Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Don't rush it folks. It probably won't be here in full before 1/30. 27th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 27th That's not a bad date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 27th That's still two full weeks from today. Hard to believe we go two full weeks without any type of weather excitement...and torch non stop at the same time. That in and of itself is a long time for a thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That's still two full weeks from today. Hard to believe we go two full weeks without any type of weather excitement...and torch non stop at the same time. That in and of itself is a long time for a thaw. I wouldn't count on it being exactly as modeled. In fact this is a pretty crazy evolution. Don't be surprised if by the end of the week you have a different outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I wouldn't count on it being exactly as modeled. In fact this is a pretty crazy evolution. Don't be surprised if by the end of the week you have a different outlook That was exactly my point...14 days is a heck of a long time to go above normal at the coldest time of the year. Your point is well taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 This next four weeks, as it should, is really going to define the tenor of this season. If we can't sustain a snowy stretch once this pattern flips....and I do mean snowy, not just cold, then the season is pretty rapidly heading for failure. At least in my area...I know other locales have done better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 Ray, what are you at for snowfall so far this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ray, what are you at for snowfall so far this season? Its in my sig....16.5"....we start talking mid Feb, and I haven't doubled that, then I'm going to focus on spring training lol. I don't expect that, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its in my sig....16.5"....we start talking mid Feb, and I haven't doubled that, then I'm going to focus on spring training lol. I don't expect that, though. I'm on my phone, so I couldn't see that number. Im at 19.5 inches, just hoping to get to normal. anyway to get the full site on ones phone?? I used to be able to get the full site on my phone, before they re-did the site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 2 hours ago, weathafella said: Don't rush it folks. It probably won't be here in full before 1/30. This would not surprise me. Maybe a sneaky minor event gets in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This would not surprise me. Maybe a sneaky minor event gets in there I completely buy it taking the rest of the month....thought January would be a big month, but I missed. Pattern changes are always rushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: Probable is not the term I'd use in this pattern with regards to snow, even in NNE mountains. Much of Maine and the white mountain region of NH have seen above average snowfall this season despite being in a poor pattern, overall. Climatology is on my side. I'll stick with probable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 Euro FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro FTW Yay for 43? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 8 hours ago, jbenedet said: Much of Maine and the white mountain region of NH have seen above average snowfall this season despite being in a poor pattern, overall. Climatology is on my side. I'll stick with probable. The pattern this winter so far seems different than what happens in the next 2 weeks. We've done well here in the VT mountains too, and ME/NH had most of it in that one big 12-28" storm. We can agree to disagree about snow being probable over the next 10-14 days...to me it's probable this is the most hostile the pattern has been for snow all year. I get what you are saying too for the mountains...I mean can't rule out snow in January ever in the mountains. I was just thinking relative to other patterns we've seen so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro FTW Congrats interior Maine and the Whites on the Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: The pattern this winter so far seems different than what happens in the next 2 weeks. We've done well here in the VT mountains too, and ME/NH had most of it in that one big 12-28" storm. We can agree to disagree about snow being probable over the next 10-14 days...to me it's probable this is the most hostile the pattern has been for snow all year. I get what you are saying too for the mountains...I mean can't rule out snow in January ever in the mountains. I was just thinking relative to other patterns we've seen so far this winter. The main point I'm trying to hit home is that absent a Cutter crazy torch pattern or a jet stream suppressed well to our south, chances are we're going to get snow, and retain it. We have neither, which is why I say it's probable over the next two weeks. It takes very little to snow up here in mid to late January--such is the climate. That said, you don't have to go too far south from here where this context makes any chance of snow remote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: The pattern this winter so far seems different than what happens in the next 2 weeks. We've done well here in the VT mountains too, and ME/NH had most of it in that one big 12-28" storm. We can agree to disagree about snow being probable over the next 10-14 days...to me it's probable this is the most hostile the pattern has been for snow all year. I get what you are saying too for the mountains...I mean can't rule out snow in January ever in the mountains. I was just thinking relative to other patterns we've seen so far this winter. Euro Ens have a different idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats interior Maine and the Whites on the Miller B Euro Ens full on board too. Looks like Ocean state has his hands full this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 46 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro Ens full on board too. Looks like Ocean state has his hands full this week Yeah I noticed the chance of snow for Maine and adjacent whites. Almost toward what the GGEM hinted at a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I noticed the chance of snow for Maine and adjacent whites. Almost toward what the GGEM hinted at a couple days ago. ORH_wxman, shades are still down...should I raise in 10 days or so, do things look better on models for southern NH/Northern mass as of today or still in fantasy land, simple terms , is end of month/February looking good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, 512high said: ORH_wxman, shades are still down...should I raise in 10 days or so, do things look better on models for southern NH/Northern mass as of today or still in fantasy land, simple terms , is end of month/February looking good? Keep them drawn until end of the month probably and check back in. Still looks good for a flip but no guarantees yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Keep them drawn until end of the month probably and check back in. Still looks good for a flip but no guarantees yet. dang it.....good weekend to start making a noose, a lot of time to perfect it...ty have a good weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats interior Maine and the Whites on the Miller B At least ski resorts will stay afloat, no pun intended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro Ens have a different idea Ahh didn't get that far this morning. I saw the OP had a couple inches in the Friday/Saturday range NVT through NNH and into Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 Just now, powderfreak said: Ahh didn't get that far this morning. Strat warming too, oh boy things are going to get interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 I know this is a no-no but the day 10 EURO is one of the oddest things you'll see in January. Canada is quite warm with +3C to +5C H85s near James Bay...while the core of the cold of -6C over the mid-Atlantic. Weird looking for sure. With that High in Canada though it looks like that's probably some crazy inversion of warmth aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Strat warming too, oh boy things are going to get interesting As early as late next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: At least ski resorts will stay afloat, no pun intended. That's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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