HeadInTheClouds Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: The axis of WAA precip is horrible for our area. Way too far NW for anything appreciable before the midlevels are long gone. It's a shame. You keep saying "our area" like everybody on this board lives in Queens. There are many posters on this board who are north and west of the city and will have significant impacts from this storm. I've watched the city and Long Island get a foot of snow while I'm sucking virga in hudson valley, so guess what, it's a big area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Hope the HRRR is wrong for the catskills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: You keep saying "our area" like everybody on this board lives in Queens. There are many posters on this board who are north and west of the city and will have significant impacts from this storm. I've watched the city and Long Island get a foot of snow while I'm sucking virga in hudson valley, so guess what, it's a big area. If you believe most guidance even many people NW wont see much before 01-02Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: You keep saying "our area" like everybody on this board lives in Queens. There are many posters on this board who are north and west of the city and will have significant impacts from this storm. I've watched the city and Long Island get a foot of snow while I'm sucking virga in hudson valley, so guess what, it's a big area. It goes above freezing to Binghamton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Look how the 10m winds are still out of the Northeast even at 11z. An indication of the lower levels staying cold. That's why I see this thing going across Trenton and out across the Cape. Not going up into the cold press with easy way out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: If you believe most guidance even many people NW wont see much before 01-02Z Yes, most guidance has me starting between 6 and 8 and changing over to sleet around 2 to 3 am. Thats plenty of time for a good front end thump of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: It goes above freezing to Binghamton. I thought this was a CAD situation though? In that case BGM can blowtorch into the upper 30s with Poughkeepsie solidly below freezing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: It goes above freezing to Binghamton. So what, maybe Sunday morning when they have already received a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 36.4 degrees in Levittown, eastern Nassau County Long Island. Wind ESE about 6mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I will take the 2 for coastal ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: So what, maybe Sunday morning when they have already received a foot of snow. Binghamton isn't part of this sub forum. My point is its unfavorable all the way up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Binghamton isn't part of this sub forum. My point is its unfavorable all the way up there. Explain to me what is unfavorable about a foot of snow even if it changes to rain for a brief period Sunday morning. Nobody in this forum is expecting an all snow event but it remains pretty clear that areas north and west will be significantly impacted by a mixture of snow, sleet, and icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Flood Watch now in effect here from 7 pm thru tomorrow afternoon for 1-2" of rain w/locally higher amounts possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, HeadInTheClouds said: Explain to me what is unfavorable about a foot of snow even if it changes to rain for a brief period Sunday morning. Nobody in this forum is expecting an all snow event but it remains pretty clear that areas north and west will be significantly impacted by a mixture of snow, sleet, and icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Dude, you just don't give up do you. I'm sorry Queens is going to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Upton just hoisted flash flood watches for the coast, NYC, LI Southern CT etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 And like I mentioned earlier today the Winter Weather Advisory for my area has been cancelled and rightfully so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Oh my.. And thats on top of the 7" of snow they have forecasted for us up here. No bueno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Solid ice event for the interior sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I don't know what to expect anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Upton just hoisted flash flood watches for the coast, NYC, LI Southern CT etc We'll take the rain this time but one big blizzard will make up for it...i think we will have some decent chances for a good snow event in the next few weeks...but a flash flood watch in mid january does suck.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 My ice forecast. My snow forecast from earlier will stand as final. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Haha. That Flash Flood Watch is really the fat lady singing for this thread. Or is it the first rain drop? 3-6 2-4 Now 1-3 And there are a whole lot of people south and east of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: I don't know what to expect anymore Everything basically. NWS Albany gives you about 7 inches of snow and .30 ice and some sleet and even rain tomorrow morning possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 306 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 CTZ005-NJZ002-103-NYZ067>070-200500- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190120T2300Z/ Northern Fairfield-Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Orange-Putnam- Rockland-Northern Westchester- 306 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to locally four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EST Sunday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Hazardous travel is expected with roads becoming snow and ice covered. Gusty winds, snow, and ice accumulation may bring down tree limbs and power lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, jfklganyc said: Haha. That Flash Flood Watch is really the fat lady singing for this thread. Or is it the first rain drop? 3-6 2-4 Now 1-3 And there are a whole lot of people south and east of me Maybe you didn't know this but the sub-forum goes a lot further West than Westechester County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 18z NAM supports the flood watch-wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Good call for those who were saying this would trend north at the end. SWFEs (which this pretty much is) usually do. Even Albany's getting cut back decently on snow amounts and State College is looking like it'll be a low-end warning level event rather than the 14-15" being called yesterday. We may still have the lead on Boston for seasonal snow after this. Might just be wall-to-wall rain for most on Long Island and NYC. Could even have thunder as the cold front comes east-looks like a pretty nasty line with that. Further inland especially around I-287 looks icy still due to the cold drain and NW of there still looks like a good thumping for a while before ice. Two bad trends: the overrunning shooting over us so we waste the cold we currently have and the low trending further amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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