MAG5035 Posted December 24, 2015 Share Posted December 24, 2015 Models are in relatively good agreement attm with regards to the early week storm save for the finer details. They all (GFS/CMC/Euro) are pointed toward a potential wintry mix event. GFS is cold enough for a front end snow bomb, while Euro and Canadian are more of a straight sleet and freezing rain event. They all have the strong high pretty well positioned, and at 1040+ on the progs the cold won't be easy to budge at all even with the low tracking west. 12z GFS snowmap, some of this is probably sleet..but it's still the coldest of the bunch and would support a front end snowfall CMC (@101hr... a lot of sleet over the course of the event) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 24, 2015 Share Posted December 24, 2015 Only made it to 68...kind of feels disappointing after all the hype and modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 It's happening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 I'd give body parts to see something close to that happen....just gotta figure out which ones are worth bartering with.... Merry Christmas all and here's to a few late presents from Santa Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 I'd give body parts to see something close to that happen....just gotta figure out which ones are worth bartering with.... Merry Christmas all and here's to a few late presents from Santa Nut Gall bladder will do but if you really want it to happen you might want to go kidney. Merry Christmas to everyone on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Merry Christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 It's happening... I'd give body parts to see something close to that happen....just gotta figure out which ones are worth bartering with.... Merry Christmas all and here's to a few late presents from Santa Nut Your pinky toe, you can live without that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 You want a toe? I can get you a toe, believe me. There are ways, Dude. You don't wanna know about it, believe me. Hell, I can get you a toe by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with nail polish. These amateurs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Your pinky toe, you can live without that haha not sure why i thought he said organ instead of body part (but yeah toe would be better) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The PNA region seems to want to hold on very strongly, but it's axis crest is negatively oriented. This would disfavor any shortwaves that may be available to dig upstream. The lack of blocking downstream is the worst fly in the ointment and will be equally stubborn to change in the near term. There is an indicator, via the GEFS in their Long Range, that some change could be in the offing in the downstream sector, whilst the PNA region still cooperates in the main. Meanwhile the Atlantic Ridge is either Central based or a tick east (depending on model of course) But a much less influential southeast ridge (at H5) can only help. Patience has been the watchword this winter, since back in November, actually. All that latent Nino heat has to be assimilated and distributed obviously. Only a displacement or split of the PV would become enough of an offset. Winter may turn out short lived, but I'm betting that it will be felt for long enough to please most. After all, the components to a major storm (which could eliminate in one fell swoop, any negative departures previous to that) are available - it's a matter of timing thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r-ville Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 In re: storm 2 of 3 (4?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The radiational cooling was stronger than I expected...made it all the way back down to 42. Still, provided we clear out all right from the fog, we should make a run at the daily record of 62... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Merry Christmas to all the great folks who post here in our sub-forum. Hope you all have a great day with family and/or friends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Merry Christmas to everybody, hope its a great day. Looks like another rainer this week, hope you snowbirds get some action soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Already 62 here. Decent sunshine and we'd make another run at 70 today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 haha not sure why i thought he said organ instead of body part (but yeah toe would be better) LOL...The heat of late has me wheary....parts/organs...matters not at this juncture... Gall/appendix gone, so i guess kidneys/liver (while pickled a bit from last night) are negotiable. they say pig toe/earlobe are gonners by evolution anyway, so i'm guessing they might not be enough to get the deal done. Headed to the fam soon. I hope the 12z's don't put coal in my stocking... Have fun all. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 LOL...The heat of late has me wheary....parts/organs...matters not at this juncture... Gall/appendix gone, so i guess kidneys/liver (while pickled a bit from last night) are negotiable. they say pig toe/earlobe are gonners by evolution anyway, so i'm guessing they might not be enough to get the deal done. Headed to the fam soon. I hope the 12z's don't put coal in my stocking... Have fun all. Nut Rooting for you bud, farm show shouldn't hurt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Models have gone all Grinch on us at 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 HWOs out from NWS BGM...Basically snow sleet freezing rain Monday night to Tuesday. NePaWx--did you have to deal with that mess on Thursday (gas leak and power outage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Two days in a row I missed 70 by one degree... 12/24 - 69 12/25 - 69 I was really hoping that one of the two holiday days would have met or exceeded 70, but no dice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Fog on the turnpike between the Rading and 283 exits was scary. Couldn't read the mile signs or billboards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Hope I'm not too late. Merry Christmas to everyone in here!!! At work currently going on the half way point of my 16 hour shift. Heading home to see family in the AM. Looks like some winter fun finally in the cards next week!! Edit: GFS and Euro playing Grinch. Will see if the models are underestimating the CAD potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Two days in a row I missed 70 by one degree... 12/24 - 69 12/25 - 69 I was really hoping that one of the two holiday days would have met or exceeded 70, but no dice... It only hit 59 at avp today therefore the climate of tamaqua does not represent the climate of this subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 It only hit 59 at avp today therefore the climate of tamaqua does not represent the climate of this subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Looks as if the early week event is plain rain for basically everyone. But then the pattern models really flip to a positive PNA so winter might be coming actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Couldn't read the mile signs or billboards. But it's cool because you already know Hollywood Casino exists and there are travel plazas at Lawn and Blue Mountain ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 +13.8 departure MTD...and today is already +22 with the minimum. Geezus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 27, 2015 Author Share Posted December 27, 2015 Looks like the much hyped "pattern change" will not work out for anyone outside the lake effect region or ski resorts. PNA ridge too far east and absolutely no help from the Atlantic will make this a seasonable, pedestrian period of transient weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Going seasonal is a pretty drastic pattern flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Anyone that can't see the pattern is changing in big way over the next few weeks is blind and should find a different career or hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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