dryslot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Slip slidn away. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 RPM getting a clue and going SE a bit too. Good for the Cape since they have been screwed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 take em down a bit. warning cape ...maybe to Se areas if the ticks are done Yo hate to see it , especially with Bob so excited SE ticks matter N stream looks a bit more like a kicker to me. Hopefully this ticks back and not more. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Slip slidn away. She gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I'm still leery of these things when convection gets going and then you get that last minute move sometimes. I dunno....you could come up with reasonable arguments on both sides. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: She gone Soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Interior sharks swimming away after trying to eat the Cape Cod seals. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Interior sharks swimming away after trying to eat the Cape Cod seals. We smart enough to know they were nurse sharks and harmless. Stayed the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 lol, the mood in here the last day or so has been incredibly bipolar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Oz Euro giveth the, 06z taketh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Most of us can’t really afford another tickle SE so the 12z runs are pretty big. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Even with the SE 6Z NAM with very paltry qpf outcome 600-800 avgd F-GEN would put some good banding into CT and E MA, NW of the best fronto. Those qpf amounts dont really match whats going on with mid levels on the NAM. We're waiting for the 12Z cycle to come out then going to put out a map but leaning toward a 4-8 or possibly 6-10 type event for most of CT. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 The NAM has been quite bi-polar over the last 8-cycles. Back and forth we go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 hours ago, Bostonseminole said: oh yeah, i made the comment that the ICON looked good, not as good as 18z but still solid.. I think someone said it was meh.. I just meant the Trop Tidbits map. But that one is bogus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Even with the SE 6Z NAM with very paltry qpf outcome 600-800 avgd F-GEN would put some good banding into CT and E MA, NW of the best fronto. Those qpf amounts dont really match whats going on with mid levels on the NAM. We're waiting for the 12Z cycle to come out then going to put out a map but leaning toward a 4-8 or possibly 6-10 type event for most of CT. Yeah I don’t understand some of the bridge jumpers. We know how these work. You toss QPF unless you’re MPM. They always have a deform/ mid level band NW of models. I think the entire state is 4-8” and Lollis to 10” under that band. I suspect the bridge jumpers (surprised at who some of them are) will be quite pleased with 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Yeah even here the SE ticks hurt. Since my “snowpack” is like elephant man, I’ll take even a few inches. Look away Scooter, I’m hideous. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm still leery of these things when convection gets going and then you get that last minute move sometimes. I dunno....you could come up with reasonable arguments on both sides. I feel like there are more arguments for a SE tick...really fast flow, no phase, big NAO block, etc. That’s definitely the worry. That said, hopefully this southern stream vort beefs up a little in the final 24h and that could overcome some of those other issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Latest RPM @weathafella Seems to resemble a little better look at reality for what the outcome will be than that last zonked run. 4-8" across much of the state. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Yup, we need that southern vort as vigorous as it was depicted in yesterday’s runs or it’s gonna get the boot and we tickle ourselves to a dust on the crust type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 First time ever Stein agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Not optimistic for more than 3 up here but this could be a now cast based on where bands are setting up in the dc Philly corridor when we wake up. It will be happening g fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Can see the top of the loaf this morning, Looks like they got 3” yesterday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I feel like there are more arguments for a SE tick...really fast flow, no phase, big NAO block, etc. That’s definitely the worry. That said, hopefully this southern stream vort beefs up a little in the final 24h and that could overcome some of those other issues. Yeah I know. Then there is that which might be what models are seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Can see the top of the loaf this morning, Looks like they got 3” yesterday. You on Oh My Gosh corner? My camp is about half mile further up in Sugarloaf Village 2.Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2-4” here. I would be happy with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 2-4” here. I would be happy with that I would be happy with 12-18 but I’ll be ok with 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 28 minutes ago, Hoth said: lol, the mood in here the last day or so has been incredibly bipolar. .....and the surprise is???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I feel like there are more arguments for a SE tick...really fast flow, no phase, big NAO block, etc. That’s definitely the worry. That said, hopefully this southern stream vort beefs up a little in the final 24h and that could overcome some of those other issues. Hate to see you so down on a snow event. Ray have your phone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Hate to see you so down on a snow event. Ray have your phone? I’m not down...I think we all at least see an advisory event which is nice on top of a big pack in the interior. I’m just a little leery on the warning snowfall amounts outside of SE MA and RI because these things can easily tickle a little further southeast. We’re all of the sudden spoiled as we have two more events inside of 7 days after this one. But not every event is going to turn into 10” of snow and this one could end up as one of those that slips a little SE. We’ll see though. I think 12z will be telling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: .....and the surprise is???? that people are letting their moods be dictated by the fickleness of models like the NAM and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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