GaStorm Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 20 hours ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Man it is brutal out there today. Currently 79 degrees and I'm sure it will top 80 before the day is over. Going to be in the upper 80s today unfortunately. It's 79 here in Alpharetta and not even noon yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 I've been in a snow mood today so I'm going back and looking at some past storms, particularly the January 2014 storm. It just baffles me how they downplayed the potential for big road problems. I mean, the temp was way below freezing so that alone should have told them that even a light amount of snow would create hazardous travel on roadways. I remember I called my employer that morning before it even started snowing to tell them I wouldn't be coming in to work that afternoon. They acted like they didn't have a clue what I was talking about. I must have been one of the very few who knew that road conditions would be horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 And the GFS says very little rain right through day 16 so the drought will just get worse from Miss to western NC and SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 I wish fall would come and actually stay. After a brief shot of cooler air fri and sat, we are right back in the heat by mon and tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whamby Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 4 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: I wish fall would come and actually stay. After a brief shot of cooler air fri and sat, we are right back in the heat by mon and tues. Highs in the 70s with lower dew points... certainly not indicative of a southern Summer. It's warm, but still, 'Fall' weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 6 minutes ago, whamby said: Highs in the 70s with lower dew points... certainly not indicative of a southern Summer. It's warm, but still, 'Fall' weather. It may very well hit 80 here next week. Average high next week is in the upper 60s ! That's ok though. Maybe the pattern will flip at just the right time in December and we will get below normal weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whamby Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 1 minute ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: It may very well hit 80 here next week. Average high next week is in the upper 60s ! yeah, but just think how bad this summer was... it's not even close to that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 19, 2016 Share Posted October 19, 2016 4 hours ago, jshetley said: And the GFS says very little rain right through day 16 so the drought will just get worse from Miss to western NC and SC. You dont take the GFS past Day 7 for verbatim do you? If you do, that is ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 1 hour ago, Avdave said: You dont take the GFS past Day 7 for verbatim do you? If you do, that is ridiculous It's been doing fine in the extended so far for much of the area and I expect it'll continue to. We MIGHT get widespread decent rain from Miss to NC by Thanksgiving if we are lucky. Without Matthew, just about all of NC and SC would have little to no rain this month, and I think the tropics are done so no more rain from there. It'll take all of fall and most of winter, but the Raleigh area in NC will get into this drought before it's all said and done. Count on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 19 minutes ago, jshetley said: It's been doing fine in the extended so far for much of the area and I expect it'll continue to. We MIGHT get widespread decent rain from Miss to NC by Thanksgiving if we are lucky. Without Matthew, just about all of NC and SC would have little to no rain this month, and I think the tropics are done so no more rain from there. It'll take all of fall and most of winter, but the Raleigh area in NC will get into this drought before it's all said and done. Count on it. It hasnt done that great in the LR. I think you just like to focus on the drought situation at hand. I dont think the central NC area and the Triangle will be in on the drought anytime soon. We have had a few months of above norm precip. Plus it is only Oct 19th still plenty of time to rain some more here. I just wouldnt focus so much on the GFS past day 7, when there are so much more to look at and put together a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 21 minutes ago, jshetley said: It's been doing fine in the extended so far for much of the area and I expect it'll continue to. We MIGHT get widespread decent rain from Miss to NC by Thanksgiving if we are lucky. Without Matthew, just about all of NC and SC would have little to no rain this month, and I think the tropics are done so no more rain from there. It'll take all of fall and most of winter, but the Raleigh area in NC will get into this drought before it's all said and done. Count on it. The GFS has been doing awful in the long range dude. This cold front coming through tomorrow night had been on the euro for days before the GFS picked it up. The gfs was putting energy back in the West and not even really showing a cold front coming through for days. Also you do know October in general is the driest month of the whole year, or one of the driest months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 4 minutes ago, Avdave said: It hasnt done that great in the LR. I think you just like to focus on the drought situation at hand. I dont think the central NC area and the Triangle will be in on the drought anytime soon. We have had a few months of above norm precip. Plus it is only Oct 19th still plenty of time to rain some more here. I just wouldnt focus so much on the GFS past day 