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Mid to Late May 2019 Severe Threats

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57 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

Awfully quiet for two tornado warnings in DFW

Looks like a solid funnel passed NW of Dallas. They had a pic on TWC.

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Broad rotation / meso may be trying to form on that DeSoto cell heading towards downtown Dallas. Also a meso tightening near the Heath cell east of Dallas. Other than that, most of the circulations are weak atm.

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Looks like the Linwood tornado is going to get a prelim EF4 rating. 

Capture.JPG

unknown.png

 

Heard something internally that the final windspeed is still up for debate and that Tim Marshall and other engineers were being consulted for portions of the EAX survey path. Probably why there's no DI points in their CWA yet.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
301 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHERN ROCKWALL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  
  SOUTHEASTERN COLLIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  
  
* UNTIL 345 PM CDT.  
  
* AT 300 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MOBILE CITY, OR  
  NEAR ROCKWALL, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  ROYSE CITY AROUND 305 PM CDT.  
  FARMERSVILLE AROUND 345 PM CDT.  
  
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE  
JOSEPHINE, LAVON, NEVADA AND MCLENDON-CHISHOLM.

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4 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
301 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHERN ROCKWALL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  
  SOUTHEASTERN COLLIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  
  
* UNTIL 345 PM CDT.  
  
* AT 300 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MOBILE CITY, OR  
  NEAR ROCKWALL, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  ROYSE CITY AROUND 305 PM CDT.  
  FARMERSVILLE AROUND 345 PM CDT.  
  
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE  
JOSEPHINE, LAVON, NEVADA AND MCLENDON-CHISHOLM.

20190529_rockwall_ref.png

20190529_rockwall_vel.png

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Confirmed tornado went through Canton just now. They just had a EF3 a couple years ago. Now making the right turn, may be heading towards Mineola and Quitman.

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8 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Where did you see 592 total?  SPC has 442 through 11am CDT 5/28 on there STAMTS.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/STAMTS.txt

and there are so far 27 unfiltered prelim reports from 5/28, so that's 469.

 

I just counted the reports from every single day. I suppose the most important value, is the number of confirmed tornadoes. My best resource here is Wikipedia, which says 294.

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Just now, Chinook said:

Kemp/Mabank have preliminary tornado reports near highway 175

With that couplet it's not surprising

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17 minutes ago, shaggy said:

With that couplet it's not surprising

Hearing it's a large multiple-vortex tornado per Twitter reports.

Edit: Pics show a large stovepipe

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Outside of this subforum, a tornado warned cell is at Trenton NJ/ eastern Pennsylvania, highly populated area between NYC and Philadelphia.

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Confirmed tornado approaching Canton TX now. 

 

Edit; PDS warning now with large tornado on the ground. 

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NWS has tagged Canton tornado as a PDS. It is multi vortex. As did the 2017 tornado this is Canton Trade Days weekend so numerous people likely already in town staying in trailers.

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Donut hole moving right over Canton. The couplet looks broader, perhaps weaker than before on velocity, however, unsure if due to distance moving away from radar or circulation of a large tornado.564acc35f8ad8026bd0da5a6b08e6c80.gif

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Eek was about to comment that I hoped the Canton tornado lifted because it looks bad on radar. Pretty pronounced cc signature the last couple scans.

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Based on this video and the report above, it appears the tornado did weaken and rope out as it moved into Canton proper. Probably cycled as the couplet seemed to reintensify NE of the city. If so, they are fortunate, as it clearly looked intense in the earlier video. Still likely caused damage as there were high winds and RFD on the right side of the meso that clearly moved through the area based on early photos, but hopefully the folks at the trade event took shelter.

 

 

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