MJO812 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 These storms usually get juicier as we get near. Watch out for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Miller A....on the way 24hr qpf has a very nice look k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 28 minutes ago, Snow88 said: These storms usually get juicier as we get near. Watch out for that. Ok Ant, I'll bite. Is this going to be a winter of nickel and dime events? We'll take it I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Ok Ant, I'll bite. Is this going to be a winter of nickel and dime events? We'll take it I guess. I think so Better than last December so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 37 minutes ago, Doorman said: Miller A....on the way 24hr qpf has a very nice look k Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 The 18z RDPS (regional Canadian) shows between 0.3 and 0.6 frozen across most of the area. This is a similar depiction but maybe a notch wetter than the NAM and GFS. The GDPS is slightly drier and further east with the boundary. The 18z ICON is SE and dry (not enthused) and the 12z UK was pretty wet (QPF). I think the best chance for accumulating snow will be near or just after daybreak as surface temperatures finally approach freezing. This looks like a general coating to 3" or so, depending on location. But I also think someone has a shot at 4"+. It could be a surprisingly snowy Wednesday morning. Not a blockbuster but 2-3" in a few hours can create a very wintry appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 1 hour ago, Doorman said: Miller A....on the way 24hr qpf has a very nice look k Whabam! Simple, coupla inches and done. #moarweathermaps and less modelology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Any word on the SREFs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 1 hour ago, eduggs said: The 18z RDPS (regional Canadian) shows between 0.3 and 0.6 frozen across most of the area. This is a similar depiction but maybe a notch wetter than the NAM and GFS. The GDPS is slightly drier and further east with the boundary. The 18z ICON is SE and dry (not enthused) and the 12z UK was pretty wet (QPF). I think the best chance for accumulating snow will be near or just after daybreak as surface temperatures finally approach freezing. This looks like a general coating to 3" or so, depending on location. But I also think someone has a shot at 4"+. It could be a surprisingly snowy Wednesday morning. Not a blockbuster but 2-3" in a few hours can create a very wintry appeal. Yea probably someone just NW of the I95 corridor will have the best shot at 4+ where theres enough cold air and enough precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: Any word on the SREFs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 26 minutes ago, Negnao said: Yea that's what I'd expect if it's a more amped up and further NW solution, if it's further SE the totals will not be as high due to the temp issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Lot of moving parts to this. Difficult to be confident here in a snow forecast three days out. Fortunately I don't have to drive anywhere Wednesday morning, so can consider the outcome with equanimity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 9, 2019 Author Share Posted December 9, 2019 NAM coming in juicy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Zelocita Weather said: NAM coming in juicy.... And colder. Nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Only shows an inch or two around the city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 17 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: Only shows an inch or two around the city? snow down to Atlantic City ... temps crash that hard? 10 am Weds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Storm is getting juicier and colder! Trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2-4 for NYC on the Kuchera GFS maps with more towards LI. I like 2-4 for the area. I wouldn't be shocked if we see less or even more. Depends how fast the front comes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 This feels like the Dec 24, 1997 or 1998 snowfall. It was a nice little event, but we had more cold air to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 The 0z RDPS is wet and cold - even better than 18z. It suggests 2-6" regionwide with some sleet to start. Gotta hedge lower at this point but confidence in a snow event is increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, eduggs said: The 0z RDPS is wet and cold - even better than 18z. It suggests 2-6" regionwide with some sleet to start. Gotta hedge lower at this point but confidence in a snow event is increasing. It has about 14mm. Looks really good. Keep expectations in check but these can bust in a good way as we saw in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Weenie rgem map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 20 minutes ago, Enigma said: This feels like the Dec 24, 1997 or 1998 snowfall. It was a nice little event, but we had more cold air to work with. 1998. That was more of a vort and weak surface low though as was the 2014 post Super Bowl event. 11/29/95 might be closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 The UKMET has .3-.4 liquid after 12Z Wednesday which would likely be all snow. Not sure how much of what it shows before that is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Euro isnt that impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: Euro isnt that impressive If the euro isn’t on board, it’s usually game Over. I can see the other models trend towards the euro today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: If the euro isn’t on board, it’s usually game Over. I can see the other models trend towards the euro today. Not true anymore. Euro isnt what it was back in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Gfs still looks really nice for the whole area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Not true anymore. Euro isnt what it was back in the day. So your saying the euros skill is less then it used to be? I highly doubt that. Too many things need to go right for this to be more then some wet non accumulating snow (in the city) I’ll take a slushy coating as I like all snow but keep expectations low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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