Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,988
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Dankles
    Newest Member
    Dankles
    Joined

Major Hurricane Sam


Jtm12180
 Share

Recommended Posts

10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Yea if that's correct then it'll def be way east.

However the combo of the strong high to the north and ULL could create another system close to shore. 

Cmc shows this 

It's also further west with Sam

 

gem_z500_mslp_atl_34.png

gem_mslpa_eus_37.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Joe4alb said:

definitely not fantasy. but looking for more support on the handling of the WAR. 

100 percent 

Odds favor a fish 

Another thing the models are showing is that another low forms near the coast with the interaction of Sam and the ULL.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Well I would rather not have a hurricane impact the area so OTS is best. 

That being said it's premature to say this will harmlessly go OTS at this stage. 

Enough. I'm a meteorologist who does this for a living offering my thoughts on what I think the most likely scenario is. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The CMC solution is definitely plausible, as all models have the same players on the field.  The CMC is just further west and faster, thus allowing the ridge to become more of a blocking ridge and encouraging the phase.  Is it the most likely?  Probably not.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

43 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Lol

Euro is a lot closer to CMC than Gfs

Looks like it'll be close for Maine. Still we're talking 9/10 days out so a lot will change. 

The strong ridge building in and potential ULL do seem to be on the table though.

A capture is the only thing that will send it towards the east coast. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, OSUmetstud said:

I dont think so. The central Atlantic ridge is tending to weak. I think it affects bermuda and exits right. 

Thanks Nick. I'm hopeful the ridge breaks down and the westerlies give it the boot but some of the models sure want to make us sweat alittle.  example 12z euro. Yikes. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Jtm12180 changed the title to Major Hurricane Sam

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...