Recommended Posts

so far OH and been doing better then IL and MI

 

it could be that there isn't one HUGE population center (ie Chicago. Detroit) and therefor OH is less dense in any urban center(has more  metros rather then one huge one)

but OH also cancelled the primary and MI and IL did not

 

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A graph I've been adding to, showing total fatalities in the hardest hit countries...

image.thumb.png.ced1e383f780498bf70c877ca1d83c03.png

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, wisconsinwx said:

Man, this is hitting the travel industry like crazy; nearly half of our travel agent team was terminated today including myself (won't go into much detail, but worked for a relatively large travel company for almost 6 years).  There is no way around it, it's impacting every part of our life except the weather.

It's impacting the weather too (or at least our ability to predict it). Read several articles that reduced aircraft observations may negatively impact model performance.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Chicago Storm said:

A graph I've been adding to, showing total fatalities in the hardest hit countries...

image.thumb.png.ced1e383f780498bf70c877ca1d83c03.png

the Y-axis should be deaths per 10,000 people or something....98% of people are comparing raw numbers .....Italy has 1/5 the population of the USA

 

deaths per 1,000,000 people

Italy 218

Spain 201

UK  35

USA 15

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

so far OH and been doing better then IL and MI

 

it could be that there isn't one HUGE population center (ie Chicago. Detroit) and therefor OH is less dense in any urban center(has more  metros rather then one huge one)

but OH also cancelled the primary and MI and IL did not

 

 

 

 

I think it has to do with our Governor closing everything down really quick more than anything else. He's wasn't messing around with this.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, snowlover2 said:

I think it has to do with our Governor closing everything down really quick more than anything else. He's wasn't messing around with this.

perhaps....he was very aggressive despite  the relatively low numbers 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
the Y-axis should be deaths per 10,000 people or something....98% of people are comparing raw numbers .....Italy has 1/5 the population of the USA
 
deaths per 1,000,000 people
Italy 218
Spain 201
UK  35
USA 15
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Deaths per 10k population (or something similar) would be better, but I’m too lazy to do all of that...thus the easy total count.

The total count is still important too though.


.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:


Deaths per 10k population (or something similar) would be better, but I’m too lazy to do all of that...thus the easy total count.

The total count is still important too though.


.

I hear ya

if you have time a graph of IL, MI, OH would be cool for both cases and deaths since they are all pretty close in population and are in this sub forum :)

I saw one earlier on twitter and was going to post it here but can't find it....it shows the spike in IL and MO and the flat curve in OH

not sure what data set you are using but here is a good one ..it even has the total number of tests (state daily 4pm)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18oVRrHj3c183mHmq3m89_163yuYltLNlOmPerQ18E8w/htmlview?usp=sharing#

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ohio didn't really close stuff much earlier than the other states.  I think there are probably multiple reasons for why it hasn't been as bad there.  Cancelling the primary is likely a factor.

From the link I posted earlier today...

 Screenshot_20200401-201540.thumb.png.298c34e06abf03f521c79b4ae8ca99cf.png

 

Screenshot_20200401-201502.thumb.png.8e9dc9275193e82f3366c1ddebbe7aa2.png

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

I hear ya

if you have time a graph of IL, MI, OH would be cool for both cases and deaths since they are all pretty close in population and are in this sub forum :)

I saw one earlier on twitter and was going to post it here but can't find it....it shows the spike in IL and MO and the flat curve in OH

not sure what data set you are using but here is a good one ..it even has the total number of tests (state daily 4pm)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18oVRrHj3c183mHmq3m89_163yuYltLNlOmPerQ18E8w/htmlview?usp=sharing#

I actually started working on some this evening with several states. If I don't post it tonight, I'll have it tomorrow.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looking at the dates the states in the Great Lakes took certain actions shows how behind states here were by comparison.  NY and NJ shut bars, schools, and banned large gatherings around the same time the Great Lakes states did (and had orders of magnitude more cases  when they did, at least in NY)...I think our stay at home order in NJ came on the 21st, so slightly earlier.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The onslaught of fatalities and still less than ideal testing capacity has pushed the US confirmed case fatality rate up to near 2.5%.  No, it's almost certainly not the real fatality rate from this illness, but that percentage will keep going up unless we start testing at a much faster rate than we are now.

