Bob Chill Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: HA!!!! So now it CAN'T rain next weekend! So finally...FINALLY...we don't have to see 45-50 degrees and rain on a Friday! (How long has it been now? Sweet mercy above!) Obviously we want a weekend snowfall to take it's place...but for me this is a little bonus victory, lol It can definitely rain next weekend. Or no precip at all.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yes Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 14 minutes ago, nj2va said: So much potential with the setup on the Euro. And it’s within 10 days! I miss when we used to start tracking under 100 hours now the bar is 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: You can't not really like the setup. Both Euro and Ukie at hour 144 look really full of potential ( that's midrange man) Too much activity off the coast of California. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scud Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 18 minutes ago, nj2va said: So much potential with the setup on the Euro. And it’s within 10 days! And we all said Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 50 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: The Feb look is absolute perfection. 49 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I’m no expert but those Feb and March monthly Euro maps look epic even to this untrained eye. It looks like the composite of all our epic snow periods. Not kidding. But we need it to be reality and not a ghost. January looks meh but considering what the front 15 looks like it likely that the back 10 look pretty good. I know some will never be totally happy with this year because of the bad start and that's fine. They have every right. But I will be thrilled and 100% satisfied if we get an epic period and i beat climo the second half. Actually if I'm going to get a little over climo snow I'd rather it come in one epic month then spread out over the whole winter. I love extreme events. To each their own. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It looks like the composite of all our epic snow periods. Not kidding. But we need it to be reality and not a ghost. January looks meh but considering what the front 15 looks like it likely that the back 10 look pretty good. I know some will never be totally happy with this year because of the bad start and that's fine. They have every right. But I will be thrilled and 100% satisfied if we get an epic period and i beat climo the second half. Actually if I'm going to get a little over climo snow I'd rather it come in one epic month then spread out over the whole winter. I love extreme events. To each their own. To celebrate the pattern change, PSU has changed his font. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 51 minutes ago, frd said: @psuhoffman Ah, OK, I see your Euro and I raise you a CFSv2 , all my money on the table take that ! :-) you might need a handful of popcorn during the animation Boo the cfs says the flip is the 19th. That seems a day early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 This is the 14 day GFS ensembles.. I'm pretty much wanting to call it a warm January and February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 26 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It can definitely rain next weekend. Or no precip at all.... Back to the old 100% Chance of weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scud Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Bob Seger, turn the page. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: Back to the old 100% Chance of weather Sometimes we are in a setup where it either snows or we get no precip. Next weekend is marginal on all levels. But you're correct... weather is definitely happening one way or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: This is the 14 day GFS ensembles.. I'm pretty much wanting to call it a warm January and February. I didnt want to waste the bandwidth but I will reply. This is thru Jan 20 give or take. The real pattern change takes place Jan 21+. These maps ALL show substantial cold ready to drop South. Those maps do not imply a warm end of Jan nor Feb. Please Chuck....just please. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Boo the cfs says the flip is the 19th. That seems a day early. Scanning around the web, seems that the possibilty we get more down welling from the SSWE is growing, which should benefit the -AO later. I am seeing more and more mentions of data needed, but not available, because of the Gov shut down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 39 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It can definitely rain next weekend. Or no precip at all.... How? Isn't it gonna be colder? (Even if it's dry it's still a plus) And at the very least...Friday and Saturday are clear, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Scud said: You killing puppies. You killing puppies... And you be killing grammer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 55 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: If that Pacific Hadley cell north of Hawaii keeps amplifying like the Euro shows, it won't be such a deep trough in the east despite -NAO. That isn't even on the maps I posted. Come on man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 And it continues Speculating here, but any relationship 1985, were it to in some form manifest itself, could possilby result in severe cold. Not sure what @Isotherm thinks about this, but we are consistently beating interim records and more warming on the way. I know Tom has posted on the wind reversal and 1985, but that was a few days ago, since then we are out doing 1985 as of today, and for the last 3 days. This is not 1985 NH similiar, in that case thinking stormy as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Just saw the Euro monthlies that were posted. WOW!!!! About all I can say about that. And Chuck? Come on man. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 18 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: This is the 14 day GFS ensembles.. I'm pretty much wanting to call it a warm January and February. What would Randy tell you? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: How? Isn't it gonna be colder? (Even if it's dry it's still a plus) And at the very least...Friday and Saturday are clear, right? There's low pressure to our NW near the lakes. This draws in mid level warmth in front of the southern shortwave. Blocks the cold hp im canada from pressing. Look at the 850 panels. Its obvious there. I'm not saying it's a lock that this is how it will look in 9 days. Far from a lock. But it's definitely not a lock that any precip will be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Nice improvement on the eps for next weekend. Big spread but a marked increase in the number of members that work out in some fashion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 One good sign on the eps is there are more hits for our area than misses south or east by a good margin. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 We are finally seeing the cold air pooling in our best source region. People have referenced 1985 and that was epic cold, really only 1982 and 1994 outdid it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 23 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: What would Randy tell you? Who is randy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Who is randy? Stormtracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 minute ago, cbmclean said: Who is randy? The Head Honcho. The Big Guy. He runs these boards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Have to like the look at the end of the run for the Euro. Actually a fairly strong signal for a storm around the 19/20th. But 14/15 days away so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: The Head Honcho. The Big Guy. He runs these boards. The Mozart-looking guy who tells AFUBN to shut-up all the time? I have been wondering what the story is there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 So if listing day 15 kills puppies what does posting monthly progs do? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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