• Member Statistics

    15,529
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    davisinstruments
    Newest Member
    davisinstruments
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
MAG5035

Central PA - March 2018

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

You aren't going to miss out on part 1.  The progression of heavy snow northward is continuing, albeit very slowly.  Current radar shows that within the next hour both you and I should at least reach moderate, if not heavy snow.

The radar has had that look over the past 3 hours but nothing I do see more of a trend for the heavier stuff to hit our areas shortly. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, paweather said:

The radar has had that look over the past 3 hours but nothing I do see more of a trend for the heavier stuff to hit our areas shortly. 

I'm looking at NWS radar loop.  Anything green is at least moderate snow with the second and third shades being heavy.  There is a solid line of first level green just 10-15 miles south of you, and about 5 miles south of me, about to reach us.  We're also only 2 hours into this storm, remember that.  It's like Feb'83 when it took forever for the heavy snow to progress northward from Washington to Philly, to NYC.  Good things come to those who wait.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

I'm looking at NWS radar loop.  Anything green is at least moderate snow with the second and third shades being heavy.  There is a solid line of first level green just 10-15 miles south of you, and about 5 miles south of me, about to reach us.  We're also only 2 hours into this storm, remember that.  It's like Feb'83 when it took forever for the heavy snow to progress northward from Washington to Philly, to NYC.  Good things come to those who wait.

Exactly. Thanks Carlisle. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

I'm looking at NWS radar loop.  Anything green is at least moderate snow with the second and third shades being heavy.  There is a solid line of first level green just 10-15 miles south of you, and about 5 miles south of me, about to reach us.  We're also only 2 hours into this storm, remember that.  It's like Feb'83 when it took forever for the heavy snow to progress northward from Washington to Philly, to NYC.  Good things come to those who wait.

Man i must have greatness coming :P

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

After a couple hours of heavy snow, intensity has greatly diminished here at work. Flake size has decreased as well. Very wintry with  temps in the 20s and a stiff NE wind blowing. There is snow blowing off roofs and such...this does NOT look like a spring snow by any means. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Judging by radar appearance and progression I'm not sure how far north of an AOO/MDT line is going to jackpot with round 1.  It even looks like UNV will struggle to get much with round 1.  Looking like 40.5 North Latitude and south may be in the goods for this afternoon.  That's my semi-educated guess, along with taking a look at CrankyWxGuy's latest tweets...lol.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

Trying to add a little MA humor in here.  

 

Just measured 4” here 

Lol. I knew where that came from. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Storm verify. 

 

Fixed. 

Depends on location. I've been looking at the same four flurries for three hours now.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ground is now white but still can see at least half the grass sticking through.  Sidewalks are white as well, roads are wet.  Light intensity at the moment.  Kudos to the south and west folk getting pummeled.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It seems to be re-starting here again now as the winds have suddenly ramped back up, gusting just a few minutes ago to 23mph from the NNE.  Flurries have become light snow.  Temp, which had dropped earlier to 31.5 went back up to 32.5 where they are now, but with a dew point still low at 17 degrees.

I'm going to post three pivotal maps in my next post from the 12Z 3K Nam which shows that MDT is only expected to reach 2" by 8pm this evening.  All the action occurs during the next 24 hours with it over with by 8pm tomorrow evening...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here are the 3 maps starting with 0Z tonight, then 12Z tomorrow morning, then 0Z tomorrow evening.  All maps using Kuchera snow calculations...

As you can see, about 50% of the storm total has happened by 12Z tomorrow, then the second 50% during the 12 hours to 0Z tomorrow night:

snku_acc.us_ne.pngsnku_acc.us_ne.pngsnku_acc.us_ne.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think Canderson might be on to something...but only if it applies to round 1.  I might agree with that, ie the jackpot from round 1 is confined to Adams/York/Lanco.  Focus for rest of us north of there will be tonight through tomorrow with round 2.

Reviewing the NAM maps, the models definitely have underdone the accumulations thus far along and south of route 30.  Here's the 6Z Thursday 12K NAM maps for accumulations with Kuchera...

snku_acc.us_ne.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

27ºF Heavy snow and 0.5". It's accumulating pretty easily on anything non-pavement. Trying to get started on the driveway and the back street. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Heaviest (so far) and steadiest snow has now arrived.  Light, flirting with moderate.  Enough to begin whitening the mulch.  Temp holding at 32.5, dew point now 18.  We're at peak solar insolation of the day so it's going to have to really pick up to accumulate.  But, nice to see it steady...for now.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, daxx said:

Euro is going bonkers for tomorrow!  This is the real deal wow!

I was wondering why the forum was loading slow haha. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.