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Cheeznado

Post Arctic front snow Tuesday, Jan 29

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1 hour ago, buncombe said:

GSP now expressing doubts about snow in latest AFD.  

Go figure, if it were suppose to be all rain the totals would probably go up but because its snow the totals or models trend down, we can't even get it when it's forecast around here  :ee:

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Both the high-res NAM and HRRR show about a 3-4 hour pocket of rain moving through central NC.  There is about a 3-4 hour lag period after rain ends before surface temps reach freezing.  Whatever doesn't evaporate and dry up will likely freeze by morning.

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High temp forecast for me has already busted. Sitting at 47, supposed to be at 44. I'm thinking this one is dead for the core metro unless there are some really good reports from TN Valley.

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Over in AL no reports of accumulation to speak of, HRRR and 3km NAM have no snow here at all....BUST! I say let's go directly to severe weather season. This could easily be the first year in a long time where there was not even one flake of snow IMBY. 

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2 minutes ago, Cheeznado said:

Over in AL no reports of accumulation to speak of, HRRR and 3km NAM have no snow here at all....BUST! I say let's go directly to severe weather season. This could easily be the first year in a long time where there was not even one flake of snow IMBY. 

Yeap.. same here... haven't seen a single one this year.

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Somebody is N GA is going to see about 90 seconds of snow according to radar this morning.  Hope all those kids that are out of school today enjoy those flakes! 

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Just now, kvegas-wx said:

Somebody is N GA is going to see about 90 seconds of snow according to radar this morning.  Hope all those kids that are out of school today enjoy those flakes! 

They'll have more frosted flakes this morning than snowflakes. :weep:

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1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said:

Somebody is N GA is going to see about 90 seconds of snow according to radar this morning.  Hope all those kids that are out of school today enjoy those flakes! 

*looks out window*

Nope, not yet.

:P

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Hmm. Looks like the dry colder air is finally starting to undercut the frontal moisture. What are the chances that the south central portions of AL and GA end up seeing heavy snow showers with temps in the mid 30s. It may not stick, but it will be pretty to look at. 

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As usual, cold air chases almost never work out. This is no exception. The writing was on the wall well before this morning. 

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well if it were 10 degrees colder it would be snowing lol.  not surprised to see rain this morning - as eyewall and cheez said (and many of us who grew up here know) cold chasing rain is almost always a no-go

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53 minutes ago, eyewall said:

As usual, cold air chases almost never work out. This is no exception. The writing was on the wall well before this morning. 

The writing was on the "eyewall".;)

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1 hour ago, eyewall said:

As usual, cold air chases almost never work out. This is no exception. The writing was on the wall well before this morning. 

yep..for sure it almost never fails it will dissappoint.. .this never looked too promising except in alabama but it was obvious laat night the cold air was lagging too far behind. feel for northern alabama...had a warning and pretty much got nothing. at least here there was never a chance. 

this winter sucks. 

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Dang, this didn't even work out in AL/MS as far as I can tell (nevermind east of the Appalachians which you figured wasn't going to happen).  And they canceled school in some of these areas, too.  Disaster.

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Last winter was too good to us in the ATL and surrounding burbs, knew we were bound for an inevitable disappointment this go around. Temps aren't even close right now and looking at mesoanalysis, they are marginal even way behind the front back in AL. Hopefully we get a shot in February sometime but not holding my breath. 

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Taken literally, the 12Z 3KNAM shows about 4 hours of precipitation for Wake County.  Question still remains how much dries before it freezes on roadways.

 

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7 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

Taken literally, the 12Z 3KNAM shows about 4 hours of precipitation for Wake County.  Question still remains how much dries before it freezes on roadways.

 

I'm expecting schools to be delayed, unfortunately. 

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Kids in the entire Atlanta metro are out of school for a little rain and some drizzle.  Most of us didn’t even see a flake.  Not a single damn flake.  

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