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mackerel_sky

2/8/2020 Snow Event

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Temps were 41 degrees with that last storm where we got heavy wet snow that switched from light rain/snow mix. The surface layer was also completely saturated at 41 degrees and the 850-950mb layer was much warmer than it is now.  Heavy snow continued for several hours here and temp dropped down to 34 degrees by 11am with that storm.
Grant it, that storm had more qpf to work with, but my point is that even if we warm up to 36-40 degrees over the next couple of hours, temps are still way below freezing at 950mb and above, and we had room for wetbulbing at the surface since dewpoints will be in the mid/upper 20's. We still want to stay as cold as possible b/c it looks like we're only getting .1-.3 of liquid with this storm and it will suck to waste any of it on mix/white rain. but there is no doubt NE GA/western upstate will see big fluffy snow today, and i'd be suprised if these area's don't get a dusting at minimum with 1-3 inches for gainesville/toccoa/clayton/cornelia/walhalla.
 
 
GSP discussion mentioned the bullseye being around the Ellicott Rock area, which I'm 6 miles north. Hope you score well!

Can't. Freaking. Wait.

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4 minutes ago, LiQuiDBuD said:

GSP discussion mentioned the bullseye being around the Ellicott Rock area, which I'm 6 miles north. Hope you score well!

Can't. Freaking. Wait.

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Anyone above 1500' in GA/SC/Southern NC mountains are a lock for 2-4 inches. You guys don't have to sweat boundary layer temps. In fact you guys above 2500' are probably in for some >10:1 ratio stuff with 850mb temps around -5C and surface temps in the upper 20's. Should get some nice big dendrites there

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30 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

I think this will be our big problem. 25 here but CLEAR. Temps can easily rise into the mid 30s or higher in just an hour or so of sun. Needed clouds already in with precip falling now.

 

Same here

26 minutes ago, oconeexman said:

Yep I agree..bad timing gonna kill our chances I'm afraid

I still have hope to see some flakes. The next 3 hours of nowcasting will tell all. :snowing: :frostymelt: :maphot:

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1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Same here

I still have hope to see some flakes. The next 3 hours of nowcasting will tell all. :snowing: :frostymelt: :maphot:

You could be our(upstate) good luck charm now!

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9 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

Anyone above 1500' in GA/SC/Southern NC mountains are a lock for 2-4 inches. You guys don't have to sweat boundary layer temps. In fact you guys above 2500' are probably in for some >10:1 ratio stuff with 850mb temps around -5C and surface temps in the upper 20's. Should get some nice big dendrites there

I hope so.. we are still sitting at 23 degrees with cloud cover.

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26 minutes ago, LiQuiDBuD said:

GSP discussion mentioned the bullseye being around the Ellicott Rock area, which I'm 6 miles north. Hope you score well!

Can't. Freaking. Wait.

Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk
 

You live on big ridge near glenville don’t you?

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I hope so.. we are still sitting at 23 degrees with cloud cover.
Same here, started the morning at 20 under clear skies and now warmed to 23 but cloud cover thickening quickly.

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You live on big ridge near glenville don’t you?
Used to, now I live in "downtown" Cashiers metropolis.

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I actually live at my plumbing supply store now, no more trudging through sketchy poorly maintained roads to get to work. I like driving in it when I want to, not because I have to!

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Sooo wow what happened over night lol woke up to a winter storm warning, which I had not expected. Low clouds here and cold. This could be a fun day 

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Finally seeing first flakes on the north end of lake Lanier in Gainesville. Returns look juicy back west, hope she comes through. 

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 Snowflakes have started to fall in  my area.   Coffee on the front porch this morning. If I get any amount worth a photo I will upload it here.  Enjoy!  I would guess this would of been a surprise snow event back in the day.  Thank you all for sharing your weather knowledge! 

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I like hearing that the flakes are starting to fly - although it’s a little warmer imby than a lot of places it seems it’s 33 here

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