cyclone77 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Point up to 69 there now. Looks like they hit at least 72. EDIT: Now they're at 73. Toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Not buying just window shopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 18Z GFS has a clipper that could become something, still has apocalyptic ice storm for the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Don't worry you're snow won't all melt. My snow? Heck, if it does.. it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 00z UK looks like a big time storm for eastern parts of the sub-forum. 983 mb near Pittsburgh @ 144 hrs. We saw the more amplified solutions verify this past Monday/Tuesday with the southern severe wx event and Rochester/Ottawa snow storm, I won't be surprised to see it again. Appearance at 96 hrs looks prime for a pretty significant amplification across the suite w/ strong CVA occurring into the base of the shortwave downstream of a potent vort max sliding SE through the Intermountain West. Certainly something to watch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 00z UK looks like a big time storm for eastern parts of the sub-forum. 983 mb near Pittsburgh @ 144 hrs. We saw the more amplified solutions verify this past Monday/Tuesday with the southern severe wx event and Rochester/Ottawa snow storm, I won't be surprised to see it again. Appearance at 96 hrs looks prime for a pretty significant amplification across the suite w/ strong CVA occurring into the base of the shortwave downstream of a potent vort max sliding SE through the Intermountain West. Certainly something to watch here. Lol the ukie is straight weather porn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 GFS is clipper city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Yeah at least there's a shot at something wintry for those in the eastern portions of the sub. For the rest of us it looks very benign with regards to snowfall through early Mar. Many areas in the eastern sub that got off to a horrible start have now caught up to and even passed those of us that cashed in on the Nov system. Just goes to show how horrifically pathetic of a met winter this has been for many of us. If I live to be 160 years old I can pretty much guarantee I would never see another met winter this awful again. 7.5" from Nov 22 till now, which will extrapolate into March since nothing is on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 6z gfs and a few other runs are hinting at a 2 part storm that comes very close to phasing... The two pieces of energy will likely make this one hard to follow until last minute again but intriguing to see how this may play out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 GFS looks very interesting for Detroit to Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 GFS looks very interesting for Detroit to Toronto. It was 1 run, lol. Give it time, it will be on the W coast of Europe at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 GFS looks very interesting for Detroit to Toronto. Step 2: hold for 132 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 It was 1 run, lol. Give it time, it will be on the W coast of Europe at 12z. Yes, it was just one run but it can't be ignored its 110-125 hrs out. That's pretty damn close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Yes, it was just one run but it can't be ignored its 110-125 hrs out. That's pretty damn close. I know, haha. Appearantly some of the ensembles had that solution as well. Just needed to make a stupid joke.06z GEFS mean looks decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 overnight runs...and ens say: ....get ready to suit up Toledo, Detroit, Indy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 overnight runs...and ens say: ....get ready to suit up Toledo, Detroit, Indy.... 5-6 days out. You've got more than a fighting chance. Wouldn't be surprised to see a couple of runs where the models "lose" the storm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 5-6 days out. You've got more than a fighting chance. Wouldn't be surprised to see a couple of runs where the models "lose" the storm again. we'll see. I've always thought that the only way we get something good out of this is if it comes out as one strong system instead of the cluster the models have been showing....but we also know what that can open the door for... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 we'll see. I've always thought that the only way we get something good out of this is if it comes out as one strong system instead of the cluster the models have been showing....but we also know what that can open the door for... To that point, wow are the 6z GEFs warm looking. Guess I should have expected that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 It was 1 run, lol. Give it time, it will be on the W coast of Europe at 12z. Step 2: hold for 132 hours. ^^^What they said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 overnight runs...and ens say: ....get ready to suit up Toledo, Detroit, Indy.... .....ears perks up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 overnight runs...and ens say: ....get ready to suit up Toledo, Detroit, Indy.... i've been trying to tell you the pattern is good for the eastern areas for a while now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 ^^^What they said. if I had to pick the way I get screwed this time.... I'd prefer it be to the nw for the simple reason it would be so in your face to all the usual media-mets who have been hyping up this inevitable eastcoast storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 if I had to pick the way I get screwed this time.... I'd prefer it be to the nw for the simple reason it would be so in your face to all the usual media-mets who have been hyping up this inevitable eastcoast storm. With the insanely +PNA and only neutral NAO at best though, I also think an east coast storm (or at best something similar to Tuesday's system) is more likely than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 With the insanely +PNA and only neutral NAO at best though, I also think an east coast storm (or at best something similar to Tuesday's system) is more likely than anything. you're gonna get buried bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Will be in Florida this week. Northern Indiana gonna get crushed for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Please bury me. I want to suffocate in snow. Then spring starts the next day. Best case scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I'm be 400 miles away that day, so you metro Detroiters will get hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 .....ears perks up Don't get sucked in. Something unfortunate will happen and we will be in some sort of screw hole if not a complete miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The GFS has been scary accurate within 140 hours this winter. There is definitely hope for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 pattern is excellent for strong coastals and boring dreary weather in the lakes Are you sure by 'coastal' you didn't mean erie, and by 'lakes' you didn't mean Minnesota the land of 10000 lakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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