winds themselves should roll in just after this and roar for a good two hours thinking 4pm-6pm. Lake Erie seiche should hit it's peak height between 6pm-7pm. BUF AFD is mentioning the lake levels could now approach 11 feet. BW and Delta those times look about right to you? Going to head down to Furhman Blvd around 2ish tomorrow to scout out and setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Princeton a town of 6k is about to get hit by an ef5 tornado at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Witnessing history tonight this has chance to beat tristate tornado record of 218 miles we’re at 160 miles across 4 states I've been checking in on this in and out... is this the same tornado cell that is still going from earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Just now, SouthBuffaloSteve said: I've been checking in on this in and out... is this the same tornado cell that is still going from earlier? Yep debris ball just south of Princeton picked up a bunch in the town scary stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Next town has over 20k people madisonville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2021 Author Share Posted December 11, 2021 Still going strong. 200 miles so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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