Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would take the GFS lol Blind squirrel getting the nut? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I like this area for a few reasons . It’s far enough NE where we don’t usually miss on Miller b’s like WCT can . The elevation helps in marginal events and on easterly inflow events we tend to do well. The thing i don’t like is there’s nothing to CAD in cold , so when that SE wind comes calling.. it just furnaces. It’s too close to the ocean sometimes with nothing but lowlands to the SSE. To me , ORH hills are best spot in SNE Yes. ORH is better on east flow, too because its a chain of hills....you really need an extended ridge line to maximize upslope. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 GFS gives me 6" lol 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Yeah funny there are still some discrepancies that mean a lot like 24 hrs out. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would take the GFS lol I imagine it’s continuing the trend of the warming/dry slot down here with the better forcing farther north if you’re liking it... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS gives me 6" lol Man I’m right on the edge... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Just now, Kitzbuhel Craver said: I imagine it’s continuing the trend of the warming/dry slot down here with the better forcing farther north if you’re liking it... Its easy on the eyes, but I don't buy that completely....prob a bit too far north and def. a bit overdone on QPF. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WeatherX Posted January 26 Radar is coming in hot down here it appears, will report when it arrives Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ginx snewx Posted January 26 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: . I love the ball busting. I mean I live for it. It’s what I do best .. pushing buttons is my favorite thing . But I just never understood why Scooter or others would accuse me of lying. I mean what benefit do I get of saying my dew is 77 when it’s really 75? Just a suggestion make a white snow board Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 26 Mitch, “good, good... the bodies will stay buried” 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Gfs further west with the late week inv trough. Close to a James awakening. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS gives me 6" lol It's giving you really good ratios on that map....you get like 4 tenths of QPF through 42 hours....but that map is spitting out 15 to 1 to give you 6" of snow. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PowderBeard Posted January 26 Really wish this thing was a bit further west for @USCAPEWEATHERAF. Would be awesome to watch on radar. Edit: From looking through older ones the good part is the GFS does tend to model them a good 75-100 miles NE. Have to wait until Thursday. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Just now, PowderBeard said: Really wish this thing was a bit further west for @USCAPEWEATHERAF. Would be awesome to watch on radar. Looks like an arrow directing the snow towards the Dawn Awakening 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hoth Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Man I’m right on the edge... Looks like I fold. Sucks, but par for the course this season. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs further west with the late week inv trough. Close to a James awakening. 2/19/93 redux? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26 That NARCAN map Ray posts is usually pretty conservative. Interesting Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PowderBeard Posted January 26 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 2/19/93 redux? Mobile, Alabama crippled for days with 2-4" of snow lol 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 2/19/93 redux? I remember watching Bob Copeland on that one. First off, I was pissed missing it lol. Second, he literally was saying "it should stop soon.." but after hours of SNOINC with 4"/hr...he gave up lol. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I remember watching Bob Copeland on that one. First off, I was pissed missing it lol. Second, he literally was saying "it should stop soon.." but after hours of SNOINC with 4"/hr...he gave up lol. 4"/hour is rare period, but especially on the Cape. Maybe one or two times in my lifetime, Jan 05, and Jan 15 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26 All the short range guidance has come in with over 3" of snow, the 12z 12km NAM is less bullish then the 3km NAM which shows over 6" of snow for CHH. 850mb temps are extremely cold when this norlun like band of heavy snow moves through, could be thundersnow in the heart of the band. We need the H5 upper low to shift about 25 miles southwest. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
snowman21 Posted January 26 First flakes in Greenwich CT Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 26 v16 is south it seems compared to GFS for the WAA batch. Ha. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26 29 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: GSFv16 more in line with the rest of the 12z suite that's rolled out. Just now, CoastalWx said: v16 is south it seems compared to GFS for the WAA batch. Ha. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SouthCoastMA Posted January 26 I remember that 2/93 storm. A brooding 10 year old weenie living in Wareham, cursing at the flurries outside knowing the mid and outer cape were shoveling a couple feet. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dendrite Posted January 26 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: v16 is south it seems compared to GFS for the WAA batch. Ha. More like the 3k NAM rather than the 12k. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: I remember that 2/93 storm. A brooding 10 year old weenie living in Wareham, cursing at the flurries outside knowing the mid and outer cape were shoveling a couple feet. What were the official numbers? Anyone have the archives for this event? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Just now, dendrite said: More like the 3k NAM rather than the 12k. Yeah..still think most areas maybe 1-3, or 2-4 for the first batch. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WeatherX Posted January 26 Steady light snow here 32/22 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
