SnowGoose69 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Those 2003 storms really sucked as a new college met student. 12/7/03 I was in Ithaca before break, Rhody was slammed. 1/4/03 I was home on holiday break and ITH got slammed. There was another storm later that month where ITH/BGM got destroyed I think with like a foot and the forecast was 1-3. I think it was a clipper that hit mostly the NYC area but some funky band formed up on the north side that nobody saw coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 If I had to draw a map right now, it would look closer to 1/4/03 in terms of best snows. Still favoring CNE unless euro/eps double down on today’s runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Those 2003 storms really sucked as a new college met student. 12/7/03 I was in Ithaca before break, Rhody was slammed. 1/4/03 I was home on holiday break and ITH got slammed. Didnt ITH get hammered Christmas 02 and the Jan 03 back to back and a belly to belly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I didnt say all, i know i read your post from earlier. The majority of CT was bad. Lots of foot plus in your okx totals , bad in relation I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Didnt ITH get hammered Christmas 02 and the Jan 03 back to back and a belly to belly Yeah, I think my other post must've gotten buried in the flurry there, but 12/26/02 was a biggie too. Jan looked pretty wild across campus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 20 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: See my radar, it was a bad bust in CT Yeah bad for south Central CT In Fairfield county we landed 1 foot. Was expecting far less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Really strong banding signal Monday night, but the question I think both on the GFS and Euro is whether it's too far east to really spread the wealth. The AEMATT crowd should love it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 WU just dropped their forecast totals for mby from 11-14” to 2-5”. The latter seems realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 gfs colder and south thru 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Hate me or love me. The ICON solution makes the most sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lots of foot plus in your okx totals , bad in relation I guess There are. There are also a lot of 5, 6, 7, 8" amounts in there and when the forecast is for minimum a foot, id call that a bust. I just looked at BOX PNS too, its the same for HFD county many 5-8" amounts. The biggest scoring county is Windham county in all of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: There are. There are also a lot of 5, 6, 7, 8" amounts in there and when the forecast is for minimum a foot, id call that a bust. I just looked at BOX PNS too, its the same for HFD county many 5-8" amounts. The biggest scoring county is Windham county in all of CT. Where did you get Box PNS I looked for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 The Southeast convection is going to play a pretty large role in this, because the ridging ahead of the upper low factors into both the north/south and the east/west position of low pressure. The higher heights ahead of the upper low would suggest a threat for a more west low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Where did you get Box PNS I looked for it See my new thread i posted, two days ago, which is a ghost town. Past Winter Storms thread, the link is in there for all NWS products dating back to 93. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 The GFS is clearly putting the baroclinic zone too far north and east of the low vs icon same time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs colder and south thru 60. This could be a CT special but nothing to fret about unless we trend through tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The Southeast convection is going to play a pretty large role in this, because the ridging ahead of the upper low factors into both the north/south and the east/west position of low pressure. The higher heights ahead of the upper low would suggest a threat for a more west low track. Could we pull a March '17 type move? Just keep pumping heights at game time until the low crosses SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: This could be a CT special but nothing to fret about unless we trend through tomorrow night. Pike area looks like the sweet spot imo but agree, need to see another 48hrs to get a clear picture. Pure speculation at this point, to an extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Some minor differences out west making huge impacts. Look out west ICON Vs GFS and that buckle in the flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Gfs ended up colder and has a 10 spot for NYC LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: See my new thread i posted, two days ago, which is a ghost town. Past Winter Storms thread, the link is in there for all NWS products dating back to 93. Awesome I never saw the thread. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 GFS was congrats Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 MPM came back off the ledge with the nam and he’s now at the roller rink twirling to the gfs with a coffee in hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 This is weird. GFS gone wild. This 500 Vort pattern wouldn’t make that piece of energy just shunt south and east like that. First picture IcOn makes more sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS was congrats Ray. How much for us coasties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: MPM came back off the ledge with the nam and he’s now at the roller rink twirling to the gfs with a coffee in hand. NAM and GFS vs. EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Just now, EastonSN+ said: NAM and GFS vs. EURO. Vs ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Just now, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: This is weird. GFS gone wild. This 500 Vort pattern wouldn’t make that piece of energy just shunt south and east like that. First picture IcOn makes more sense GFS has and likely always will suck for nor'easters. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: Could we pull a March '17 type move? Just keep pumping heights at game time until the low crosses SNE? Typically I would like to see the flow be more meridional to do something like that. I like my convection oriented N/S to really drive the heights up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Give me the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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