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October Discussion: Bring the Frost-Hold the Snow


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23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Even with Kevs 8 to 10 days of rain it won't compare to that Oct 2005 8 day deluge with 14 inches here. That was insane

That was. My old high school in Taunton evacuated from dam collapse fears. That continued into spring 2006 when I was helping the builder I worked for at the time with controlled release of water before a neighborhood built on a cranberry big flooded. The ****ing dam was held together by aluminum slats vibrating in water from the pressure. 

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Lot of 27-29s around at home on the PWS network… looks like the first solid freeze is in the books.

October 23, very very late.

Mansfield down to 25F, windchills hit singles digits overnight.  First legit cold shot it seems.

I’m in Augusta, ME. It’s only 41° here. Back home it got down to 28°

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1 hour ago, wdrag said:

Good Saturday morning everyone,

Prepare for adverse weather, possible power outages and possible flood related problems, especially north of I80 next week.

The first of the real deal rainfall probably begins Sunday evening-night with evolution of a nor'easter by late Tuesday, followed by a second large scale event though possibly of a differing more inside runner flavor, next Friday-Saturday.

Details tbd but here are some graphics to ponder.  I'll probably add FF to the tags late Sunday or Monday pending further model confirmation, and SVR will be reserved for last add but it's on the table.   WPC has a minimum of 3" forecast for I80 north next week.

Graphics below: This mornings D3 SVR outlook for Monday, The EC EPS 500MB pattern 00z/Wed (tue eve), the EC EPS sfc pattern for the same time, and then the GEFS as well at the same time, and finally a rather impressive EC EPS rainfall forecast for just our area...EPS have 5" in central MA (more to the east not seen here) and general 1-3" in our area. 

 

Screen Shot 2021-10-23 at 6.01.00 AM.png

Screen Shot 2021-10-23 at 5.48.52 AM.png

Screen Shot 2021-10-23 at 5.52.56 AM.png

Screen Shot 2021-10-23 at 5.52.32 AM.png

Screen Shot 2021-10-23 at 5.46.25 AM.png

Damage seemingly coming. Euro and EPS rock steady on inland storm track 

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