tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Looking at crappy ukmet panels looks like it move east 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Here is the ukmet..I'll know in about 30 min if any of it is snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: Here is the ukmet..I'll know in about 30 min if any of it is snow lol That’s definitely more GFS like but I am admittedly turning my neck and head at an awkward angle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Probally more of same. Maybe a inch in roc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Sref is back up to 5 inches for roc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 We have a pretty good consensus wrt track, it's thermal profile thats the issue.. Majority of models bring this just east of Ontario, pretty much right over my head.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Anyone have sref maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Thanks. Definitely a move east some on ukmet.not enough but a move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Good run for buffalo..(not sure if any of this is LES) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Has low gowin from ithica to northern dacks. Thats a good track for roc. Thinks its having issues with thermal profiles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Good run for buffalo..(not sure if any of this is LES) Buffalo and far WNY ATM look like the sweet spot 30 hours out. I take. I also believe this will help with the LES for the metro area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 UKIE definitely ticked east by a rather large amount! A couple more ticks and all of WNY will be in it! Thinksnow18, you were right yesterday when you said you thought it had a lot more moving to do. You talked me off the ledge! Wolfie, happy to see that band focused on your neck o’ the woods! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Syracuse looks to be left out of both synoptic and lake effect. I'm shocked.................... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Syracuse looks to be left out of both synoptic and lake effect. I'm shocked.................... Well, I still think there’s at a 50% chance Roc gets skunked. So if misery wants company, I’ll probably be there for you. You should talk to Delta about how someone comes to like wind. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 I like wind storms too but rather have them in spring of fall. Not winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Well, I still think there’s at a 50% chance Roc gets skunked. So if misery wants company, I’ll probably be there for you. You should talk to Delta about how someone comes to like wind. Eh, I think you guys will get a couple inches. The Cuse will probably get another wet dusting that melts within an hour. It really seems to be a climactic norm here . Especially these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Syracuse looks to be left out of both synoptic and lake effect. I'm shocked.................... Well we're out of the game pretty much other than window dressing snow for Xmas but fear not there's at least one or two gully washers just around the corner on GooFuS for when you get back! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 No wonder why people are so depressed here. I now get excited as I see a moment that the sun shines as an exciting weather phenomenon... it's the brightest thing we can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: Well we're out of the game pretty much other than window dressing snow for Xmas but fear not there's at least one or two gully washers just around the corner on GooFuS for when you get back! Can't even. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Enjoy your snow, WNY friends! You will have a beautiful White Christmas! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 12 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Well, I still think there’s at a 50% chance Roc gets skunked. So if misery wants company, I’ll probably be there for you. You should talk to Delta about how someone comes to like wind. It's acquired taste and what you end up with after living in WNY for 40 years and never once living in an actual snowbelt. You learn to enjoy what you get. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 Euro, just synoptic 1:10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Definitely more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 8.8" for kbuf on the European, roc 2.9". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 A track from Scranton to dacks is good. Still think the thermal profile is wonky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: A track from Scranton to dacks is good. Still think the thermal profile is wonky You would think with a track like that Central NY would get in on the winter action. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, tim123 said: Definitely more east About 30-50 miles east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 KBUF does not like the synoptic on this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Wow! This is tight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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