CoolMike Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think 18z NAM will tick west again. Nailed it. Precip shield extends further North and West vs 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: What a weenie signal over SNE after 00z too. The trough axis isn't past us yet, so there's def a good case for lingering currier and ives snow after 00z. Just before 00z though there is an epic mid-level signature over the eastern third of the region...even can't rule out back to central areas...someone is gonna get crushed in a band or two from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Meh, like 15-20" there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: If you look, you can make out a flaccid image over SNE. Tip over CT. Yup ... keep it flaccid .... haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: The trough axis isn't past us yet, so there's def a good case for lingering currier and ives snow after 00z. Just before 00z though there is an epic mid-level signature over the eastern third of the region...even can't rule out back to central areas...someone is gonna get crushed in a band or two from that. Yeah sweet. I hope RGEM joins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If you look, you can make out a flaccid image over SNE. Tip over CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: nope...it's actually going to correct so far west that it cut west of you and rains - Why are you so mean?. Lol, let me enjoy it after all rain on Wednesday for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Winter storm warnings are up here in NS. EC calling for 30-40cms (12-16") Saturday night. Could be additional on Sunday. Strong winds to. The 12z GFS Kuchera ratio table has 22" for the city. Interesting to see this one play out. It's been a ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, leo1000 said: Why are you so mean?. Lol, let me enjoy it after all rain on Wednesday for here. Turn that frown upside down. You're getting a crap ton of snow. Relax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah sweet. I hope RGEM joins. During the currier and ive stuff in the evening, look at the BOS sounding...it has perfect snow growth saturation from like 950mb up to 600mb, lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, leo1000 said: Why are you so mean?. Lol, let me enjoy it after all rain on Wednesday for here. .heh... i should be careful; my jokes have come true in the past ... no, think best case scenario for us still nails you guys up that way - it doesn't have enough mechanical power to torque the mass fields like that. i have seen warm air wrap NW but that's usually in the spring when the cold side of the boundaries is rotted and actually more like mild ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4km NAM is a snow bomb over E MA/ E/CT/ RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Winter Storm Warning statement forecasts 12-16" of snow to fall, the P&C forecast for my area suggests 14-22" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: During the currier and ive stuff in the evening, look at the BOS sounding...it has perfect snow growth saturation from like 950mb up to 600mb, lol: could almost be one of those scenarios where the main lift moves off but you got so much loading in that saturated layer that it snows teeny flakes with peach skies until much later regardless of radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hambone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Estimated start time for southern metro west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 4km NAM is a snow bomb over E MA/ E/CT/ RI Scooter jackpot on the 4km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Scooter jackpot on the 4km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I'll take one NAM 3K, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Boom... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I was sitting here thinking BOS might get 5-6. Might have to plan for more, if not double that, if RGEM follows up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Boy does that look tasty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 so which one do we use.. 12km, 4km, 3km? due to OES and other factors the more resolution the better right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: so which one do we use.. 12km, 4km, 3km? due to OES and other factors the more resolution the better right? ah, the one with the most ... of course - everything else is irrelevant - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Look at this modeled band on the 3km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ah, the one with the most ... of course - everything else is irrelevant - good approach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: .heh... i should be careful; my jokes have come true in the past ... no, think best case scenario for us still nails you guys up that way - it doesn't have enough mechanical power to torque the mass fields like that. i have seen warm air wrap NW but that's usually in the spring when the cold side of the boundaries is rotted and actually more like mild ... Well that is good. I am sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I doubt that Cape Cod doesn't get as much as the south shore, the Blizzard of 2015 as an example, we were secondary area of jackpot. Temps will be cold enough for all snow on Nantucket, that just tells you something there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Boom... Tick back a bit more for our friends in the west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 That large upper level low is moving SSEward still. I wonder when the turn to the southeast occurs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I doubt that Cape Cod doesn't get as much as the south shore, the Blizzard of 2015 as an example, we were secondary area of jackpot. Temps will be cold enough for all snow on Nantucket, that just tells you something there. aaah... i'd say that this particular series of 18z runs makes that entirely possible if not more plausible actually. the cold is denser in the immediate interior and acts like a bit of lift when the NE/NNE wind is pushed inland... there's likely to be some enhancement there that you won't benefit from out on the cape. The best way to get you to max is to have the bone-job solution of only the Cape getting it... Like in late January of 1987 ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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