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About aggiegeog

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Lindale, TX

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  1. It is silly to do anything but pattern watch right now. Surface reflections are useless right now.
  2. I need to check my rain gauge and see what additional rain I got. The drive into the Arlington Convention Center for NTNGA's Trade Show yesterday morning was interesting in the heavy rain. Also model teasing another Texas winter storm for the middle of next week. I have not looked at details on that yet.
  3. I have gotten around 4" of rain from this event. As expected snow chances are increasing for next week.
  4. The transition line to snow is staying just to my west. Looks like a no go here, just a bit of sleet.
  5. Looks like the I-35 corridor of C TX is getting at least a dusting tonight. It is inching toward me in NW Smith Co.
  6. It still looks good for light snow tonight from Central TX through East TX. Moisture is shallow but it is there along with an impulse to wring the moisture out. I expect a dusting to an isolated inch for most as temps will be mostly in the 33-35 range and precip rates will be light.
  7. Blizzard warning for mountains of West Texas where they could see a foot of snow with wind chills below 0.
  8. Basically along and behind the 700mb front is where the heavy snow will be. Between the 700 and 850mb front is going to be mainly sleet. East of the 850mb front will be rain or freezing rain.
  9. Agreed model support waned overnight. It is still incredibly close call especially west of I-35. A slight cool down would change things drastically for Fort Worth even as it they will likely see a fair amount of sleet. For Dallas even if surface temps end up near freezing the warm nose is pretty stout.
  10. I expect all of DFW will end up with a warning by tomorrow morning. An inch of sleet will cause huge travel issues. DFW looks top miss out on most of the snow with the majority falling between Childress and Wichita Falls and a secondary band tomorrow night from the Austin area through Deep E TX.
  11. This storm is the first in a long time that is associated with a very deep trough so I am not so concerned with warmth aloft though E of I35 mixing will be an issue but I do not think it will be all rain until you get east of DFW. Sleet could push all the way into E TX Wed. Thursday will feature incredibly cold temps aloft.
  12. Also for those in Central and East Texas watch trends for Wednesday night. I could see some 3"+snow totals from the northern Hill Country into East Texas with a general 1/2-2" over a wide area. this is under the base of the trough as it kicks east out of Mexico.
  13. That front is barrelling south right now. Key right now is if it slows as the globals indicate, if not then game on. Arctic air doesn't like to slow down but the mid level cold could we will see.
  14. Starting to look like a DFW bullseye with heavy sleet and snow on Wed.