frd Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 On 9/21/2021 at 8:37 AM, mattie g said: Sure...it was warm last week, but I think that recency bias plays a big role in how people perceive future weather. I'm not arguing that we're not gaining temps on the margins on average, but I just don't think we can make grandiose statements about how abnormally warm it's been and is going to be based on what are essentially temps within a margin of error (for lack of a better term). Are you sure about that? This stat, ( below ) is for nearby NY Central Park, but other sites up and down the east coast have been warming dramatically. This is from Donald Sutherland recent post: New York City's Central Park is on track to record a low temperature of 70° or above today. The mean last date such a temperature has increased 4 days from September 10 (1951-80) to September 14 (1991-20). The interval from the first and last dates has also widened 9 days to 104 days during that time. Most of that widening has occurred during the most recent 30-year period (104 days vs. 96 days for 1981-2010). Overall, September has been warming to the extent that it is now more an extension of summer than gateway into autumn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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