jburns Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 We ALWAYS have a fantasy 10-14 day storm for people to analyze and discuss. Then it goes poof and we're on to the next one. Eventually, we'll drop the term "winter" and we'll just cycle through three seasons. Spring Summer Fall Prozac Spring Summer Fall Prozac Spring Summer Fall Prozac Ad infinitum with an occasional cold spell between Fall and Spring. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Fixed LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Winter is just depressing and boring without snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Ski resorts are in trouble in Cali because of road access this winter. Another special weather statement is out for another 2 feet in a few days. Can't keep up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Welcome to the new normals. After another decade or two we will be telling our grandchildren about how it used to get below freezing in the winter, and it wasn't always 110 in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Winters around here (at least IMBY) have been above average in the snowfall department recently. I do not understand the angst many in this forum are showing. 2009-2010 and 2013-2014 were way above average. 2014-2015 was above average. 2012-2013 was about 50% of average while 2011-2012 was admittedly pretty bad, but still around 25% of average here. 2010-2011 was around average, or maybe a bit above. Granted, it's been all a second half of the winter show here since the Christmas/Boxing Day Storm in 2010. Every significant snow or ice event except two have been in February or March. Granted, MBY has probably done better than most, but I doubt it has been that bad. The mid-2000s were surely a lot worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Winters around here (at least IMBY) have been above average in the snowfall department recently. I do not understand the angst many in this forum are showing. 2009-2010 and 2013-2014 were way above average. 2014-2015 was above average. 2012-2013 was about 50% of average while 2011-2012 was admittedly pretty bad, but still around 25% of average here. 2010-2011 was around average, or maybe a bit above. Granted, it's been all a second half of the winter show here since the Christmas/Boxing Day Storm in 2010. Every significant snow or ice event except two have been in February or March. you are really due for a sucky winter. My last 4 winters :11-12: 0% of average 12-13: 0% of average 13-14: 150% of average 14-15: 0% of average Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Today marks my 12th year on this forum and I nostalgically looked at some of my posts from some archived discussions of years gone by and noticed I must have been drunk when I wrote many ot them. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Let me live in your back yard then! Winters here have been lousy the last 3 or 4 years for Myrtle beach. A few years ago we did get an inch or two at my place but that was it. I'll take an inch or two and love it, just wish it was a yearly occurance like y'all NC folk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Winters around here (at least IMBY) have been above average in the snowfall department recently. I do not understand the angst. 2009-2010 and 2013-2014 were way above average. 2014-2015 was above average. 2012-2013 was about 50% of average while 2011-2012 was admittedly pretty bad, but still around 25% of average here. 2010-2011 was around average, or maybe a bit above. We're running out of time! Relaxation next weekend, probably be Feb before we flip back to cold , if it happens at all!? February could suck, and that would really be bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Yeah, January is Myrtle beaches best month for snow. February is a close second though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 you are really due for a sucky winter. My last 4 winters : 11-12: 0% of average 12-13: 0% of average 13-14: 150% of average 14-15: 0% of average Here are the NWS snowfall records here (KGSO) over the past 10 years: 2005-2006: 1.3" 2006-2007: 0.8" 2007-2008: 4.0" 2008-2009: 6.9" (Almost all of which came with the March 1 storm) 2009-2010: 16.6" (A hearty winter from December through March) 2010-2011: 9.9" (Almost all of it in December) 2011-2012: 1.6" (one storm in mid-February) 2012-2013: 3.6" (Most of it came with the mid-January 2013 storm that was busted for most on this forum) 2013-2014: 15.3" (All of it after January 28th) 2014-2015: 9.6" (All of it in February) And of course a big fat 0" this year. Our average is somewhere in the 7.5-9.5" per year, depending on the period of record you use. As you can see, the last five years have been much better than the preceding five years. The mid-2000s were a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I said back before Christmas I felt we wouldn't have an event before MLK Day. Considering Sunday's potential baby event, I feel good so far. I also said in my snow guestimation last month I was banking on most of our snow coming at the end of February. I hope I can bring it on home after valentines day! My money is after Valentines day until the first week of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I said back before Christmas I felt we wouldn't have an event before MLK Day. Considering Sunday's potential baby event, I feel good so far. I also said in my snow guestimation last month I was banking on most of our snow coming at the end of February. I hope I can bring it on home after valentines day! My money is after Valentines day until the first week of March. are you sure you're not getting last year and this year confused ? Wasn't it last year when a lot of locations had most of their snow in late Feb ? I have a hard time believing two winters in a row would play out in almost identical fashion, especially since late Feb isn't normally the snowiest part of winter. Are there a lot of similarities you are seeing between