powderfreak Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Making my point from yesterday...bit of ptsd still lurks in your soul until the final snow number is officially posted at seasons end, ha. Haha...more of a dig at the GGEM. To borrow a phrase, I'm convinced THAT model just adds confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 18z GFS caving to the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 18z GFS caving to the Euro Jeff, have family over, trying to "push them out the door" lol! So Thursday storm now dead OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z GFS caving to the Euro looks rainy for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 minute ago, 512high said: Jeff, have family over, trying to "push them out the door" lol! So Thursday storm now dead OTS? No, Try's to develop a secondary slp south of sne similar to the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Looks like crap outside of NNE..... The Berkshires look okay... but anyone else south of the mass NH border can probably close the shades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: No, Try's to develop a secondary slp south of sne similar to the Euro Sounds good as long as not too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Sounds good as long as not too warm It hugs the coast and tracks thru DE Maine, Ideally if we could get it another 75-100 miles east would be better for wrapping the colder air around the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Wondering how the big upper plains storm sliding across s. Ontario not s quebec affect the setup for Thursday? Maybe it slows the flow enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: I It hugs the coast and tracks thru DE Maine, Ideally if we could get it another 75 miles east would be better for wrapping the colder air around the backside. ThAt is probably a little better for me and GC than you but that rarely happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks like crap outside of NNE..... The Berkshires look okay... but anyone else south of the mass NH border can probably close the shades Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z GFS caving to the Euro Definitely getting closer. 24-hour QPF...ramping up. And weenie map.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: ThAt is probably a little better for me and GC than you but that rarely happens I would say that happens more so then in most years as these system have trended east in the past, But this pattern we have been in has been conducive for more of these types of systems if they don't cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Definitely getting closer. 24-hour QPF...ramping up. And weenie map.. Pretty warm aloft until the low gets going, Still doesn't develop as early as the Euro, But it was a step towards it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol Truth hurts... it's warm for SNE....period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 20 minutes ago, dryslot said: No, Try's to develop a secondary slp south of sne similar to the Euro ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Truth hurts... it's warm for SNE....period Far SE sections may have trouble . For now a model /ensemble approach is preferred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: Pretty warm aloft until the low gets going, Still doesn't develop as early as the Euro, But it was a step towards it. Yeah not as heavy as EURO but nice moderate event...wouldn't complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Far SE sections may have trouble . For now a model /ensemble approach is preferred. Sensible weather wise there's a decent concensus between GFS/GGEM/EURO and if you blend them it's very close to the 18z GFS. Still a long way out but not bad blend of the models right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Yeah not as heavy as EURO but nice moderate event...wouldn't complain. Further east and it becomes a problem for me and the western Mass crowd lol. If you could get it to wrap up sooner it looked like the precip field is fairly broad but pretty much speculation at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Couldnt care less about minor details because it looks very active regardless who gets some thur. "Close the shades" is short sided, premature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Couldnt care less about minor details because it looks very active. "Close the shades" is short sided, premature. +1. Pretty good weenie run on the GFS, TT prints out 1-3' over 10 days most anywhere north of MA and over 1000'. (Better than 70˚ this time last year.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: If you could get it to wrap up sooner it looked like the precip field is fairly broad but pretty much speculation at this point The trough axis is pretty far west, but it's also very progressive. The progressiveness makes me wonder about the EURO solution as much if there's enough time to ramp up that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 One to three feet? I'd take that. Meanwhile that 18z snow map sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 snow maps ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: snow maps ftl. 18z GFS was a garbage look outside of NNE at all levels. Need a lot to change to get a better result in SNE. Glorified open wave that doesn't develop until GofM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 What is it with these forecasts of closing the shades and need things to change on said model run . What happened to looking at ensembles, blending? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What is it with these forecasts of closing the shades and need things to change on said model run . What happened to looking at ensembles, blending? Does the Euro "blend" with the GFS?. What exactly does that even mean? All your weenieing is the solution that gives you the best possible outcome which is not always the solution. 18z GEFs looked like garbage FYI for SNE with the upcoming threat. Secondary doesn't develop until it's on top of us. Primary is 1/2 way between the GLs and Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We just don't understand these forecasts of closing the shades and need things to change on said model run . What happened to looking at ensembles, blending? You realize a blend sucks for you too right? Blend whatever products you want, it still isn't a good look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Couldnt care less about minor details because it looks very active regardless who gets some thur. "Close the shades" is short sided, premature. Close the shades for this threat.... there is a lot working against it. Moving forward, sure something could pop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.