CoastalWx Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Yeah interesting that after it looked like it could be warmer last week...definitely a cooler look overall I think. Good +PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Yeah interesting that after it looked like it could be warmer last week...definitely a cooler look overall I think. Good +PNA. We'll take it. Seasons performing in season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 We'll take it. Seasons performing in season Maybe not very cool...but definitely a cool risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Maybe not very cool...but definitely a cool risk. Certainly better than a warm risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2015 Author Share Posted October 4, 2015 Mike V redesigned it since that for rid of it on ESRL. Not sure why they discontinued it . Heh, ...I was kinda hopin' for a link/URL -- can't provide one? Yeah, I'd like set the idiot down that green-lighted the discontinuance and ask him/her point blank how the hell their brain generates enough power to get 'em out of bed in morning. f moron! The reason they gave was that the person that oversaw the product on the web retired, and didn't elaborate much beyond that. As though, what? ... what the f are they using to evaluated the system then?!! Judging by the schit they post half the time, not a shocker that I'm often scratching my head in wonder as to how the hell they think x,y,z THAT is going to happen. The quality of NCEP is attenuating. I know that there are some NWS cats that drop by the forum and may knee-jerk take offense to that, but sorry ... it's true. I was told that the reason for it is kind of a 'dumbing down' of the user community, where everyone is asking for graphics and not substantive analysis - they want all the conclusions spoon fed so they don't have to "work" -- just rip and read. Not NCEP's fault; probably a combination of systemic apathy and sloth, and probably some squeeze from financing, too. I guess it is what it is... But it hinders those that still vest intellectual curiosity and the wonder of discovery and all that jazz. There's a lot to be gleaned from the unknown, still ...correlated and synthesized as to how the whole of the atmosphere works. And this modality to cut sophisticated product dissemination to placate a growing "idiocrasy" seems like a detriment to science -- let alone the panache of the operational side of Meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Some nice cool shots towards the end of the 12z GFS Means little, but nice to see the cool air Congrats MPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 We'll take it. Seasons performing in season To a T. You could almost trace it back t the Equinox. Going forward looks chilly especially beyond d6-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Heh, ...I was kinda hopin' for a link/URL -- can't provide one? Yeah, I'd like set the idiot down that green-lighted the discontinuance and ask him/her point blank how the hell their brain generates enough power to get 'em out of bed in morning. f moron! The reason they gave was that the person that oversaw the product on the web retired, and didn't elaborate much beyond that. As though, what? ... what the f are they using to evaluated the system then?!! Judging by the schit they post half the time, not a shocker that I'm often scratching my head in wonder as to how the hell they think x,y,z THAT is going to happen. The quality of NCEP is attenuating. I know that there are some NWS cats that drop by the forum and may knee-jerk take offense to that, but sorry ... it's true. I was told that the reason for it is kind of a 'dumbing down' of the user community, where everyone is asking for graphics and not substantive analysis - they want all the conclusions spoon fed so they don't have to "work" -- just rip and read. Not NCEP's fault; probably a combination of systemic apathy and sloth, and probably some squeeze from financing, too. I guess it is what it is... But it hinders those that still vest intellectual curiosity and the wonder of discovery and all that jazz. There's a lot to be gleaned from the unknown, still ...correlated and synthesized as to how the whole of the atmosphere works. And this modality to cut sophisticated product dissemination to placate a growing "idiocrasy" seems like a detriment to science -- let alone the panache of the operational side of Meteorology. It's an internal thing, so I can't make the link public unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2015 Author Share Posted October 4, 2015 It's an internal thing, so I can't make the link public unfortunately. heh, figured as much. It's hard to find free sites anymore... the power of greed in our society never ceases to astound for it's pettiness. Really... if people could charge a penny for a pound of schit they'd fantasize about retiring to a private tropical island with all the amenities of rock-star living, while thinking that their's doesn't stink. I love a drippy conspiracy theory like the next paranoid, but it seems these products are free until they are determined to really be useful, ...then you start encountering, 'this web-site has been moved' or 'this web-site no longer exists', purely coincidence? I personally found a correlation between winters with certain phase states of the GLAMM wrt to the PNAP pattern over N/A... Wouldn't shock me if energy forecasting sector lobbied to have GLAMM removed from public domain spaces. nice. muah hahhaha. annnywho - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2015 Author Share Posted October 4, 2015 Some nice cool shots towards the end of the 12z GFS Means little, but nice to see the cool air Congrats MPM image.jpg Yeah ... just about right on top of "model-climate" ... that time of the year where invariably, a +200 hour synopsis features a December wave in October - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Close full moons are the best. Wow what a weather week worldwide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Some nice cool shots towards the end of the 12z GFS Means little, but nice to see the cool air Congrats MPM image.jpg Suppression depression already in October . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 SC flooding fire hose reminds me of our retro 13 storm. Columbia looks like pivot point now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Suppression depression already in October . Lol..... Definitely a few chances for some mountain snow over the course of the last couple GFS runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 18z GFS showed a coastal scrapper heading east off the Mid Atlantic coastline being suppressed too far south, but cold enough to snow if it did snow, with 540 thickness line in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Some nice cool shots towards the end of the 12z GFS Means little, but nice to see the cool air Congrats MPM image.jpg Suppression depression already in October . LOL. I want my qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 lol I love the GFS. Drilling -10C H85 air into New England on NW flow in mid-October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 lol I love the GFS. Drilling -10C H85 air into New England on NW flow in mid-October. image.jpg What's not to love! You're up bright and early--couldn't wait for the 06NAM? Off to Boston in a few. 41.8/37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 BOX says Euro way too aggressive with cold shot next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 BOX says Euro way too aggressive with cold shot next weekend. It will whiff on that, after nailing the Joaquin whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 It will whiff on that, after nailing the Joaquin whiff Well it's a 168 hour prog....not exactly apples to apples comparison of the forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Well it's a 168 hour prog....not exactly apples to apples comparison of the forecasts. I knew you would chime in with precisely that response. It was in jest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 LOL, still a nice cool shot. We don't have to highs of 40F in the hilltowns for mid October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 LOL, still a nice cool shot. We don't have to highs of 40F in the hilltowns for mid October. ORH has had exactly 2 highs of 40F or colder before 10/15...one was 10/10/79 when they had a high of 36F the day of the snowstorm...and the other was 10/8/88 when they had a high of 40F...also a snow event (rain changed to snow and dropped about a half inch). If you count 10/15 itself, then you could also include 10/15/09...some might recall that was another snow event that started in the evening that day and ended early on the 16th. So yeah, not a shocker if a cold air advection airmass doesn't produce 40F highs in the first half of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Looks like one last tropical threat developing in the Western Carribean next week and moving NNE. GEFS all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 LOL, still a nice cool shot. We don't have to highs of 40F in the hilltowns for mid October. Huh? BOX said it was way too aggressive and that the GFS was likely right. None said anything about hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Huh? BOX said it was way too aggressive and that the GFS was likely right. None said anything about hills Haha, I love how you assumed that was directed at you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Haha, I love how you assumed that was directed at you. Who else was he trolling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 5, 2015 Author Share Posted October 5, 2015 man that looks like a wild month .... wild flashes to warmth while the apparent cold bias/relative to the Globe is building and sagging. Meanwhile, the GEFs are Sandy reduxing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Haha, I love how you assumed that was directed at you. It was. He sounded disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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