Sign in to follow this  
Rtd208

June 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

 

No complaints here. I hate when it’s brutally hot at the beach. I’m also life guarding the New York City triathalon Sunday in the Hudson. They may cancel or significantly shorten the run 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, jets said:

Gfs continues to say no

backdoor. We roast

 

The 12z fv3-gfs had the backdoor but not as strong as the mesoscale models. The 18z isn't our yet so we'll see what it will show. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think the big questions right now with any onshore flow/sea breeze is how far inland they will get and also will high temps be reached before any kind of temperature influence. IMO this will be more confined to LI and maybe parts of the city and the immediate NJ shore.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The way this spring has gone, I’d always hedge on the backdoor front making it through. We never really lose the troughing northeast of us, which promotes highs developing in the Maritimes. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Today will probably be the hottest day down here because of the northerly flow much of the day. It’ll be toasty here for sure but nothing like areas that can’t catch the sea breeze. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It's also a product of the ridge poking up so far north into Canada. 

 

ecmwf-ens_mslpaMean_atl_1.thumb.png.c666552c0083933bf76b8d2898ab6428.png

ecmwf-ens_mslpaMean_atl_6.thumb.png.222055f3ba97ed06325053208ffd57e5.png

 

 

 

From over a week ago the ridge all along looked pretty far north with upstate NY looking best for record highs.  Onshore winds were always possible along with possible clouds from decaying mcs along the Eastern boundary

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Last day of June will average 85degs., or 11degs. AN.

Month to date is exactly Normal and should end at +0.3.

The whole 8 days is averaging 83degs., or 8degs. AN.

The GFS Max./Min. for next 10 days down to 93 degree average.

Wind goes to 180 at JFK during afternoon and NYC stays at 270, which  will make the difference again today.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, forkyfork said:

the nam got much weaker with that back door front

The 6z NAMs and the RGEM/GEMLAM still have some winds off the water, coming through around 6ish. It's not like it gets cold or anything but at least it could give us a quick drop from the 100 degree temps. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This month is a great example of how uneven the rainfall pattern can be with warm season convection. EWR is at the 14th driest 1.87" while DXR has 5.13. We generally need stronger and more organized storm systems for an even soaking across the region.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
59 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The 6z NAMs and the RGEM/GEMLAM still have some winds off the water, coming through around 6ish. It's not like it gets cold or anything but at least it could give us a quick drop from the 100 degree temps. 

Beautiful morning. 78/66. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

6-29

ACY: 94
EWR: 93
LGA: 92
TEB: 92
New Brunswick: 92
TTN: 91
JFK: 91
PHL: 91
ISP: 89
NYC: 89

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Could EWR get close to 100F today, relatively dry dews and a warmer start will certainly help. 

The 0z Euro/EPS looked crazy, I've never seen such a strong, expansive ridge for July and it's only been trending stronger.

Really the only thing that stops us from getting triple digits are sea breezes, but then again, SBs will also raise the dews to near 80.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Beautiful morning. 78/66. 

 

I watered the plants this morning and it didn't feel bad. It felt pretty good. Of course I was in the shade and I prefer to have these conditions as afternoon highs haha. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

85 at JFK and 86 at EWR at 10am. 87 at my station but may be a degree or 2 too high as the sensor suite is mounted about 5 ft on a pole above the roof and with calm winds, it may not be mixing air too well. Regardless it’s still hot for this time of day.

Edit: Maybe not. There has been a light breeze  over the last few minutes and the temp has still risen to 89.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.