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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread


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Sometimes it’s a good idea to look at things downstream. This is part of MOB’s morning disco. I’d recommend reading the rest as they’re a damn good crew. This is what you want to see for a bigger Mnt/FH snow!

.NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Sunday/...An upper level shortwave
trough dives south over the Plains tonight, organizing into a
closed low as it moves. The upper low moves east over the Lower
Mississippi River Valley to over the forecast area by Sunday night
as a decreasingly positively tilted system, then increasingly
negatively tilted as it moves east of the forecast area late
Saturday night through Sunday. A surface low that has developed
over Texas this afternoon moves east-southeast along the northern
Gulf coast to over the forecast area by early Saturday evening. A
weak warm front organizes along the Gulf coast tonight ahead of
the approaching surface low, but with relatively weak low level
southerly flow ahead of approaching system, the front will remain
along the coast. A strong cold front moves east over the forecast
area beginning Saturday night, ushering in a colder and drier


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Analyzing sounding even in Cherokee County where it shows green precip, the warm nose is meager.  Its not this massive pronounced deal like we see sometimes down in those areas.  Even in the NC/GA/TN border the warmest the surface gets is 40 degrees, and that is right at the surface.  The parcel falls in nearly frozen air the whole time.  A sleet/snow mix would occur then.

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