Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,605
    Total Members
    14,841
    Most Online
    eloveday
    Newest Member
    eloveday
    Joined

The Blizzard of the Ides, 2017 ...observation time


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Interesting storm from afar. The personal snow-loving dog always skews what is known and what actually is posted. Many fall victim to that in the forum.
Henceforth I'll try to remove bias a keep to known facts based on science.
I don't know if the graphics I post are useful, just curious, do forumites find them annoying?

Me thinks winter ain't done yet!
Freeze Watch in effect. My bones have acclimated nicely.     

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

Nice, some backside Finger Lake effect snow going on now across CNY. 

Maybe that can spare ITH the embarrassment of not cracking 10" when one county away is measuring in feet.

That happened many a time...I remember in Jan 25, 2000 "model bust" storm...I think a bunch of towns like Greene, BGM, and Cortland all had 12"+ synoptically, and then we come in with 6". We got 7 inches that night/next morning on Cayuga effect to finish with 13" and spare the embarrassment of being like half of everyone else.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

You should see the pics, 30 plus in many areas

I can imagine. 

Will is right, this does seem like a good old fashioned 90s blizzard. One where I would have changed over to rain, but heard on the news that night about some cow farm in NY that got 3 feet.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

When did the west trend start in earnest.... within the final 24 hrs leading up?   Leaves one asking themselves other than signaling an opportunity for an event, and a hint at its strength, whats the point in tracking storms a week or more in advance in anything  but the most general of ways when the specifics arent even known until the last 24 hrs?  Kudos to the mesos for latching on to this last minute change, and fi on us who chose not to believe.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

When did the west trend start in earnest.... within the final 24 hrs leading up?   Leaves one asking themselves other than signaling an opportunity for an event, and a hint at its strength, whats the point in tracking storms a week in advance when the specifics arent even known until the last 24 hrs?  Kudos to the mesos for latching on to this last minute change, and fi on us who chose not to believe.

It wasn't really a last minute change. Models were west, then moved east, then moved back west in the end. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I can imagine. 

Will is right, this does seem like a good old fashioned 90s blizzard. One where I would have changed over to rain, but heard on the news that night about some cow farm in NY that got 3 feet.

The stuff of RI childhood nightmares 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Props to Wiz in that regard.

My 18-36" call was good.....it just verified like 25-50mi west of where I had it.

 

Probably matured a little too soon for us to keep the deformation nearby. By the time it got to our area it had already thrown the best forcing for deformation well to the west. 

I was hoping we'd get another New Years type storm that rapidly went to town overhead, keep the best banding close by.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

What did you have for w CT?

I always expected this to trend west, as I had w MA in the crosshairs since Friday night, but it ended up going even a bit more than I had anticipated. 

I thought there would be a bit more low level convergence back this way, too.

Blizzard of 2017: FINAL CALL.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

So I just measured on Google Earth: when I woke up from my nap to roof rattling gusts I couldn't see the condos across the street. That's only 75 yards away. I thought it was longer than 100. So color me impressed with the day time blizzard.

It was a good storm. Definitely won't lose sleep over missing it, but a great March storm. The winds in the interior, seemed to really rock. Something not always the case. You wonder if the lack of true arctic in March helped allow the profiles to mix a bit unlike a similar setup earlier in winter. It's one of many things, but it may have helped tap that rocket LLJ.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Probably matured a little too soon for us to keep the deformation nearby. By the time it got to our area it had already thrown the best forcing for deformation well to the west. 

I was hoping we'd get another New Years type storm that rapidly went to town overhead, keep the best banding close by.

Yea, it was skunked.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I always expected this to trend west, as I had w MA in the crosshairs since Friday night, but it ended up going even a bit more than I had anticipated. 

I thought there would be a bit more low level convergence back this way, too.

Blizzard of 2017: FINAL CALL.png

You were off slightly with the placement of the heavy, heavies but you were on top of it pretty good. Wiz was on top of it too. Good job

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Probably matured a little too soon for us to keep the deformation nearby. By the time it got to our area it had already thrown the best forcing for deformation well to the west. 

I was hoping we'd get another New Years type storm that rapidly went to town overhead, keep the best banding close by.

You think the 500mb low to the west south of BUF might have messed up some of the forcing?  Ryan had mentioned that the other day.  There isn't like your typical 700mb deformation wall over eny, it's a broad area of deformation and trowal stuff over the entire northeast. 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ray, I think you did pretty well..  Didnt Litchfield county, Torrington, et. al.  verify at 18+.  I figure if we got a foot here, Im sure they bested us by at least 6".. Ryan had 18-24 also for  that area.  You might have missed by a little in west hartford county, but didnt you nail Litchfield?  And didnt Danbury get to almost 18" ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...