BornAgain13 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Is their anyway this thing can phase and mirror what is shown as my avatar? lol ... I would love a January 2000 repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WakeCountyWX Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: eps shifted west with qpf, coastal sc/nc in a great spot right now. .3" right offshore chs. This is getting really interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 16 minutes ago, packbacker said: More then half the members have atleast some snow in eastern Carolina's...many of those are really light but still counted them. Roughly 12 get it close to Raleigh. Party at Cold Rain’s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 RAH discussion this afternoon... As for precipitation, or lack thereof, the extended forecast is largely expected to be dry. The medium range models still differ slightly for Wednesday into Thursday. The EC tries to generate some light precipitation over eastern NC, while the GFS solution remains dry. Both solutions keep the coastal low well off the Carolina coast. That being said, even small shifts in the position/track of the aforementioned low could result in increased chances for snow along the eastern fringe of the area. Confidence is average for the precipitation forecast to remain dry, but there is enough uncertainty to mention the possibility of some wintry precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 16 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Is their anyway this thing can phase and mirror what is shown as my avatar? lol ... I would love a January 2000 repeat. What about a 1/22-1/24 2016 or 1996 look at 500mb? Now that would be even more crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, Buddy1987 said: What about a 1/22-1/24 2016 or 1996 look at 500mb? Now that would be even more crazy. Not for those south of you lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 18z starting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 18 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Is their anyway this thing can phase and mirror what is shown as my avatar? lol ... I would love a January 2000 repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 14 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Party at Cold Rain’s? No! You'll still find away to sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 16 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Is their anyway this thing can phase and mirror what is shown as my avatar? lol ... I would love a January 2000 repeat. UK wasn't that far off of that. But it's all alone. Odds are for a coastal scaper though...or a miss. We are right at 96-108 hours out and majority ensembles members have a miss. Track reminds of a Feb 2010 or even Dec 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 18z NAM coming in a little stronger with the s/w at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 The UK did lead the way for the December threat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 9 minutes ago, packbacker said: UK wasn't that far off of that. But it's all alone. Odds are for a coastal scaper though...or a miss. We are right at 96-108 hours out and majority ensembles members have a miss. Track reminds of a Feb 2010 or even Dec 2004. How did the 2004 storm go? Up the coast or OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 18z NAM - Heights are lifting faster out of the NE, giving more room for our wave to get its act together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wow said: 18z NAM - Heights are lifting faster out of the NE, giving more room for our wave to get its act together. Boy you ain’t kidding. 12z had the NE heights over the Syracuse NY region. 18z has it over western Maine. Only problem I see and don’t like is the 1st s/w or southern one is a little more progressive. I’d like to see that hang back some and allow the northern stream energy to catch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, Wow said: 18z NAM - Heights are lifting faster out of the NE, giving more room for our wave to get its act together. The other noticeable difference as well is the main bundle of energy wrt the northern stream energy and the handling of different model suites. 12z gfs has this centered around Green Bay WI. 18z Nam has this around Mason City Iowa. Could make a big difference down the road to help this storm get up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 NAM is much further west than GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Hope the NAM is on to something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Hope the NAM is on to something! Never would I imagine that we would be praying for a west trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 50 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: How did the 2004 storm go? Up the coast or OTS? 2004, as I recall, accumulations were limited to the tidewater and NE NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 DT on the potential storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 DT doesn't care about a stom unless DC gets 2'! I would expect him to say nothing less! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Wave coming out of Canada is already west from 12z at hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, ajr said: Wave coming out of Canada is already west from 12z at hr 36 and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 9 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: DT doesn't care about a stom unless DC gets 2'! I would expect him to say nothing less! No he's right.. the odds are still quite low here. But we all want a nice surprise, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 slightly west with the energy diving into montana at hr54 compared to 12z confluence up north also not as deep, just minor changes but positive ones so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: and stronger. Seriously, how much farther west of a trend before CLT gets involved? Is that an impossibility? Is there a limiting factor that to keep it from going that far west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Seriously, how much farther west of a trend before CLT gets involved? Is that an impossibility? Is there a limiting factor that to keep it from going that far west? I'm going to say it's virtually impossible at this point. If I were on the immediate coast I might be excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Seriously, how much farther west of a trend before CLT gets involved? Is that an impossibility? Is there a limiting factor that to keep it from going that far west? Start praying for a big shift west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Great run for sure. Setting up for that special phase at hour 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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