pasnownut Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Im gonna pull a Foles move here and say that no matter the result..... This has been a ton of fun. Great to see the board lit up. (i didnt go so far as to say I love you guys - cause i dont know what any of you look like ). Good times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 OT another school shooting in Maryland, not even on news yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, sauss06 said: OT another school shooting in Maryland, not even on news yet Not cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, sauss06 said: OT another school shooting in Maryland, not even on news yet I work in HR and teach classes to our folks on active shooting...this is so sickening to hear. Puts things in perspective really quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: I've been watching the radar for the past 3 hours. The northern extent of the shield continues to get beaten back at the M/D line. I agree with everything you said...and why models showing these big snow for today are likely bunk. Like a lot of you were saying yesterday, even if we cut totals in half, its a great event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 5 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Like a lot of you were saying yesterday, even if we cut totals in half, its a great event. thats my postion and I'm stickin to it. Radar creeping N now and we should see frozen particles falling soon. Looks to be comin in hot for round 1. Hope it lays a nice blanket of sleet/snow for tonights main show to land on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Comin in hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: thats my postion and I'm stickin to it. Radar creeping N now and we should see frozen particles falling soon. Looks to be comin in hot for round 1. Hope it lays a nice blanket of sleet/snow for tonights main show to land on... Radar is now showing that precip has begun the advancement north. By the way, Eric is currently in the midst of rolling out a series of Tweets on why his snow numbers are much lower than everyone else. Check it out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 16 minutes ago, sauss06 said: OT another school shooting in Maryland, not even on news yet Another bomb in Austin (well it blew up at a FedEx plant, but sent from and addressed to Austin. My home city's living in terror. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 E. Horst, MU WIC@MUweather (3/3) So, yes, 10"+ is possible in Lanc City, if all things align; but a slushy inch is equally possible. Mid-envelop (& climatology) argue for something like 3 to 6 inches. Of course, as I always point out w/ March Nor'easters...county high spots can easily get double (or more). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 So for MDT the 06z 12K NAM had 3”, the 3K had 10” (10:1) and 6” (Ferrier) yet the SREF mean is 12” and 12.25” taking away the ones that show 20”+ and . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 26 minutes ago, pasnownut said: ^^^ Exactly. Thats why posting maps on social media is a bad idea. Just looking at latest HRRR and seeing the hourly changes is just funny. Much better look this hour than last....wth. Just look at the radar trends right now....I get the NAM went south on 6z and also 2 weeks ago the dreaded miss but it is nowcasting you can see how it is coming north with the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: So for MDT the 06z 12K NAM had 3”, the 3K had 10” (10:1) and 6” (Ferrier) yet the SREF mean is 12” and 12.25” taking away the ones that show 20”+ and . Pro Hope you don’t have to forecast for anyone. Lol ive got clients asking me about cancelling events here in Lanco. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 First Flakes 32/12 Cashtown PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Hope you don’t have to forecast for anyone. Lol ive got clients asking me about cancelling events here in Lanco. Ugh. Me too. Sigh. I really don't know what to say or do. And look...I hope to all get out I'm wrong and we get a foot or more. I just wanted to get it out there that just because I think the most likely amount for our area is 4"-7" should NOT be interpreted that i don't want to get buried. At the same time I'm not going to ever wish cast. Or be an intentional Deb. I came on here this morning and immediately said that i thought we would get MORE than what i thought we would as of last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 12 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Radar is now showing that precip has begun the advancement north. By the way, Eric is currently in the midst of rolling out a series of Tweets on why his snow numbers are much lower than everyone else. Check it out... just read em, good stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, sauss06 said: just read em, good stuff! such a competitive business I just love it. I do wish there was just one model, and one run a day. People just go nuts over 1000 runs in a day and then the Mets are all justifying their numbers. Crazy business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Me too. Sigh. I really don't know what to say or do. And look...I hope to all get out I'm wrong and we get a foot or more. I just wanted to get it out there that just because I think the most likely amount for our area is 4"-7" should NOT be interpreted that i don't want to get buried. At the same time I'm not going to ever wish cast. Or be an intentional Deb. I came on here this morning and immediately said that i thought we would get MORE than what i thought we would as of last night. 12z will basically put rd1 quandry to rest and should give us some clarity on what the heck part 2 wants to do and where it goes. Couple models showed a notable shift EAST and that hopefully was an off hour hiccup. We'll find out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Nothing yet here at work, but... The sky has changed over the past 20 minutes since i last checked. The cloud deck is now a solid, low overcast. "Individual" clouds are no longer visible. Me thinks precip is imminent here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: 12z will basically put rd1 quandry to rest and should give us some clarity on what the heck part 2 wants to do and where it goes. Couple models showed a notable shift EAST and that hopefully was an off hour hiccup. We'll find out soon. East is not good. East is what every storm has done at the last minute all winter. East is what prevents us from the main snow from storm #2. Ugh...not again. Please no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: East is not good. East is what every storm has done at the last minute all winter. East is what prevents us from the main snow from storm #2. Ugh...not again. Please no. I'll be lookinfg for that at 12z. If you see that trend continue...... STEP OFF THE RUG!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 You two are only reason Im still here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 @AllWeather Are you feeling pretty good about 5"-8" for the LSV right now? Just curious what you're seeing this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 First flakes temp 31.8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Don't forget to report what you are seeing to mPing - I always do mine through RadarScope. Seeing a few "Snow/Graupel" reports from Cashtown and east to York and Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Nothing here yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, djr5001 said: Don't forget to report what you are seeing to mPing - I always do mine through RadarScope. Seeing a few "Snow/Graupel" reports from Cashtown and east to York and Lancaster. My report lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Nothing in Mount Joy yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Went out for breakfast and it’s dumping in Fairfield SW Adams County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 First flakes here at 9:55am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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