RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Looks to be running on the left of center of the ens spread. Will be interesting to see if it keeps moving that way over the next two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: pretty much identical to 18z at 72hr Looks about 50mi south of 18z by hr 81, WAR looks a tad stronger this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Touch further south and bit stronger by hour 78. WAR is ever so slightly stronger, but no major differences so far. Edit: Ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Hr 96 looks like she may be wanting to pay a little visit to Cuba. edit: hr 105 she looks to go just north of Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 The eyewall convection cloud tops are really getting cold now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 hr 102 Irma scraping Cuba, future Jose also trending south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 just rakes the coast of cuba thru 108, def further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 minute ago, WesterlyWx said: Hr 96 looks like she may be wanting to pay a little visit to Cuba. Out to 108. She's brushing coast on southern side, but core of circulation still offshore. Cat 5 in the southern Straits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 00z GFS says tropical storm conditions being felt in FL by midday Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Trough over NE a bit more elongated, but strength fairly similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Cosmetic changes with departing northeast trough, but clearly well on the way to another devastating run for somebody in the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 NW progression at 80W. Keys are about to get hammered in next few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Am I wrong, or is Irma being tugged N/NW at 120? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Hurricane conditions begin early Sunday morning according to 00z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jac_not_in_dc Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, yoda said: Am I wrong, or is Irma being tugged N/NW at 120? That's what I thought. Guess we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Shortwave exiting Missouri/Arkansas area, heading southeast. Should have some interaction soon. Good to see the main players still on the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 S FL... ouch at 126... GFS still doing its sub 900mb pressure thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Am I wrong, or is Irma being tugged N/NW at 120? You are not. Heading to Keys and will likely end up on western side of Southern FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 She is absolutely stunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 FL keys the easiest spot in the US to get a CAT 5 landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 More northerly turn between 126-132. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 38 minutes ago, Bryan63 said: Cool stuff, thanks. This may be an obvious statement on a weather board, but for many tropical systems going mostly westward through this region, when and where such a storm finally makes that turn to the north is so critical to where it makes landfall, especially when that turn is near Florida, given the geography of the Florida coast. Making the turn 50 miles sooner or later, which is a tiny variation in the grand scheme of things for a hurricane's overall track forecast (and impossible to predict this far out, let alone a day out, as we saw with Matthew last year), has huge implications for going up either the west coast or up the east coast or up the center of Florida, for example - and is something people won't have much time to react to, once the turn starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Turning into another catastrophic looking run for south Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Sim IR shows eye about to move over MTH at hour 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 00z GFS is singing hi ho hi ho its straight up FL we will go 144 -- 923mb C FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jac_not_in_dc Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Munching on that toasty Everglades water at 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 CMC is south, going for a direct hit on PR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jac_not_in_dc Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: 00z GFS is singing hi ho hi ho its up FL we will go Probably the best course of action in terms of minimizing catastrophe, to split the coastal uprights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Irma driving up the Turnpike. Good grief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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