7, when there are so much more to look at and put together a forecast. The gfs wins some and loses some. It's absolutely horrible in the LR in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 4 hours ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: It may very well hit 80 here next week. Average high next week is in the upper 60s ! That's ok though. Maybe the pattern will flip at just the right time in December and we will get below normal weather. Wow your average high next week is already in the 60s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 2 hours ago, Met1985 said: Wow your average high next week is already in the 60s? Yep. It may already be in the upper 60s. Atlantas average high is 72 and I'm about 65 miles north and about 1400' in elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 Sounds about right I know in Boone its in the low 60s then you add 10 degrees for non-mountain areas to get the actual temp...so probably low 70s in Atlanta is October climo. Same for my backyard climo is 70. Don't even have to look it up just use the 10 degree rule of thumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 17 hours ago, jshetley said: And the GFS says very little rain right through day 16 so the drought will just get worse from Miss to western NC and SC. The GFS isn't always the best model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 16 minutes ago, isohume said: The GFS isn't always the best model. It is when it shows a drought for jshetley. You can take it to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 12 hours ago, Met1985 said: The gfs wins some and loses some. It's absolutely horrible in the LR in my opinion. Exactly. Generally speaking though in the LR past 7 days, it is a toss up. i dont take it for verbatim for what it shows, if I did that, hell I would have over 100" of snow each winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 12 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: It is when it shows a drought for jshetley. You can take it to the bank. This is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 Hope it doesn't rain much tomorrow. The kids have an early release day for school and I'm taking them to the state fair. Tomorrow is the only day we can go. WRAL is saying just spotty light showers in the afternoon and evening, so hope that will be right. Might be nice to keep the crowd down. My wife can't go tomorrow with us, but we're going by ourselves Saturday night. Looks like it's going to be boo chilly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 The new wolverine trailer looks awsome! I love the Johnny Cash music. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 I hope it does rain tomorrow. It's getting a little less moist in the sunny areas of my yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 Congrats to Birmingham on breaking its record for the latest 90 degree day on record. The previous record was set on October 19, 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted October 20, 2016 Share Posted October 20, 2016 Can't decide which is warmer, The temps this week or my heart after seeing baby groot in the Guardians of the Galaxy 2 trailer. Yes, I sound like a 12 y/o talking about a tree, IDC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 21, 2016 Share Posted October 21, 2016 33 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Can't decide which is warmer, The temps this week or my heart after seeing baby groot in the Guardians of the Galaxy 2 trailer. Yes, I sound like a 12 y/o talking about a tree, IDC. Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted October 21, 2016 Share Posted October 21, 2016 3 hours ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Congrats to Birmingham on breaking its record for the latest 90 degree day on record. The previous record was set on October 19, 2016. I'm a Birmingham, AL native - IMO "North Central Alabama" has the worst climate in the US: incredibly hot/humid in the summer (without an easy escape to higher elevations - NC mountains are a 4+ hour drive), significant tornado risk in the fall/spring ("Dixie Alley"), and bone chilling cold in the winter with little snow - Birmingham averages only 1.5 inches of snow per year. Somewhat better weather here in Greenville, SC: live 1 hour south of Asheville for a summer heat escape, average 3x more snow than B'ham (and a LOT more ice due to CAD, which B'ham never experiences), and hardly ever see a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 Looking for some characters to scrub in with me this winter on our potential threats. Mostly EURO analysis, so late night shift. Thinking Cold Rain, Joe Bastardi, and a few others. Seasonal thing, December-March only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 22, 2016 Share Posted October 22, 2016 7 hours ago, NWNC2015 said: Looking for some characters to scrub in with me this winter on our potential threats. Mostly EURO analysis, so late night shift. Thinking Cold Rain, Joe Bastardi, and a few others. Seasonal thing, December-March only. My late night ends about 10:30, unfortunately. Might look into moving to Hawaii. We'll see if we can make it happen then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Good news. I may have lost my dinner watching the Walking Dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted October 24, 2016 Share Posted October 24, 2016 Something big always happens when the pattern changes from a stubborn pattern...the heat....the wetness...ended with Matthew. Interesting to see what kind of cyclone bomb or severe setup could take place further west closer to Asheville NC to Atalnta, GA these next few months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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