weathafella Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 High so far now BOS is 97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think BOS averages 13? Now at 16. My guess is 19 is the final. That's what I'm seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 I think the anomalous nature of next week's trough could spur a tropical cyclone development. If not sooner like the EURO shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 Cape Verde Tropical Wave looks to have a surface circulation present and it is a bit elongated currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I think the anomalous nature of next week's trough could spur a tropical cyclone development. If not sooner like the EURO shows. How is it anomalous? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 It looks to be very dynamic and for a trough this time of year that is anomalous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It looks to be very dynamic and for a trough this time of year that is anomalous. What's the height anomaly vs climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 3 hours ago, weathafella said: September may book a few aoa 90 during the first half of the month. At least the initial part of autumn looks rather warm. You have been all over it since the heat push in July. It's been a pretty warm summer in Boston. This shot of warmth was more then a glancing blow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 Well I wasn't basing it off the height anomaly, I was basing it off the dynamics of a cold front at this stage of the summer months, August it is very rare to see a cold front with heavy precipitation along it at this longitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 14, 2016 Share Posted August 14, 2016 16 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Well I wasn't basing it off the height anomaly, I was basing it off the dynamics of a cold front at this stage of the summer months, August it is very rare to see a cold front with heavy precipitation along it at this longitude. Lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 2 hours ago, weathafella said: What's the height anomaly vs climo? the pattern change starts the 24th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: the pattern change starts the 24th No different. Period of heat, back to cooler, 1-2 weeks later back to heat. Warm to hot first half of autumn en route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 45 minutes ago, weathafella said: No different. Period of heat, back to cooler, 1-2 weeks later back to heat. Warm to hot first half of autumn en route. Dews have dropped tonight Noticeable feel out here at the IJDfields Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 8 hours ago, weathafella said: No different. Period of heat, back to cooler, 1-2 weeks later back to heat. Warm to hot first half of autumn en route. Unfortunately Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 Warmth in the Autumn is ok in fact preferred to me. By late October and November I want it chilly but until then warmth is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 The last week of August we could see a Hurricane threatening the East Coast according to the latest GFS run. Exciting times ahead for us weather lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 49 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The last week of August we could see a Hurricane threatening the East Coast according to the latest GFS run. Exciting times ahead for us weather lovers. Using 384 op GFS? That's a big ass But even using that verbatim, that trof would never let it come close to New England. I'm not trying to be a d*ck James but you have to put some sound reasoning in your prediction posts or relegate to the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: I'm not trying to be a d*ck James but you have to put some sound reasoning in your prediction posts or relegate to the banter thread. Since when is sound reasoning necessary? I can think of another regular poster who goes with emotions instead of reasoning, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Since when is sound reasoning necessary? I can think of another regular poster who goes with emotions instead of reasoning, lol. True. Although he avoids weenieing out on the 384 panel of the GFS operational and at least retweets mets ideas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 Wow all I was highlighting was the potential for an active Atlantic Ocean basin for tropical weather. I wasn't saying that the East Coast needs to watch future Gaston, although it would still be wise to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 19 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Wow all I was highlighting was the potential for an active Atlantic Ocean basin for tropical weather. I wasn't saying that the East Coast needs to watch future Gaston, although it would still be wise to do so. What I've learned is that threats are almost never relevant unless we're inside of 3 days given our climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 I'm not saying......I'm just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 20 hours ago, OceanStWx said: CON averages like 10-11 depending on how you choose to break up the period of record. PWM averages like 5. Glad we live there. Farmington average of 6.4 is deceptive, related IMO to a change in location from (probably) in-town to its current location a mile or so north. For 1893-1959 the average is 8.9, including a whopping 19.4 during the 1890s. The most recent 56 years, thru 2015, have averaged 3.4 days. The current decade is competing for the fewest, with 16 for 2010-15, 2.7 vs. 1990's 3.0. Farmington touched 90 last Thursday, but that may be the only one so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 The pattern change is real and it's spectacular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Funny how the cool downs keep getting pushed back to day 10. Euro ens keep it AN right thru end of month as trough stays west. Look for that to continue with these obnoxious SST's and SE ridging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Funny how the cool downs keep getting pushed back to day 10. Euro ens keep it AN right thru end of month as trough stays west. Look for that to continue with these obnoxious SST's and SE ridging They do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Pretty colors ftl. Those thicknesses are a warm pattern lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pretty colors ftl. Those thicknesses are a warm pattern lol one of these things is not like the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 Pretty colors ftl. Those thicknesses are a warm pattern lol sorry. Warmth continues well out into future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pretty colors ftl. Those thicknesses are a warm pattern lol sorry. Warmth continues well out into future dew you feel like I dew sorry your map reading skills are remedial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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