TriPol Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Have we had a storm that has even rivaled the 1993 superstorm as far as energy and number of states impacted? I remember it was sleeting in Tampa at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongIslandWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, coastalplainsnowman said: We live in interesting weather times.. I remember in March 93 the day before that storm not understanding how it could be 45 degrees. Now, it seems routine (twice at least this year) that its been near or above 60 the day before measurable snow. I think Don S. posted somewhere how this winter has set some sort of record for accumulating snowfalls on the day after a 60+ day. Impressive to say the least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, TriPol said: Have we had a storm that has even rivaled the 1993 superstorm as far as energy and number of states impacted? I remember it was sleeting in Tampa at the time. No, it definitely earned its name of storm of the century. I remember the low off the GA coast and it was already snowing up this way. I mean Birmingham AL got a foot, in March. 960 mb readings in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, LongIslandWx said: I think Don S. posted somewhere how this winter has set some sort of record for accumulating snowfalls on the day after a 60+ day. Impressive to say the least! Yup, 3 times this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 More then likely the NWS will go with Winter Storm/Blizzard Watches tomorrow morning followed up by Warnings either Monday morning or afternoon. You also have to consider that this storm will most likely cause a State of Emergency to be issued as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Closeup of Ukie. In general agreement with the other models on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Ukie Beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Ukie Can that track get any better? Would love to see 84.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Blizzardo said: Can that track get any better? Would love to see 84.... Probably somewhere just east of the twin forks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Probably somewhere just east of the twin forks Yes indeed! That is prime... just to see it though...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 If there were an 84 available I think we'd see such pretty things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Probably somewhere just east of the twin forks Yep. Somewhere between Montauk and the Cape. Closer to the Cape. Lots of moisture. This would be a big time solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, NortheastPAWx said: If there were an 84 available I think we'd see such pretty things. Can you post the liquid amounts when they become available Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 What's the timeframe for this storm. 3-5 am Tuesday morning start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, weatherfreeeeak said: Can you post the liquid amounts when they become available Ukie precip goes out to 72 hrs and the other 2 sites I use haven't updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: What's the timeframe for this storm. 3-5 am Tuesday morning start? GFS is closer to midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: What's the timeframe for this storm. 3-5 am Tuesday morning start? I would say a little earlier then that IMO, but that is something we can pin down as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: GFS is closer to midnight The gfs is often too fast with the onset of precip and with storm motion. We'll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 GefsSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Is a long duration event of 24 hours likely or a run of the mill 12-18 hour event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Rjay said: The gfs is ofteb too fast with the onset of precip and with storm motion. We'll see though. Couldn't the same be said about the Euro being a little slower with precipitation onset? Compromise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, sferic said: Is a long duration event of 24 hours likely or a run of the mill 12-18 hour event? I wouldn't necessarily consider 12-18 hours run of the mill, but this certainly has the potential to be a long duration event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Rtd208 said: I wouldn't necessarily consider 12-18 hours run of the mill, but this certainly has the potential to be a long duration event. The length of the event will be determined by whether a CCB really develops and if the upper low can capture the surface low and slow it down. Right now most models get the snow through by early afternoon, so it lasts from roughly 3z to 18z or so Tue. It will snow like crazy in that time but it'll be moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowBlitzkrieg said: TWC has 18-24" for Nassau and NYC but only 8-12" for Suffolk County Please keep stuff about vendor/TV met predictions in the vendor thread-thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Jma through 72hrs fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Gefs are gorgeous for ALL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogue Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 That may be not good for some coastal areas (i.e. eastern half of LI?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Gefs are gorgeous for ALL In a six hr period it goes from. An avg 994 to about 978. Huge hit. EDIT: And the majority of the members are a bit west and more amped. Just inside bm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 9 minutes ago, rogue said: That may be not good for some coastal areas (i.e. eastern half of LI?). Eastern half of LI has always been in play for a changeover. Just west of that and the coastal front should be where we see the greatest accumulations. Also there could be a secondary maximum with any Deform that remains semi stationary. Usually 50 miles west of the first maximum. Early guess would be western LI for the primary maximum and Ne jers up into the LHV for the secondary. I think we could have someone clear 30" like we saw in most of the biggies the last 10 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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