40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 More often than not, cj porks this area. Lift robbed at least excuse imaginable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Ginxy drift fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Great post. You have a representative sounding saved from earlier (or if you recall which model / time, I'll find it) demonstrating these issues? No worries if not it's been a long day! The "midlevel magic" was thoroughly discussed and anticipated, but it seemed to underperform in central / northeastern MA and I was wondering why. It was looking at the 6z stuff...nam and GFS. Might be able to grab it from pivotal weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Id say eyeballing there is 10-13" in hull. No way to tell with all the blowing and drifting. Could even be more but maybe thats just the weenie in me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 A huge band still dumping going through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 A hair under 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 992mb low just southeast of the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Mid level magicians pulled a dissapearing act. QPF queens ftw. Storm is extremely forgettable here..sucked. It actually worked well in SE areas. If you went by QPF and VV...it was congrats sharks off of Chatham. There was no real closed low either with this at 700. I think with the lack of a good CCB and mid level features, you lacked the true features to get some good tilted lift from H7 through H5...through the DGZ. Didn't happen. In my mind I sort of envisioned a band near Kevin through ORH and you...and I almost thought it would continue. But it broke apart when the meaty lift came into Ginxy to Boston area. I'm glad I thought SE areas would do well aside from OES. I thought they looked good for fronto banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Band is orienting itself north to south now from SW to NE to N to S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: 3.5 total. Petty meh overall but considering this was a whiff a couple days ago you have to be thankful. 3.3 here. Marginal if they will plow considering it is pure fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, bobbutts said: A hair under 2" Not bad. A tenth or two here. Still a few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Light Snow - Blowing Snow Another 1" during the last hour and 15 minutes. Snow is much lighter now. 15.5" for storm total thus far. Calling this amount into Taunton and will call in final total tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 6.5 the final here in North Haven...no accumulating snow of any consequence fell after last measurement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It actually worked well in SE areas. If you went by QPF and VV...it was congrats sharks off of Chatham. There was no real closed low either with this at 700. I think with the lack of a good CCB and mid level features, you lacked the true features to get some good tilted lift from H7 through H5...through the DGZ. Didn't happen. In my mind I sort of envisioned a band near Kevin through ORH and you...and I almost thought it would continue. But it broke apart when the meaty lift came into Ginxy to Boston area. I'm glad I thought SE areas would do well aside from OES. I thought they looked good for fronto banding. Obviously....my point was the interior folks were told not to fret QPF, and the QPF charts were pretty damn accurate. It failed in that regard. There was a band setting up from s ORH co through me, but once you made that post about things tightening near Boston mid-late PM, I said "oh $hit".....CJ rob, and that is exactly. what took place. God, I hate these events....just give me a real storm and enough with oes mesoscale horse$hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It actually worked well in SE areas. If you went by QPF and VV...it was congrats sharks off of Chatham. There was no real closed low either with this at 700. I think with the lack of a good CCB and mid level features, you lacked the true features to get some good tilted lift from H7 through H5...through the DGZ. Didn't happen. In my mind I sort of envisioned a band near Kevin through ORH and you...and I almost thought it would continue. But it broke apart when the meaty lift came into Ginxy to Boston area. I'm glad I thought SE areas would do well aside from OES. I thought they looked good for fronto banding. I mean the band more or less matched up with the Euro H7 00z forecast last night. I think two red flag to the west of that area was the sounding probably wasn't fully saturated and then a lot of the lift was forecast above the DGZ. Not good for ratios. So much for 15:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: I mean the band more or less matched up with the Euro H7 00z forecast last night. I think two red flag to the west of that area was the sounding probably wasn't fully saturated and then a lot of the lift was forecast above the DGZ. Not good for ratios. So much for 15:1. All I kept hearing was how the interior shouldn't worry bc everything was saturated the everything was orgasmic in the SGZ. This was a lamer Boxing day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Never, never again will I go robust away from CJ without a closed H 7 low. Idiotic and I paid for it....busted forecast and hopes. Should have just went with EURO QPF, instead of letting all the RAOB, SGZ and mid level conjecture sway me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All I kept hearing was how the interior shouldn't worry bc everything was saturated the everything was orgasmic in the SGZ. This was a lamer Boxing day. You can see it in the BOS sounding at 00z. The red and green lines should be on top of one another, and that light gray line for omega is all negative above the DGZ. That's the dangerous game we play when getting too confident about the ratio forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All I kept hearing was how the interior shouldn't worry bc everything was saturated the everything was orgasmic in the SGZ. This was a lamer Boxing day. They had some issues when I looked this morning on the soundings. But I've also seen it before only to have said area get pummeled. They are only as good as the model output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: You can see it in the BOS sounding at 00z. The red and green lines should be on top of one another, and that light gray line for omega is all negative above the DGZ. That's the dangerous game we play when getting too confident about the ratio forecast. I hear no mention of that...just talk about how everything was northwest, SGZ was deeply saturated temps were perfect. Everything verifying nw, blah, blah. I have to step up my game with stuff like that....if I understood those things, I would have ignored all of that crap and went lighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: They had some issues when I looked this morning on the soundings. But I've also seen it before only to have said area get pummeled. They are only as good as the model output. I don't mean to sound like I'm blaming anyone or calling anyone out.....these details are so fine and sometimes its just impossible to know. Just frustrated, but I'll live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Looks like 5.75" will do it here (about 7" snow depth). Still some very light snow falling. Very satisfying storm. Snow ratios seemed decent, but nothing crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 I wish we would get one...just one March 2001, or Dec 1992 event....its either ski resort shuffle, or cj. Anything else is an endangered species. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't mean to sound like I'm blaming anyone or calling anyone out.....these details are so fine and sometimes its just impossible to know. Just frustrated, but I'll live. That's fine. I'm too lazy, but I noticed something like that even in SE MA....and you know what happened there today. It's just tough to figure. Like I said, I had no numbers there, but I probably would have been to high on the higher end of the range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wish we would get one...just one March 2001, or Dec 1992 event....its either ski resort shuffle, or cj. Anything else is an endangered species. It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 This is when Sandwich starts to clean up with OES. Wouldn't be shocked if they end up as a secondary jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Pretty solid event in Natick with over 8" and counting. Glad we didn't follow qpf here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: That's fine. I'm too lazy, but I noticed something like that even in SE MA....and you know what happened there today. It's just tough to figure. Like I said, I had no numbers there, but I probably would have been to high on the higher end of the range. I went 6-12"....I'll have to measure again, but I had 4.5" a couple of house ago. That is EURO QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Looks like just light stuff now. 13.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty solid event in Natick with over 8" and counting. Glad we didn't follow qpf here. Wow nice. That's solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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