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Tyler Penland

2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

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FV3 with a jump to a miller B look, although different from other solutions, it is a lot closer in line to the Miller A's that are popping up, compared to it's 6z run.

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Apparently because of the government shutdown the GFS isn't getting all its model data inputted. It doesn't mean it's wrong, but probably having agreement with the Euro is more important.

Sent from my moto z3 using Tapatalk

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Models still a little all over the place. Of course, I'd LOVE a big snow again, but right now, happy with seeing flakes fly for most of the day Saturday. As much as I enjoy the 60s we've been having, will be nice to have the cold back for a bit. 

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Most definitely would be nice to see some flakes flying and have a little January weather in January.  I know the ski resorts are sorely needing this cold snap.

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19 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

12z gfs is a solid event. Seeing more eps members with bigger totals overnight too. Mean jumped an inch from 3 to 4 for Boone.

GEFS with a noticeable jump in QPF from under an inch to about 1.2 average with more members much higher. Snow mean is at 6 inches for Boone with a lot more members showing more as well. BRING IT!

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12z EPS snowfall avg was a sizable increase at KAVL. Nearly doubled from the 0z. This is going to be a very dynamic storm.. and lingering backside moisture will make things fun again Monday! I am looking forward to tracking this one!


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1 hour ago, NC_WX10 said:

12z Gfs delivers the goods 12+ for a large portion of the central and northern mountains.

Hey what is the start time consensus and how much does Boone get on 12z Icon and Canadian? At work and cant pull up, lot of kidos heading back up the mtn sat and sun as classes start back Monday. Thanks

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Well Jason Boyer on WLOS said this will be a nuisance event, I still thought we were far enough away from the event to where things could change overnight.  I don't think I would have said one way or the other right now since there is plenty of time for the models to change.  I remember last year when Jason said we would probably only see an inch and we got a foot in Candler and the Asheville area.  :snowing:

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1 hour ago, Tacoma said:

Well Jason Boyer on WLOS said this will be a nuisance event, I still thought we were far enough away from the event to where things could change overnight.  I don't think I would have said one way or the other right now since there is plenty of time for the models to change.  I remember last year when Jason said we would probably only see an inch and we got a foot in Candler and the Asheville area.  :snowing:

I agree, this thing still has 72 hours or so to change a lot. It’s hard for me to believe with a 1040 high could not push this thing a little further south

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The Euro actually has a decent hit, especially for northern mountain folks. Also quite a bit of ice in the adjacent Blue Ridge. Not over yet.

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