  • Sad 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

who all do you think has the best data vis site? i actually think some of the weirdo projects have more intuitive portals than JHU or STAT or the FT (https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest) and the worldometer is fastest glance

https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en

its the county level data and testing tabs that i think are real helpful, tho i dunno, maybe the name brand institutional sites have better QA? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Whether or not this has any thing to do with anything I found this about obesity estimates worldwide. I was surprised to see how many countries were running a 20% or higher obesity rate.  3/4ths of the landmass people occupy are running an obesity rate at 20% or higher.  South Korea jumped out with an obesity rate of 4.3%.  No science just a reference.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/obesity-rates-by-country/

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Was reading something sobering a little while ago about how covid-19 may become the leading cause of death in the US for a period of time pretty soon.  Heart disease is #1 with over 1700 deaths per day on average.

  • Sad 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Indiana over 3000 confirmed now.  Deaths steadily rising but fortunately not really accelerating... yet. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you are interested in reporting lag and how it affects data presentation of e.g. things like the “epidemic curve” and whether the curve is flattening or not, here is an interesting thread using Ontario as a case study

 

 

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sadly, due to a very unfortunate industrial connection with other hardest hit regions of the globe, we are seeing our "safest state in the union" moniker getting tattered, torn, and pummeled by COVID-19.

 

 

Why Detrioit's hit hard by COVID-19.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

Bigger increase continues...

6,980 cases and 141 death in IL.

7,695 cases and 157 deaths in IL now.

Seem to be going back and forth between bigger and smaller jumps in case and death counts every other day.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

7,695 cases and 157 deaths in IL now.

Seem to be going back and forth between bigger and smaller jumps in case and death counts every other day.

10791 cases and 417 deaths in MI today.  Up 1457 and 80 respectively.  Not really slowing down any here.  Although it is slightly less than yesterday in terms of new cases.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Indiana's Governor and State School Supt. have just announced this afternoon that all K-12 public and private schools must continue with e learning to the end of the school year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
43 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Why in the world is Wisconsin still planning on voting next Tuesday?

A lot of people already voted absentee but other than that, I’m not sure why.  Maybe they think it’s worth a calculated risk but I think they should postpone.  I was considering helping out my local site but had a change of heart today.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, UMB WX said:

Can't he just bypass the legislature?  In Ohio I think the public health commissioner (or whatever the title is) stepped in and basically said we're not having this election because of the public health hazard.  

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I posted this in the Corona virus thread in the New England forum, like most of their threads, it's a very long one lol.

 

 But it's worthwhile to post in here. Food for thought on areas that are not taking it seriously yet, one person mentioning West Michigan. Those areas where covid is still relatively sparse probably have that "it cant happen to me" mindset. They start taking it seriously when it becomes imminent, ie, when it's too late. Michigan's covid is very heavily concentrated in metro Detroit, but that's because about half of the state's 10 million people are clustered in Southeast Michigan. That does not mean that more rural areas should take it as a free pass, because it is still there, only in far lesser numbers, and they also have less medical facilities. 

 

I literally have not left my house, but from everything I'm seeing on social media, Southeast Michigan is taking it quite seriously for the most part. Metro Detroit freeways are wide open during rush hour.  Social media is inundated with real stories of this virus so it's pretty much impossible not to see it and take it seriously. Restaurants that are still open for take out are shipping food and treats to area hospitals, people are putting out white ribbons to support medical staff, etc.  The good of humanity is showing through as best as it can during the darkest times.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   1 member