• Member Statistics

    16,116
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Irish
    Newest Member
    Irish
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
Hoosier

July 2016 General Discussion

Recommended Posts

One of the more impressive 500 mb maps I can recall.

Only 9 days away :lol:

attachicon.gifgfs_namer_216_500_vort_ht.gif

 

I wish I could send that to myself in July 2014 with the message "There is HOPE..."

 

:weenie:

 

Those maps are from my weenie drawer.

 

Very cloudy today but nice out. Looking forward to more heat in the coming days. Lawn is still extremely yellow as the rain from Friday was barely evident. Last week was amazing temperature wise, close to a perfect summer week with no annoyances. Even the coldest day Saturday was perfectly comfortable and refreshing.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's a very warm and breezy night. Sitting at 79°/70°. Reach 90° today. Corn is probably 4 feet tall now, maybe slightly higher in pockets. The last rain helped perk things up a little, but it only went so far.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The massive expanse of the ridging in the longer term is reminiscent of some of those episodes in summer 2012.  The big difference this time is that there isn't nearly the drought so what is realized at the surface may not be as impressive.  Plus this is still pretty far out there and subject to change.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The massive expanse of the ridging in the longer term is reminiscent of some of those episodes in summer 2012.  The big difference this time is that there isn't nearly the drought so what is realized at the surface may not be as impressive.  Plus this is still pretty far out there and subject to change.

 

It'll probably be more like the 1995 or 1998 heat ridges (both of which succeeded El Nino winters and preceeded La Nina winters), which I'm ok with. In Detroit, both July 1995 and 1998 were very active in terms of severe weather under these ridges.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

the potential round(s) of storms this week are quickly turning into yet another underwhelming turd of an event for us east of the big river

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

the potential round(s) of storms this week are quickly turning into yet another underwhelming turd of an event for us east of the big river

 

Things are looking good for garden variety storms here, especially tomorrow. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

sizzle and fizzle. Maybe we'll luck out unlike last week but I won't be holding my breath.  Bring on winter..  at least the fails are more entertaining.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Pretty impressive signal on the 00z EPS and 12z GEFS mean at such distance, so it's not like the op runs are spitting out some crackpot unsupported solution.  Besides the heat, could be a good ring of fire pattern for areas on the periphery of the ridge. 

 

 

post-14-0-54449600-1468348639_thumb.png

 

 

post-14-0-01966300-1468348649_thumb.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Storms crapped the bed as expected on the back doorstep.  Picked up a trace.  Definitely don't need the rain anyway.

Ended up with 0.01" as a few patches of decaying anvil rain drifted over.  2.65" for the month now.

 

 

Another 0.95" of rain here overnight... 2.70" for the month.  It seems every line of storms that moves through this summer is soaking me good.

Too bad we don't have this kind of luck in the winter most of the time lol.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro forecast max surface temps really aren't all that impressive even next week.  A day or two in the low-mid 90s for some of us, but it looks like the core of the heat stays southwest like it has much of the summer so far.  The Plains and southern MS valley bake though.  Could end up being a very stormy pattern for those of us riding the edge, much like we've seen already this summer.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro forecast max surface temps really aren't all that impressive even next week.  A day or two in the low-mid 90s for some of us, but it looks like the core of the heat stays southwest like it has much of the summer so far.  The Plains and southern MS valley bake though.  Could end up being a very stormy pattern for those of us riding the edge, much like we've seen already this summer.

Not as deep of a ridge on the Euro comparatively.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

91° here today. Dew point backed off some as the afternoon went on. Breezy again. Looking so dry around here. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm glad we got our inch of rain a couple days ago, because that was it for this active period.  The mcs action to the south once again nixed our chance.  Missouri really needs to be strongly capped in order for us to get good storms.  That was the case for our bigger events so far this summer.  This weekend has some decent potential.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In the mean time, it's going to be another nail biter as far as achieving that 3rd consecutive 90*F+ day tomorrow. While I never want to underestimate the power of that downsloping wind, I'm also concerned about potential convection and its debris (based on progged mid-level RH values).

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Powerball said:

Would be potentially looking at 100*F+ highs in Chicago and Detroit if the GFS is right by next weekend.

AND it would be progged to be muggy as hell at the same time. So really high heat indexes, we could see the first Excessive Heat Warnings in a while.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.