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Mid to Long Range Threats

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2 hours ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

I think this could trend to an advisory snows for the suburbs

really ? please explain with some graphics from models

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3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

really ? please explain with some graphics from models

 

Flizzard.

 

 

namconus_ref_frzn_neus_44.png

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3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Check out the cmc

has nothing for immediate NYC metro

gem_asnow_neus_19.png

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32 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Check out the cmc

You might have been looking at last night's run

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9 minutes ago, romba said:

You might have been look at last night's run

Probably looked at december

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7 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Inland areas change to snow on the nam

namconus_ref_frzn_neus_43.png

A trace of non accumulating white rain Friday. And the Saturday night/Sunday “event” did a Houdini

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2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

A trace of non accumulating white rain Friday. And the Saturday night/Sunday “event” did a Houdini

That event never had a chance with that energy crashing into the Pac NW.  It could have been an MA event but that’s about it 

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12 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said:

That event never had a chance with that energy crashing into the Pac NW.  It could have been an MA event but that’s about it 

Models  fail

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1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Unbelievable 

 

Good track and still rain for the coast 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_24.png

Garbage airmass, no blocking. And that’s the severely cold-biased op GFS showing that, not to worry, that’ll verify as an all rain event for our entire forum by Thursday 

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1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

Garbage airmass, no blocking. And that’s the severely cold-biased op GFS showing that, not to worry, that’ll verify as an all rain event for our entire forum by Thursday 

Pretty much. I won’t be optimistic at all for anything until those underlying conditions change. This likely rides the crazy SE ridge like the rest and cuts inland at the end. 

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3 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Garbage airmass, no blocking. And that’s the severely cold-biased op GFS showing that, not to worry, that’ll verify as an all rain event for our entire forum by Thursday 

Unfortunately I agree, I would be surprised if the final outcome isn't a lot a warmer than whats being depicted on the GFS. It has just an absolutely nonexistent winter basically anywhere south of I84

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2 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said:

That day 4-5 threat is very interesting for the NYC area with potential for at least a few inches of accumulating snow. ICON and GFS hinting at this well

Hopefully it stays like that

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What are the odds in the next day or two the HP in Canada disappears and the storm cuts? Looks good now, I'll start buying in on Monday.

Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk

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24 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

What are the odds in the next day or two the HP in Canada disappears and the storm cuts? Looks good now, I'll start buying in on Monday.

Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk
 

Still interesting tracking today and tomm but by ..mon oz their should be some clarity..

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5 minutes ago, NYCSNOWMAN2020 said:

Still interesting tracking today and tomm but by ..mon oz their should be some clarity..

12Z GEM onboard

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png

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6 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

Euro looks like it'll cut. No high up in Canada.

 

 

Edit: Yup, cutter.

 

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different then other OP 12Z models

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png

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