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40/70 Benchmark

January 2021

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11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Also, that first week of February is pretty interesting to me still. You have more of an east based -NAO and some ridging out west. 2/1 looks kind of cutter-ish, but after that one looks more favorable....2/1 is still pretty close to the west-based blocking breaking down though, so it could end up flatter too.

Once again it seems the ensembles want to go ridgy in the west to some degree after 2/3.  I wonder if it’s for real finally or the PAC jet will ruin it again  

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25 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Cmc is close to producing a 3 storm punch...unfortunately, yea I know, still shoveling cmc snow from 5 years ago bla bla bla. 

 you have the best chance to score while the rest of us snore

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I thought I recalled that looked like 3-6 or 4-8 initially . 

I don't expect you to remember given the crippling 3 day icestorm you just went through.

  • Haha 2

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don't expect you to remember given the crippling 3 day icestorm you just went through.

How many times are you going to criticize WD on that? We all make mistakes.. even Scooter. Enoughs enough . He tried his best 

  • Haha 2

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How many times are you going to criticize WD on that? We all make mistakes.. even Scooter. Enoughs enough . He tried his best 

Good spin. LOL.

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This is one of those rare occasions when I'm in one of the most favorable spots in NE and almost would be better served checking into the NYC sub forum. Still think the primary will get a bit further north in Ohio and get solid advisory snows up to NH border. 

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Ukie ugly . Basically 1-3” south of 90 and nada north . Not sure if that’s better or worse than 00z

Pretty similar to 00z....12z yesterday was zonked crazy and that's what we want to get back to.

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Just now, Hoth said:

This is one of those rare occasions when I'm in one of the most favorable spots in NE and almost would be better served checking into the NYC sub forum. Still think the primary will get a bit further north in Ohio and get solid advisory snows up to NH border. 

From your weenie to Ray’s tip 

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4 minutes ago, Hoth said:

This is one of those rare occasions when I'm in one of the most favorable spots in NE and almost would be better served checking into the NYC sub forum. Still think the primary will get a bit further north in Ohio and get solid advisory snows up to NH border. 

I'm sure Will is probably going to still provide solid analysis, but most aren't very interested. I will get outlooks going for that tonight or tmw, since CT looks to get some decent snow.

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The Dawn may never Awaken....

I mean between OES clouds and storm clouds, we do not see a clear sunny day for an 102 hour period, now it will not be snowing the entire time, man that would be awesome and arctic circle like climo.  Oh the monster storm that phases too late with the Maritimes vortex actually gets blocked south of New Foundland.  A 957mb low is a type of intensity you want 75 miles southeast of the benchmark if you are in my neighborhood given the circulation is monstrous and ocean marine influence might play a factor, unless the arctic high is in position.  We can just get this system to phase better and earlier further west, we will see a monster nor'easter.

  • Weenie 1

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12 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

I mean between OES clouds and storm clouds, we do not see a clear sunny day for an 102 hour period, now it will not be snowing the entire time, man that would be awesome and arctic circle like climo.  Oh the monster storm that phases too late with the Maritimes vortex actually gets blocked south of New Foundland.  A 957mb low is a type of intensity you want 75 miles southeast of the benchmark if you are in my neighborhood given the circulation is monstrous and ocean marine influence might play a factor, unless the arctic high is in position.  We can just get this system to phase better and earlier further west, we will see a monster nor'easter.

January has been a very cloudy month in W MA. 

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Looks a hair more suppressed compared to 06z.. 

I will gladly take a day of sunshine and dry and cold weather on Tuesday for glory on the 27-29th period.  Glory I mean a legit KU storm ala Nemo (FEB 13) and Juno (JAN 15).

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It is that random piece of vorticity that rotates around the Maritimes blocking vortex that reaches into New England and knocks down the trough that was entering the Mid-Atlantic States by hour 138.  We need that piece to be delayed or sped upwards in timing so it has very little impact on our system.

  • Weenie 1

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