PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Euro/HRRR/NAM/3k all with significant jumps west...not even gonna wait on RGEM/GFS/CMC...think MRX will have to consider pulling the WSW back to Knox/BlountQuestion... are troughs as bad as CF’s on getting hung up on the plateau and the mods not picking up on that? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 3k looks great through 30 for most of ETn . Both the 12k and 3k look awesome to me. Snow maps haven’t loaded yet on Tropical Tidbits. Keep backin'er up! Back it up, Terry! Put it in reverse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McMinnWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Euro/HRRR/NAM/3k all with significant jumps west...not even gonna wait on RGEM/GFS/CMC...think MRX will have to consider pulling the WSW back to Knox/Blount Bring it on down to McMinn! My family up on the Skyway will hopefully end up with a good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, PowellVolz said: Question... are troughs as bad as CF’s on getting hung up on the plateau and the mods not picking up on that? . Don't think it is so much the timing of the front, more precip shield expanding as we draw closer and low strength/placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, 1234snow said: Back it up, Terry! Put it in reverse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, McMinnWx said: Bring it on down to McMinn! My family up on the Skyway will hopefully end up with a good snow. The Skyway is going to get smoked..upwards of a foot possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 3k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Don't think it is so much the timing of the front, more precip shield expanding as we draw closer and low strength/placementGotcha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 9 minutes ago, McMinnWx said: Bring it on down to McMinn! My family up on the Skyway will hopefully end up with a good snow. Agree with @snowbird1230, hope they have a generator. Mtn wave event, plus heavy snow not a good combo up there with the temps that will follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 I'm rooting more so for a strengthening of the leeside low than it trending west, being probably the east most fella here haha. Better to expand the precip shield behind the front than shift it and delay it imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Those HRW’s convection mods like ETn also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Good trends so far for TYS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 I know this isn’t the right place but Alexandria La is looking nasty. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 The dynamics of this system are, in some ways, already out performing the models. NAMs, WRF-ARW2, HRRR, and RGEM for 9 PM tonight, vs reality: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 The dynamics of this system are, in some ways, already out performing the models. NAMs, WRF-ARW2, HRRR, and RGEM for 9 PM tonight, vs reality: A friend of mine just sent me a picture from Memphis of it hailing there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: A friend of mine just sent me a picture from Memphis of it hailing there If you squint hard enough and ignore your windows being busted I reckon that counts as snow... West TN cashing in after all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I know this isn’t the right place but Alexandria La is looking nasty. . Actually it shows just how dynamic this system is...Timmer has been harping on the tornado threat over the Carolinas the last two days. With the dynamics in play, more deepening of the low wouldn't completely surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Living in West Knox, the thing that worries me about this storm is the sharp cutoff. On the latest 3k NAM, it shows around 4 inches where I live, but 30 minutes west, it’s basically showing a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, Vol4Life said: Living in West Knox, the thing that worries me about this storm is the sharp cutoff. On the latest 3k NAM, it shows around 4 inches where I live, but 30 minutes west, it’s basically showing a trace. The trends are good for us my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: A friend of mine just sent me a picture from Memphis of it hailing there . It’s a stout line. Will be interesting to see how long thunder stays with it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 I asked MRX on Facebook a couple hours ago if there was a chance they could extend the WSW westward to the valley. They said it's possible, but not likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Living in West Knox, the thing that worries me about this storm is the sharp cutoff. On the latest 3k NAM, it shows around 4 inches where I live, but 30 minutes west, it’s basically showing a trace.Trends are headed in the right direction. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 I asked MRX on Facebook a couple hours ago if there was a chance they could extend the WSW westward to the valley. They said it's possible, but not likely.That was before the west trend on the Euro and NAM 3k. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Tornado watches being hoisted in MS/LA now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 It’s a stout line. Will be interesting to see how long thunder stays with it! That’s a lot of lightning . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, PowellVolz said: That was before the west trend on the Euro and NAM 3k. . Exactly. The fact that they said it was possible at 7:00 is very telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 minute ago, Runman292 said: Exactly. The fact that they said it was possible at 7:00 is very telling. They are losing their mind atm looking at models and data, I’m sure they stopped off and got a bit of alcohol before the night shift, at least I hope they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Front just literally blew thru Memphis with a gust close to 60 mph close to 60 mph...temps crashing now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 RGEM is up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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