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Jan 22-24 blizzard obs, tracking, nowcasting #2


Ian
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Just north of you! Walked out to Ashburn village Blvd....one lane with 5 inches on it! Just nice smooth mounds of snow everywhere.... So cool looking

The wind and the drifting has made measuring nearly impossible. Now that nightfall has arrived and the street lights have come on, it's pretty wild to see how the wind has completely reshaped the landscape via drifts. I could gawk at the scenery all night.

Thanks for measuring all day, btw. I was following your posts too, since I'm just down the road near the Brambleton town center.

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675  

NWUS51 KLWX 240006  

LSRLWX  

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

706 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2016  

   

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON  

   

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.  

 

..REMARKS..  

 

0652 PM SNOW 1 WSW REAGAN NATIONAL A 38.85N 77.04W  

01/23/2016 M17.8 INCH ARLINGTON VA OFFICIAL NWS OBS  

 

 

 

EVENT NUMBER LWX1602044  

 

What a joke.

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675  

NWUS51 KLWX 240006  

LSRLWX  

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

706 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2016  

   

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON  

   

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.  

 

..REMARKS..  

 

0652 PM SNOW 1 WSW REAGAN NATIONAL A 38.85N 77.04W  

01/23/2016 M17.8 INCH ARLINGTON VA OFFICIAL NWS OBS  

 

 

 

EVENT NUMBER LWX1602044  

 

Thats not DCA itself. Just a measurement near it. I hope. If not, thats bs. I haven't heard one measurement less than 20 in any part of SE DC or S Arlington. 

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And how many disregarded that NAM and it nailed the northern extent of precip from about 48 hours out.

I never thought I would day this, but the NAM was excellent with the front Wednesday night and equally so with this storm. And if I lived up north, I'd forever hug it since it was the first indididual model to insist on the northward progression. I know srefs did too, but they are an ensemble.
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In two years of lurking, I've been within 0.5" of your reports for every event.  Helps give me some more confidence in my 24.0" total.  

 

 

Wow! I'm within a couple miles and submitted 21.0" as of 6:35 P.M. It was one of my most difficult measurements I've ever made with a total of maybe 10 attempts or so.

 

 

I usually go conservative and probably under report many things but one thing I hate is stat padding.  If others beat me and i'm lagging then so be it.

 

Depending on where exactly you are BTR it could have been that the two of us got into the sweet stuff sooner?  IDK.  This stuff is so tricky at times

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I usually go conservative and probably under report many things but one thing I hate is stat padding.  If others beat me and i'm lagging then so be it.

 

Depending on where exactly you are BTR it could have been that the two of us got into the sweet stuff sooner?  IDK.  This stuff is so tricky at times

I'm just off the Edsall road exit off I-395

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Nobody will ever convince me that the euro was better than the gfs this time. The NAM scored it's once every couple of years big victory. It will cause problems soon when we start thinking "remember what the Nam did with Jan 2016??"

That euro run from , what, Wednesday? The one that went so far south?

Yeah, euro had all sorts of consistency issues - gfs was pretty much a rock all week.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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HRRR gives me, the I-95 corridor between Harford County and DC, all of AA and Charles Co. MD and most of Fairfax and Prince William Co. VA an ADDITIONAL 3+" from 7 p.m. to 2 a.m., with a smidgen more after that and with a few locations getting 4+". Ridiculous.

Dca will call the storm over and stop measuring. You watch. Lol
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