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doncat

Meteorological Winter 2018 Banter

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11 minutes ago, SimeonNC said:

Okay, I was worried despite the snow bot forecasted to be much would slow down traffic.

Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk
 

If you're getting to NYC around midday Saturday there's going to be plenty of bridge and tunnel traffic regardless

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London is the new Los Angeles.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/26/world/europe/climate-change-hottest-day-uk.html

Temperatures peaked on Tuesday at 21.2 degrees Celsius (70.16 Fahrenheit) in Kew Gardens, London, the hottest February day in Britain since records began in 1910, according to the Met Office, the national meteorological service.

https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSLosAngeles/status/1100382369662595073

With only 3 days to go, this will likely be the first February on record for Downtown Los Angeles that the high temperature will not reach 70 degrees since records have been kept going back to 1877. (141 years)

 

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Keeping track of winter to date and what we need to get to Normal by winter's end.   Hopefully the last column goes positive quickly.   However, projecting to day 40, we could be at +4.6, -3.7---worst case.

Day #     Degs. +/-     Winter td .     ToNormal

32.             +097             +3.0                 -1.7

33.            +102              +3.1                 -1.8

34.           +108              +3.2                 -1.9

35.           +116              +3.3                 -2.1

36.          +127               +3.5                 -2.4

37.          +134               +3.6                -2.5            CFS is 16AN   14BN on the next 30 days.

38.          +131              +3.4                 -2.5           CFS is  20AN   10BN on the next 30 days.

39.          +138              +3.5                 -2.7

40.          +146              +3.7                -2.9

41.         +145              +3.5                 -3.0             CFS is 20BN   10AN on the next 30 days.   Nice improvement.

42          +139             +3.3                  -2.9

Estimating a +2.8 for the first half of the winter ie. by Day 46.

43.         +135            +3.1                 -2 8

44.         +132            +3.0                 -2.9

45.         +127            +2.8                 -2.8

46.         +126            +2.7                 -2.9

47.         +129            +2.7                 -3.0

48.         +126            +2.6                 -3.0 

49.         +128           +2.6                  -3.1

50.         +131          +2.6                  -3.3        CFS is 20BN  10AN on the next 30 days.    Snow to date is 7.1", probably should be 11.5" by Jan. 19th.

51.         +127          +2.5                  -3.3

52.        +104           +2.0.                -2.7

53.        +094          +1.8                  -2.5

54.        +104          +1.9                  -2.9

55.        +119          +2.2                  -3.4

56.        +121         +2.2                   -3.6

57.        +118          +2.1                  -3.6

58.       +126          +2.2                   -3.9  

59.       +125          +2.1                   -4.0

60.       +126          +2.1                   -4.2

61.       +114         +1.9                    -3.9     

Feb. has its work cut out for it (a little easier after today is assimilated here) to get us to Normal T/Snow.      We are at 7.5" snow as Jan. ends----already 7.5" BN and now add 9" for Feb. itself and we need to see 16"/17" during Feb.

62.       +090          +1.5                  -3.2

63.       +073          +1.2                  -2.7

64.       +065         +1.0                   -2.5

65.       +075         +1.2.                  -3.0

66.       +092.        +1.4.                  -3.8

67.       +109         +1.6                   -4.7

68.       +116         +1.7                   -5.3

69.       +128         +1.9                   -6.1

70.       +138         +2.0                   -6.9       Next 3 weeks need to be about 7degs.  BN to get us to Normal for DJF.

71.       +132         +1.9                   -6.9

72.       +127         +1.8                   -7.0

73.       +127         +1.7                   -7.5

74.       +123         +1.7                   -7.7   With 1.2" snow, still need 15"/16" in next 16 days.

75.       +125         +1.7                   -8.3

76.       +130         +1.7                   -9.3

77.       +146         +1.9                 -11.2

78.       +151         +1.9                 -12.6

79.       +147         +1.9                 -13.4    

80.       +145         +1.8                 -14.5

81.       +139         +1.7                 -15.4

82.       +133         +1.6                 -16.6

83.       +140         +1.7                 -20.0   

84.       +144         +1.7                 -24.0

85.       +144        +1.7                 -28.8

86.       +149        +1.7                 -37.2

87.       +148        +1.7                 -49.3

88.      +142        +1.6                  -71.0

Dec.   40.1  +2.6  Trace

Jan.    32.5   -0.1    1.1"

Feb.    36.7  +1.7    2.5"  M2

and for reference:

Nov.    44.4  -3.3     6.4"

89.       +131        +1.5              -131.0

90.       +125        +1.4               xxxxxxxx

Just one more day.

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If you're getting to NYC around midday Saturday there's going to be plenty of bridge and tunnel traffic regardless

Yeah I expect that, I've been to the area before. I just fear any extra issues due to snow or slush

 

Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Literally...

Posting under multiple accounts in multiple subs using a proxy.  

Yep

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2 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

amazing it looks like november and march will be the snowiest months for nyc this winter season.. i wonder if that has ever happened before...

Let's not get ahead of ourselves....I haven't seen a flake yet tonight and Sunday's event still has plenty of time to go wrong....

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Just now, JustinRP37 said:

Who is Tony? I’m relatively new here. 

Pretty much anyone who's new here is Pam or Tony.

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1 hour ago, weatherpruf said:

Let's not get ahead of ourselves....I haven't seen a flake yet tonight and Sunday's event still has plenty of time to go wrong....

They'd have to bust pretty bad for it not to be NYCs snowiest month lol, given the inch the city got today even if the two events combined for 3 inches it would be the citys snowiest month since November

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1 hour ago, weatherpruf said:

Didn't Pam move to Montana or someplace?

The artist formally known as William yes.

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1 minute ago, Rjay said:

Guy posted D pics in a storm thread  last week.  

Either he's a 12 year old kid or there's seriously something wrong with him. Either way he's bad news and shouldn't be here if he doesn't have respect. 

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9 minutes ago, SnowFeen said:

I swear on everything I will be good and I won’t ever offend anyone. I’ve learned so much about weather here it’s not even funny and I’d like to learn more. I’m sorry again for all the dumb things, please forgive me?

 

 

This isn't snowfeen

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1 hour ago, SnowFeen said:

I swear on everything I will be good and I won’t ever offend anyone. I’ve learned so much about weather here it’s not even funny and I’d like to learn more. I’m sorry again for all the dumb things, please forgive me?

 

 

Weathernerd2000 just signed up....

Who could that be?

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