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stormtracker

March Long Range Discussion

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22 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Eps trending colder and colder for Tuesday and Tuesday night.  Becoming more likely frozen is in the cards if we can get the sw far enough north and precip in here quickly overnight.  Guidance showing Monday overnight lows in the teens . Not a bad airmass .

What is the euro showing for canaan valley wv? Trying to time a last minute ski trip around a cold/wintry period... 

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8 minutes ago, ChesterfieldVa80 said:

What is the euro showing for canaan valley wv? Trying to time a last minute ski trip around a cold/wintry period... 

12z showed mixed precip coming in early Wednesday morning there best I can tell. Verbatim its some frozen there but too early for details. I'm hoping timing speeds up 

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3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Baltimore,Md got around 12" in 93 superstorm. 

And a shit ton of ice. I was 6. I remember sledding down a neighborhood hill and went further then ever before because the snow was so slick 

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8 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Baltimore,Md got around 12" in 93 superstorm. 

I was in Bel Air. I remember 12” of snow with almost enough crust on top that I could nearly walk on top without falling through.

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20 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I was in Bel Air. I remember 12” of snow with almost enough crust on top that I could nearly walk on top without falling through.

Sleeted up this way too but not too much . I could talk 93 all night between the epic wind to incredible drifts to days of ground blizzards . I measured 18-22" but it was very difficult.  Drifts 6-10 feet were common. A couple of my friends on farms couldn't get out for 3 to 4 days.  If you ever seen that episode of Little House On The Prairie with the blizzard . They had to climb out the 2nd story.  That was pretty close to reality for the 93 ss. The plows literally gave up . Never seen that since. 

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I lived in Loudoun close to Dulles. And you could actually walk on top of 8 inches of concrete. It was nuts. 
We got 17

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2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

Next Saturday needs to be watched, we appear to have the cold air, now can we get the storm to come North???  WB 6Z para, GFS; 0Z EURO and Canadian.

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Looks Miller A(ish). I believe it’s right where we want it. :yikes:

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10 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

I was in Bel Air. I remember 12” of snow with almost enough crust on top that I could nearly walk on top without falling through.

I was in Carroll County, and I don't remember how much we got, but it was a lot.

 

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52 minutes ago, mattskiva said:

I was in Carroll County, and I don't remember how much we got, but it was a lot.

 

It would have to track 100 miles further east for me to get excited about a redux. It had impressive WAA precip well out ahead of the low which produced around 8" of heavy wet snow here, but the actual low tracked inland, resulting in 40 degree rain after that. By the time the cold came back in the precip was done and the end result was about 3-4" of slop that froze solid.

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7 minutes ago, nj2va said:

GEFS shows 5-day 2m temp positive departures throughout the run for us.  I’m good with that.

Wow... the gefs is kind of on an island with regard to next weekend then. Looks quite colder than normal across guidance unless I’m missing something.

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22 minutes ago, chris21 said:

Wow... the gefs is kind of on an island with regard to next weekend then. Looks quite colder than normal across guidance unless I’m missing something.

That’s a 5 day I was referencing...GEFS shows slightly below for Sunday but at least in DC where our average high is now north of 50 (and average low is higher than 32), we need more than “slightly below” to get a meaningful chance at frozen.  

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Both the LR GFS and 10 day euro are void of any legit snow chances attm.
Disagree
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35 minutes ago, Ji said:
1 hour ago, snowfan said:
Both the LR GFS and 10 day euro are void of any legit snow chances attm.

Disagree

Agree there is still a small chance for a small snow event later Wed/ overnight.  Problem is lack of cold air....will see how next weekend is looking shortly as well.  WB 6Z EURO for midweek.

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There's a million moving pieces that have to come together for it to work next weekend but the GFS and para are seeing the effects of the block now. Ensembles should have some good hits I would think.

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13 hours ago, Ji said:
14 hours ago, StormchaserChuck! said:
'93 the first time around was fun. I got like 35" in Baltimore. 

No you didn't

He used my CM map and forgot to convert 

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