last winter and this winter that makes you predict such similar outcomes ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 are you sure you're not getting last year and this year confused ? Wasn't it last year when a lot of locations had most of their snow in late Feb ? I have a hard time believing two winters in a row would play out in almost identical fashion, especially since late Feb isn't normally the snowiest part of winter. Are there a lot of similarities you are seeing between last winter and this winter that makes you predict such similar outcomes ? Well, most of our snow has come in February/March for the past two winters. Each winter is independent, so just because it happens in one winter has no bearing on the next one. In my area, we also saw two big winter storms in December in 2009 and 2010, despite only averaging around ~1" of snow in December over the 1981-2010 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 What's the Euro showing for the midweek system ? Is it still showing a big dumping of snow or is that gone too ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 What's the Euro showing for the midweek system ? Is it still showing a big dumping of snow or is that gone too ?I'll go with big, steaming pile of dump! Winter cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 What's the Euro showing for the midweek system ? Is it still showing a big dumping of snow or is that gone too ? It's not out that far, but I don't think it was every showing much for most of the SE aside from TN for the mid-week system. I probably won't bother looking. One potential "storm" at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'll go with big, steaming pile of dump! Winter cancel is it pathetic that I may drive 200+ miles tomorrow just to see an inch of snow ? Hopefully I don't get up there and all I see is virga. I keep asking myself is it even worth it ? But then again this may be the only chance for me to see snow this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 is it pathetic that I may drive 200+ miles tomorrow just to see an inch of snow ? Hopefully I don't get up there and all I see is virga. Where are you driving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Where are you driving?Bricks house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Where are you driving? I was thinking about either Hickory, Morganton, or Hendersonville or should I go somewhere with more elevation ? I just want to see an inch of snow. Where is my best bet ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 is it pathetic that I may drive 200+ miles tomorrow just to see an inch of snow ? Hopefully I don't get up there and all I see is virga. I keep asking myself is it even worth it ? But then again this may be the only chance for me to see snow this winter. I would say not worth it. That's a lot of driving for a storm that's not even certain to produce accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I would say not worth it. That's a lot of driving for a storm that's not even certain to produce accumulation. so you're saying there's a possibility that not a single location in NC will get any accumulation ? Maybe I should just wait for the midweek system and hope it delivers in TN or NC and chase that ? Or should I just do the unthinkable and go to the Great Lakes where I know they will be guaranteed lake effect snow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I was thinking about either Hickory, Morganton, or Hendersonville or should I go somewhere with more elevation ? Surely, they'll be better storms down the line later this month or in February or March. I'd stay put unless we get some weenie runs tomorrow at the last minute. I'd say that if we see anything, it will be hit and miss stuff and I wouldn't want to chase that as the bust factor is too high. Maybe you'd be better in the higher elevations, but then you deal with potential road closures and such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I was thinking about either Hickory, Morganton, or Hendersonville or should I go somewhere with more elevation ? I just want to see an inch of snow. Where is my best bet ? Hickory may be good. Maybe try West Jefferson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I was thinking about either Hickory, Morganton, or Hendersonville or should I go somewhere with more elevation ? I just want to see an inch of snow. Where is my best bet ? Pick a ski resort and stay for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Surely, they'll be better storms down the line later this month or in February or March. I'd stay put unless we get some weenie runs tomorrow at the last minute. I'd say that if we see anything, it will be hit and miss stuff and I wouldn't want to chase that as the bust factor is too high. Maybe you'd be better in the higher elevations, but then you deal with potential road closures and such. I'm desperate dude and there are no guarantees in a winter like this. This could turn out to be like 2011-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'm desperate dude and there are no guarantees in a winter like this. I'd say a better storm down the line is as close to a certainty as you can get in weather. The mid-week system might actually be pretty good in the favored upslope locations of the NC/TN mountains. Of course, I do not know if you can chase mid-week or not. I got my snow fix in Arizona a week and a half ago. Tons of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 so you're saying there's a possibility that not a single location in NC will get any accumulation ? Maybe I should just wait for the midweek system and hope it delivers in TN or NC and chase that ? Or should I just do the unthinkable and go to the Great Lakes where I know they will be guaranteed lake effect snow ?He's just mad, on the outside looking in! While NGa, NC , SC score big, before VA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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