TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I'll go 3-6" or 4-8" at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Regular 06z NAM looks like a good thump too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 rgem 6z looks better imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 AWT, weeeeeee. good morning weenies out west, enjoy.....this buds for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Oh boy oh boy oh boy She coming . Glad we didn’t waver last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 That is a crazy euro look. Destroyed by the firehose for about 8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That is a crazy euro look. Destroyed by the firehose for about 8 hours. Compare that to the HRRR that has all precip done by like 8pm. lol... I mean we've seen some long range weird stuff from the HRRR but this takes the cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6z RGEM...still really likes SE MA. Even if the p-type algorithm is wrong, its signaling SE MA now for several runs in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 hours ago, sbos_wx said: Ray just showed off his forecast skill. That's what we call meteorology and not modelogy. He took the climatology and setup and knew that it would deliver. Now it's gonna pay off. Remember that time when you told me this storm doesn't work like that? Maybe you should just wait and see what happens. It all comes down to precip intensity and well as some banding which will result in precip flipping between rain and snow and vice versa. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Gfs also looked better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Compare that to the HRRR that has all precip done by like 8pm. lol... I mean we've seen some long range weird stuff from the HRRR but this takes the cake. Its not alone either. The 09z RPM completely shuts things off after like 21-23z from north to south. High confidence forecasting today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Gfs also looked better. Yeah it did, surface temps aside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 This will prob get buries, it does anyone have a link to Ray’s November outlook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 6z RGEM...still really likes SE MA. Even if the p-type algorithm is wrong, its signaling SE MA now for several runs in a row. Hey remember that time everyone laughed at you for thinking this could be an elevation storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This will prob get buries, it does anyone have a link to Ray’s November outlook? He usually has his own thread for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs also looked better. Looks decent and still hangs onto precip longer this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1.4 inches so far here in W Norwich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Even the warm GFS finally caught on. Drops 3-6" N CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Those models ending it early are going to be wrong. Slow moving LP..Can toss Will's rule of they always hang on 6-8 longer than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Those models ending it early are going to be wrong. Slow moving LP..Can toss Will's rule of they always hang on 6-8 longer than modeled. I am leaning that way as well. Find the HRRR and RPM hard to believe at this stage ending it so early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, wx2fish said: I am leaning that way as well. Find the HRRR and RPM hard to believe at this stage ending it so early Yeah there's absolutely no way this is out by 8-9pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Hard to find a model that doesn't gust all of Eastern CT over 50mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just took dog outside and there is a light coating of sleet, must have flipped with the heavier precipitation, not much going on now just wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 @04z the 10z HRRR still has me snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: @04z the 10z HRRR still has me snowing What time tonight does it show the flip to snow and how heavy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said: What time tonight does it show the flip to snow and how heavy? I'm thinking around 8pm. Several inches are possible but dependent upon changeover time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hard to find a model that doesn't gust all of Eastern CT over 50mph. It's already starting to rip pretty good out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Indications of an inverted trough kind of deal in ENY and maybe VT for awhile longer even as the coastal snks southeast this evening. 10" here now and pretty heavy. Stuck at 30 since midnight. 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah there's absolutely no way this is out by 8-9pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Yeah the difference between the global models and mesos are striking. Mesos right now want to end this pretty early. We will see if they change their tune in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Any idea what time Euro has us flipping to snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.